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Saving is no fun. Americans have very nearly given up the habit.
What reason could there be for reducing consumption? An attempt
to avoid this painful choice has motivated the near endless
search by monetary cranks and inflationists for a form of
alchemy: if the means to turn paper into real wealth could be
found, material progress could be greatly accelerated.
Antal
Fekete claims to have discovered just such a mechanism:
clearing. Fekete claims that clearing (implemented through his
marvelous Bills of Exchange mechanism) enables production to be
funded without corresponding savings.
We
will show that, while there is nothing wrong with the issue of
Bills, they do not perform the same work as savings. While
clearing reduces demand for cash, it does not reduce the amount
of savings required to fund investment.
Fekete’s
error is confusing the financing of production with the funding
of production. Any amount of business plans can be financed through
the issue of more paper. But the funding of these plans is
limited by the capacity of the economy to produce final goods.
Expanding the quantity of money, credit masquerading as money,
near money, or money substitutes cannot increase this capacity.
Mises and
Rothbard on Clearing
In
order to address Fekete’s errors on the topic of clearing, the
economics of clearing and netting will be reviewed from the
perspective of Mises and Rothbard. I will make a comparison to
the writings of Fekete where relevant.
Rothbard
gives
a short explanation of clearing:
“Clearing
is a device by which money is economized and performs the
function of a medium of exchange without
being physically present in the exchange.
A
simplified form of clearing may occur between two people. For
example, A may buy a watch from B for three gold ounces; at the
same time, B buys a pair of shoes from A for one gold ounce.
Instead of two transfers of money being made, and a total of
four gold ounces changing hands, they decide to perform a
clearing operation. A pays B two ounces of money, and they
exchange the watch and the shoes. Thus, when a clearing is made,
and only the net amount of money is actually transferred, all
parties can engage in the same transactions at the same prices,
but using far less cash. Their demand for cash tends to fall.”
The
above passage above applies only to cases where the transactions
to be cleared occurred at the same time. In the following
passage Mises
discusses the extension of clearing to transactions that occur
at different times. This is done through a combination of
clearing and credit.
“When
all exchanges have to be settled in ready cash, then the
possibility of performing them by means of cancellation is
limited to the case exemplified by the butcher and baker and
only then on the assumption, which of course only occasionally
holds good, that the demands of both parties are simultaneous.
At the most, it is possible to imagine that several other
persons might join in and so a small circle be built up within
which drafts could be used for the settlement of transactions
without the actual use of money. But even in this case
simultaneity would still be necessary, and, several persons
being involved, would be still seldomer achieved.
These
difficulties could not be overcome until credit set business
free from dependence on the simultaneous occurrence of demand
and supply. This, in fact, is where the importance of credit for
the monetary system lies. But this could not have its full
effect so long as all exchange was still direct exchange, so
long even as money had not established itself as a common medium
of exchange. The instrumentality of credit permits transactions
between two persons to be treated as simultaneous for purposes
of settlement even if they actually take place at different
times. If the baker sells bread to the cobbler daily throughout
the year and buys from him a pair of shoes on one occasion only,
say at the end of the year, then the payment on the part of the
baker, and naturally on that of the cobbler also, would have to
be made in cash, if credit did not provide a means first for
delaying the one party's liability and then for settling it by
cancellation instead of by cash payment.”
Mises
provided a further analysis of the transfer of claims. Bills
that are not yet settled can be transferred within the a network
in place of cash payment. In this case, claims attain the status
of money substitutes.
“exchanges
made with the help of money can also be settled in part by
offsetting if claims are transferred within a group until claims
and counterclaims come into being between the same persons,
these being then canceled against each other, or until the
claims are acquired by the debtors themselves and so
extinguished. In interlocal and international dealing in bills,
which has been developed in recent years by the addition of the
use of checks and in other ways which have not fundamentally
changed its nature, the same sort of thing is carried out on an
enormous scale. And here again credit increases in a quite
extraordinary fashion the number of cases in which such
offsetting is feasible.”
The
use of credit in a clearing transaction requires the payment of
interest to the party whose who accepts a claim that will not
settle until some time in the future. The payment of interest on
bills is accomplished by trading the bill at a nominal value
less than its full principal value. This is called
“discounting”. The discount is computed from the short-term
interest rate and the amount of time from the payment date to
the settlement date. Mises
explained how discounting enables the problem of
non-simultaneity of transactions to be solved:
“Since
it was the general custom to make payments in this way, anybody
could accept a bill that still had some time to run even when he
wanted cash immediately; for it was possible to reckon with a
fair amount of certainty that those to whom payments had to be
made would also accept a bill not yet mature in place of ready
money. It is perhaps hardly necessary to add that in all such
transactions the element of time was of course taken into
consideration, and discount consequently allowed for.”
Fekete's
discussion of
the process parallels that of Mises.
“Yet
the supplier can use the bill to pay his own suppliers. Endorsed
on the back, the bill can be passed along a number of times, the
endorsement indicating that title to the proceeds has thereby
been transferred from payer to payee. This transaction is also
called "discounting" as the payee applies an
appropriate discount, calculated at the current discount rate,
to the face value of the bill proportional to the number of days
remaining to maturity. Upon maturity the last payee presents the
bill for payment to the producer on whom the bill is drawn.”
Mises
wrote in 1912 on
the origin of clearing:
“The
modern organization of the payment system makes use of
institutions for systematically arranging the settlement of
claims by offsetting processes. There were beginnings of this as
early as the Middle Ages, but the enormous development of the
clearinghouse belongs to the last century. In the clearinghouse,
the claims continuously arising between members are subtracted
from one another and only the balances remain for settlement by
the transfer of money or fiduciary media. The clearing system is
the most important institution for diminishing the demand for
money in the broader sense.”
Fekete
has also written on early clearinghouses:
“Let
us look at another instance of clearing and self-liquidating
credit that was vitally important in the Middle Ages: the
institution of city-fairs. Among the most notable ones were the
fairs of Lyon in France, and those of Seville in Spain. They
were annual events lasting up to a month. They attracted
fair-goers from places as far as 500 miles away who brought
their merchandise to sell, as well as their shopping-list of
merchandise to buy.”
A
significant proportion of Fekete’s writings concern the
explication of clearing arrangements. Mises and Rothbard also
have provided a full explanation of clearing, netting,
settlement, and discounting. These mechanisms are well
understood by economists of the Austrian School. And, there is
no problem with clearing. As will be shown, clearing is no where
near the miracle that Fekete claims.
Clearing and
Transaction Costs
We
now examine the economic effects of clearing. The two most
important effects are the reduction of transaction costs and the
reduction of money demand.
First
we examine the reduction of transaction costs. Consider the
following example. Suppose that there are two banks, Bank F and
Bank H. Customers from one bank frequently deposit checks in
their accounts drawn upon the other bank. Each bank must settle
these checks against their bank of issue. The banks are in the
custom of settling inter-bank balances in the following manner:
-
During
a business day, 1000 oz of checks drawn upon Bank H are
deposited in Bank F.
-
Acme
armored car service transports 1000 oz of gold bars from
Bank H to Bank F.
-
The
same day 900 oz of checks on Bank F are deposited in Bank H.
-
Ajax
armored car service transports 900 oz of bars from Bank F to
Bank H.
There
are obvious efficiencies that could be realized by netting. On
the day used in the example, with netting, only 100 oz would
have to be transferred, and only in one direction. This step
alone would reduce the value of the cargo in the trucks, and
consequently the insurance premiums by about 95%. Wage and
vehicle costs and would be reduced by around one half because
the truck would only make one trip rather than two. On days when
the clearing balances happened to be equal, no transport at all
would be required.
Further
efficiencies could be gained if Bank H and Bank F loaned each
other the net amount from day to day, on the assumption that a
daily net clearing balances in one direction on one day would
tend, over the course of a month, to approximately cancel out.
Settling for the net amount (including the interest on the daily
loans) once per month would reduce costs additionally, compared
to daily netting, by a factor of about 30-to-1.
Further
cost savings could be realized by including other banks. Suppose
that there are N banks within a clearing network. If each bank
settled with each other bank, there would be around 2*N2
exchanges without netting in either direction. If the net
position of each bank relative to all other banks were
calculated each day, then each bank could make a single transfer
of its net clearing balance, for a total of N exchanges.
Once
started, there will tend be a competitive process driving the
adoption of clearing systems. When at first a few firms start to
use a clearing system, they will be able to reduce their money
demand and correspondingly. The reduction of money demand
enables those firms to offer higher money prices for factors. If
other firms in their industry did not also adopt a clearing
system, they would find that they were being outbid for factors
by the firms using the system. In most cases, a rapid
readjustment of factor prices will occur as the remaining firms
join the clearing system.
There
will be changes in wealth distribution from this shift. The
first movers will have made some gains at the expense of the
late adopters because they will have reduced their money demand
and thus been able to purchase scarce factors at the original,
lower prices. But overall the changes in factor prices reflect
the reduction in money demand – factors do
not become cheaper in real terms when the purchasing power of
money changes. Only because of the reduction of gold bar
transport will overall costs be slightly reduced.
Clearing and
the Demand for Money
There
are two secular influences on the long-term trend in the demand
for money. Economic growth and clearing. They have opposite
effects, with economic growth tending to increase money demand
because more goods are produced so more transactions take place.
Clearing
tends to reduce money demand because less money must be held for
the settlement of transactions. Rothbard
notes, the “major long-run factor counteracting this tendency
and tending toward a fall in the demand for money is the
growth of the clearing system.” Mises
explains how this occurs:
“The
reduction of the demand for money in the broader sense which is
brought about by the use of offsetting processes for settling
exchanges made with the help of money, without affecting the
function performed by money as a medium of exchange, is based
upon the reciprocal cancellation of claims to money. The use of
money is avoided because claims to money are transferred instead
of actual money. This process is continued until claim and debt
come together, until creditor and debtor are united in the same
person. Then the claim to money is extinguished, since nobody
can be his own creditor or his own debtor.”
A
reduction in money demand, as for any other good, shows up as a
lower price for that good (assuming that supply does not change
at the same time). What does it mean for money to have a lower
price? The concept of “a lower price for money” is more
difficult to explain than for a (non-money) good because money
does not have a price as such – it has many prices. The prices
of all goods, expressed in terms of money are the inverse prices
of money expressed in terms of goods. If a loaf of bread sells
for $2, then the price of dollars in terms of bread is ½. A
lower price for money means higher money prices for goods.
But
does this matter? Fekete suggests
that it does. He proposes that a limited quantity of money per se is a constraint on production:
“To
put the matter differently, [under
the RBD] the gold standard [i.e.
the relatively fixed supply of money] is no longer a fetter
upon technological progress and further division of labor, as it
would be in the absence of the bill of exchange. …The bill of
exchange has opened up new avenues for progress, leading to
great improvements in the condition of human life on earth.
Technological progress will never again be obstructed by a
dearth of gold.“
[Explications
added - Blumen]
On
the contrary, the nominal purchasing power of a single money
unit (a coin, gram, or ounce) does not matter where production
is concerned. Here, we join
with Charles Carroll in “denouncing the idea that an
increasing trade necessarily requires an increase of money, as
an error and a delusion.”
Economic
calculation deals with ratios, nominal quantities. Ratios are
formed between nominal quantities, tending to cancel out
proportional variations. Workers, for example, are concerned
with real wages – the ratio of their nominal wages to the
nominal prices of goods that they wish to purchase. Investors
are concerned not with nominal profits, but with return on
equity, yields, and other dimensionless quantities.
Moreover,
any quantity of money can perform any volume of transactions because
the same real transaction can be performed at any money price.
That is to say, there is no monetary benefit to the additional
gold. (This conclusion, did not come from Rothbard; it was
already well-known to classical economists such as David
Hume).
Given
a quantity of money, the same coin can turn over more, or less,
frequently depending on the volume of transactions. If the money
supply remains roughly constant while more transactions occur,
the same coin will turn over more often. If clearing systems
were not adopted in a growing economy, more turnover of each
money unit would be necessary to settle the increased number of
transactions. But the transactions could be performed just as
well without clearing.
Consider
this example: imagine a world identical to the world we live in
today, but in which all nominal money prices were twice their
present value. Wages, prices, bank accounts, savings accounts
would all stand in the same ratio to current values. All
transactions would take place at a price double the nominal
price of today. While the stock of gold coins would be double,
each gold coin would turn over one half often. Clearly, no one
would be any better or any worse off in this world than they are
today.
While
it is true that clearing makes it unnecessary to use gold coin
as intensively, this does not amount to any significant
reduction in the consumption of scarce factors (except for the
cost of loading more gold bars on trucks) only a slower turnover
of the given stock of coins, whatever that is.
In
the end, the nominal price changes resulting from clearing
arrangements don’t make scarce productive factors cheaper in
real terms. For capital to become cheaper in real terms, there
must be more of it. Capital can only be created the diversion of
more final goods from consumption to savings.
Clearing and
Savings
Fekete
claims that savings alone are insufficient to fund capital
investment, while the appearance of more Bills of Exchange
provides a means of funding investment without savings. While
this claim might seem incredible, I will present several direct
quotations from Fekete’s own writings to establish it. Here,
for example he states that savings are insufficient to
finance capital investment:
“Let
me suggest it to you that no conceivable economy can generate
savings so prodigiously as to move all the indispensable items
to the consumer. I conclude that the division of labor could
have never been refined, and the "roundaboutness" of
the production process could have never been lengthened, beyond
the level reached by the cottage industries of the medieval
manors, wherein every family had to produce not only its own
food and fuel, but also its clothes and shelter.”
And
here, Fekete
writes,
“…the
real bill will do the miracle of financing production and
distribution spontaneously, without taking one penny out of
the piggy-banks of the savers, and without legal tender coercion.”
As an
inflationist in good standing, Fekete's theory is firmly
anchored in the confusion between money and wealth. Fekete
starts with the true premise that clearing increases the
efficiency in the use of cash, to the false conclusion that it
allows production to be funded by a bill alone.
While the
premise is true, the conclusion is false. Clearing has economic
benefits, but it has nowhere near the magical properties that
Fekete would have us think. Fekete's extravagant claim regarding
the ability of bills to substitute for actual savings is
entirely erroneous.
Financing
is not funding. Economizing the use of cash is not the same as
economizing scarce real factors. Land, labor, and fixed capital
do not come into being through the establishment of clearing
systems. Economizing cash only enables the existing supply of
factors to trade at higher money prices.
Final
goods are used up in the process of producing other goods.
Savings consists of the goods that are made available to
producers for their consumption while they are not producing any
final goods themselves. The saved goods are consumed in the
service of funding greater production in the future. Mill used
the term reproductive
consumption to emphasize the two aspects of savings:
consumption and production.
If
money were savings, then more money (or more bills) would be the
equivalent of more savings. But money is not savings: savings is
in essence a
non-monetary phenomenon. As E.A. Goldenweiser explains
(quoted by Kurt Richebächer) “Saving
means the withdrawal of sufficient resources from the production
of consumption and services to have enough for maintenance,
expansion and improvement of the plant.”
Then,
he adds a remark that could have been aimed at our contemporary
RBD inflationists:
“ever
since Wesley Mitchell’s Business Cycles there has been a
tendency to concentrate too much on the monetary expression of
economic developments, and it has become reactionary to think in
physical terms.”
If
a farmer were to consume an apple as a snack while on vacation,
then no new production would have come about as a result. But a
farmer who sets aside some apples from the apple harvest, then
eats them to sustain himself while planting some apple trees
that will bear more fruit in the future has reproductively
consumed the apples.
It
may come as a surprise that money is not savings. Living as we
do in a monetary economy, we often think of savings as saved
money because our saving is done with money. The difference
between monetary savings and in-kind savings, as in the apple
example above, is that with monetary savings, the transfer of
money from the saver to the producer confers on the producer the
ability to purchase good on the market with the saved money.
With monetary savings, the saver and the producer may be
different people. The producer makes the decision of what kind
of goods to save.
Conclusion
Fekete’s
case for the fallacious Real Bills Doctrine relies on the
alchemical properties of clearing systems. Clearing systems are
said to overcome the savings deficiency that will inevitably
appear in a growing economy. This conclusion is based on a
serious misunderstanding of the nature of savings.
Clearing
has nothing to do with savings. More clearing does not mean more
savings. No quantity of bills of exchange could enable a single
barrel of oil to be refined into twice as many gallons of gas,
or a single loaf of bread to feed twice as many shoe makers. The
amount of rubber, oil, bricks, computers, accountants, office
buildings, or other factors of production that go into the
manufacture of a car or a house would be unchanged, even if all
intermediate transactions were settled in cash.
For
a bill to replace actual savings, the bill would have to be one
and the same thing as a saved good, so that it could be
reproductively consumed. In reality it is only a claim to that
good. As André
Dorais wrote to me in an email, “if you consider a Real
Bill as a good and add one each time you produce a real
good you would obtain two goods. But you did not produce two
goods, only one.”
While
savings are scarce, clearing is no substitute for them. The
issue of Bills of Exchange, then, is a non-solution to a
non-problem. There is no motivation for the rest of his
doctrine. The RBD can be seen for what it is: yet another paper
money inflation scheme.
Financing
is not funding. Paper claims are not savings. Money is not
wealth. The consumption of savings cannot be multiplied beyond
actual savings through the creation of bills. We can do no
better than did Charles
Holt Carroll when he wrote, “We cannot eat
our cake and have it too; this truth was settled to the
satisfaction of each one of us in the nursery.”

© 2005 Robert Blumen
Editorial Archive
Carroll, Charles Holt, 1856 in Hunt's Merchants' Magazine
and Commercial Review, "The Gold of California and Paper
Money," in Edward C. Simmons, ed., The Organization of
Debt Into Currency and Other Papers, William Volker Fund
Series in the Humane Studies, Princeton, New Jersey: William
Volker Fund, 05/04/17, 1964, 31.
Carroll, Charles Holt, 1858 in The Bankers' Magazine and
Statistical Register, XIII, "Organization of Debt Into
Currency," in Edward C. Simmons, ed., The Organization
of Debt Into Currency and Other Papers, William Volker Fund
Series in the Humane Studies, Princeton, New Jersey: William
Volker Fund, 05/04/21, 1964, 94.
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Robert
Blumen is an independent software developer based in San Francisco,
California
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