Urban Carmel's picture

Our key message over the past year has been that (a) growth is positive but modest, in the range of ~3-4% (nominal), and; (b) current growth is lower than in prior periods of economic expansion and a return to 1980s or 1990s style growth does not appear likely.

Sheraz Mian's picture

The jobs report came short of estimates, but the report’s internals are strong enough to keep the prospect of a Fed hike this month very real. The market’s initial reaction to the report reflects the view that this report takes us towards lift-off in the coming meeting.

Michael Shedlock's picture

The never-ending push for 2% price inflation is absurd to the point of being counterproductive. However, stubborn central bank mules don't care about history or common sense. They just keep doing what their...

Monty Guild's picture

Since a global stock market correction began to unfold about two weeks ago, financial headlines have brought forward a number of causes—seasonal weakness, fears surrounding the impending Fed rate rise...

Bill Witherell's picture

Confirmation of slower growth in China in August triggered further tumbling of global stocks on September 1st. The first of the month is when we get the Purchasing Managers’ Indexes (PMI) from Markit...

Stratfor's picture

When France, West Germany, Belgium, the Netherlands and Luxembourg signed the Schengen Agreement in 1985, they envisioned a system in which people and goods could move from one country to another....

Oil Price's picture

More US oil and gas companies could come under financial distress in the coming months as crucial hedging protection begins to expire. Many companies had locked in high prices for their oil sales last year, allowing them...

Doug Short's picture

Today the Institute for Supply Management published its latest Non-Manufacturing Report. The headline NMI Composite Index is at 59.0 percent, down 1.3 percent from last month's 60.3 percent.Today's number came in above the Investing.com forecast of 56.1 percent.

Global Risk Insights's picture

Recent volatility in China’s stock market signals investors’ general skepticism about the economy’s prospects. However, Middle East oil exporters may stand to lose the most if the growth of Chinese oil consumption slows...

Cris Sheridan's picture

So far, two of the three technical warning signs for a possible peak in the market have been raised. The most recent came in June as the market’s internal momentum failed to confirm the S&P 500’s new record highs. If past is prologue, the market will likely attempt...

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