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BYE-BYE
007
Lombard Street
Research
18 years of
forecasting success
by Brian Reading
December 24, 2007
WE
SUGGEST: The second half was a killer
SUMMARY:
Time now to take it easy and enjoy the festive season. Our very best
wishes to you all. This
note is just a zany teaser to end the year.
Manufacturing
inventories in the US equal 15 months output. So to prevent the inventory/output
ratio from falling, the entire increase in output every 15 months must
be added to
inventories. So manufacturing sales cannot rise except by running down
stocks.
In the
late 19th century, an English m’lord took a holiday on a Greek Island.
He paid for his lodgings
with a cheque drawn on Coutts Bank. The Islanders were so impressed by
the bearing of the
gentleman that the cheque was never cashed. Instead it became part of
the local currency.
Who paid for his holiday?
Gordon
Brown’s end-year press conference sought to re-assure. “I
heard from the Governor and Chairman of the Financial Services Authority
that inflation has
been brought down, and remains low, demonstrating that the fundamentals
of the British
economy are, and remain, sound.” (Fundamentally Sound, says Google, is
a pop group.)
We don’t
trot along to the Bank of England Governor to discover what the latest
inflation rate is.
Obviously Japan’s economy must be not merely sound but in the rudest
of health.
Its prices
are falling.
This is
the Cockney Alphabet. Can you improve on it?
A is for
’orses
B for
mutton
C for
yourself
D for Kate
E for
brick
F for
vescence
G for get
it
H for teen
I for
Novello
J for
oranges
K for
teria
L for
leather
M for sis
N for eggs
O for my
dead body
P for
relief
Q for ages
R for mo
S for
mation
T for two
U for me
V for La
France
W for a
quid
X for
breakfast
Y for
mistress
Z for breeze.

© 2007 Brian Reading
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CONTACT
INFORMATION Brian Reading
Director
Lombard Street Research
United Kingdom
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