Nolte Notes
by Paul Nolte | November 16, 2:42 PM PST
Damn the torpedoes and full speed ahead! At least that seems to be the reaction of the financial markets to not only the good news, but the bad as well. The G20 over the past weekend reiterated the comments from the US Federal Reserve that low (or zero) interest rates will be the order of the day until further notice – meaning it will not pay to keep money in short-term instruments and in order to get any return, investors will need to accept risk. Read more
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Economy News

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Daily Global Commentary
by Asha Bangalore | November 6, 3:11 pM PST
Civilian Unemployment Rate: 10.2% in October vs. 9.8% in September, cycle low is 4.4% in March
Payroll Employment: -190,000 in October vs. -219,000 in September, net gain of 91,000 jobs after revisions of payroll estimates for August and September.
Hourly earnings: $18.72 in October vs. $18.67 in September, 2.4% yoy increase vs. 2.5% yoy increase in September, cycle high is 4.28% yoy increase in Dec. 2006. Read more
US Economic Outlook
by Paul Kasriel | October 16, 3:17 PM PST
Before getting started on this month’s essay, I would like to say something about last month’s chart show. I received a number of favorable comments about the different format. I have to admit that my ego was bruised a bit. I thought you liked my prosaic prose. My ego notwithstanding, I will try to give the customers what they want more often – just not every month. The reason for not providing a chart show every month is that not enough changes that frequently to warrant such.Read more |
Global Economics
| Country |
GDP |
CPI |
Central
Bank Rate |
Money Supply |
| |
(Y/Y%) |
(Y/Y%) |
(%) |
(Y/Y%) |
Aggregate |
| Australia |
0.6 |
1.3 |
3.25 |
11.06 |
M3 |
| Brazil |
-1.16 |
4.34 |
8.75 |
16.17 |
M2 |
| Canada |
-4.6 |
-0.9 |
0.25 |
2.00 |
M3 |
| China |
8.9 |
-0.8 |
5.31 |
28.37 |
M2 |
| France |
-2.8 |
-0.4 |
1.00 |
2.72 |
M3 |
| Germany |
-5.9 |
0.1 |
1.00 |
6.16 |
M3 |
| India |
6.1 |
11.72 |
3.25 |
19.40 |
M3 |
| Japan |
-7.2 |
-2.2 |
0.10 |
0.12 |
M4 |
| Mexico |
-10.3 |
4.89 |
4.50 |
12.86 |
M4 |
| Russia |
-10.9 |
10.7 |
10.00 |
-8.60 |
M2 |
| South Korea |
0.60 |
2.20 |
2.00 |
7.73 |
M3 |
| Spain |
-4.2 |
-1.0 |
1.00 |
1.98 |
M2 |
| Switzerland |
-2.1 |
-0.9 |
0.25 |
7.72 |
M3 |
| United Kingdom |
-5.2 |
1.1 |
0.50 |
10.89 |
M4 |
| United States |
-2.3 |
-1.3 |
0.25 |
5.22 |
M2 |
Source: Bloomberg
(As of 10/29, Updated monthly)
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