Low Water – Slow Boats

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The following pictures are of the Mississippi from this year and last. The 2012 drought has lowered the river level.

2011

mississippi river before

2012

mississippi river after

The water level is down as much as 40 feet from a year ago.

mississippi water level down as much as fourty feet

Its so dry, grass is growing on the sandbanks.

mississippi river sandbanks

The low water is raising hell with the river traffic. Some headlines:

ninty-three vessels on mississippi river

commercial appeal miss. river traffic jam

ap mississippi causes harbor closures

How big a deal is this? Big. ABC put the potential hit to the economy at $300Mn a day. As many as 400k jobs are in play. The have a quote from the Army Corps of Engineers suggesting the problem is not going away anytime soon.

abc news low miss. river levels persist into fall

I was surprised to learn that 90% of the nation’s waterborne commercial deliveries are on the Mississippi.

value and tonnage of u.s. waterborne shipments 2007

The Army Corps got its forecast of “no relief” from NOAA. The 30 day forecast shows a continuation of the dry conditions in the center of the country. There is no reason to be optimistic looking at the 90 day outlook.

One month outlook

one month outlook 16 aug 2012

Three months outlook

three months outlook 16 aug 2012

The only winners in this story are the rail-roads. Everyone else will pay a bit more. In some cases there might be shortages (rock salt/chemicals  up north). Global grain, corn and bean supplies may get disrupted. Add another few percent to the already skyrocketing price of raw food stocks.

rain graffiti art

Source: BruceKrasting.blogspot.com

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About Bruce Krasting