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Today's WrapUp by Ike Iossif 11.29.2005  Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Archive


WEEKLY CHARTS


DJIA: It's on its way to 11000.


DJTI: It's on its way to 4250.


SP500: It's on its way to 1285.


NASDAQ: It's on its way to 2280-2300.


HUI: If it can hold above 250, it will rally further; otherwise the next 2-3 weeks may be disappointing.


OIL: Resistance at $60.00, $62.50, $67.50, and at $72; support at $56.50.



The T.Os have diverged negatively suggesting that yesterday's pullback was highly likely.


The trend is UP for NASDAQ.


The trend is UP for NASDAQ.

SUMMARY

We do not believe people ought to make much out of yesterday's decline. Notice that the Oscillators are not too far from the zero line, and price is not too far from channel support. We expect to hold, and if they do, the SP will make a run towards the 1285-1290 zone, and that will be the area to look for a sharp move. "Seasonality"  still favors equities, and there are many in the industry who stand ready to defend their year-end bonuses by throwing their clients' money in support of the market. Unless there is an exogenous event that forces money managers to change their posture for right, there is one reason behind the market's behavior, and it is directly linked to the interests of the "financial industry" and can be summed up like this: "We have got to support prices so we can get our bonuses at the end of the year; we have got to pay for that new HUMMER, and the vacation in London to please the wife; we'll worry about aligning our positions with reality later!" All the rest is just  conversation and academic garbage.

Market Timing Indicators

Indicator Focus NASDAQ
Signal
NASDAQ
Position
SP500
Signal
SP500
Position
Thrust Oscillator Mkt Direction BUY 10% Long BUY 10% Long
10/20 day TI Mkt Direction BUY 10% Long BUY 10% Long
Quantifier Mkt Direction BUY 10% Long BUY 10% Long

 

Support and Resistance Levels to Watch For

  DJIA SP500 NASDAQ
2nd Downside Target 11750 1285 2325
1st Upside Target 11500 1300 2325
Resistance 11000 1285 2280-2300
Support 10750 1255 2250
1st Downside Target 10500 1245 2170
2nd Downside Target 10380 1225 2100

Ike Iossif


Copyright © 2005 All rights reserved.

Ike Iossif
President & CIO Aegean Capital Group, Inc. &
Executive Producer MarketViews.tv


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