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TH*NK*NG
(ROGUES)
by Fred
Cederholm
Economic Analysis
Column
Columnist, Baltimore
Chronicle & Sentinel
January 27, 2008
I’ve been thinking
about rogues. Actually I’ve been thinking about auditors,
defalcations/ frauds, Societe Generale, systems of internal control, and
convenience. Most of the financial news stories of the prior week
focused on the bloodbath that hit the world’s stock exchanges as the
current Sub-Prime/ Alternative-A loan debacle continues to unwind. The
US markets (closed on Monday for the observance of the Martin Luther
King holiday) seemed to get a get a temporary pass from a week of
otherwise global carnage. Was it the FED’s emergency rate cut of .75%
and all the MEGA media hype surrounding proposals
for some “major” $600 windfall for each US taxpayer (“maybe”
materializing three to four months down the road) that spared only those
exchanges in North America’s Eastern Standard Time Zone from the
massive bloodletting? I
don’t TH*NK so!
You see as a forensic
investigative accountant and auditor, I am fascinated by the unfolding
drama in Paris, France involving “the alleged” defalcations/ frauds
by ONE single employee which caused losses of at least $7.1 BILLION to
the second largest bank in France – Societe Generale. One might ask:
why even care about the French story because the US markets obviously
dodged the bullet last week? The answer rests in that I don’t see the
Societe Generale event as some isolated incident! I fear it is but a
harbinger of similar potential horror stories to come anywhere on the
planet. Remember the maxim: “don’t be too smug because there but for
the grace of God go I”
The forthcoming
details of how a solitary 31 year old, lower-level investments’ trader
at this huge financial institution could pull off such a devastating
illegal pattern of activities for almost two years fly in the face of
all logic. Somewhere along the line, one would presume that whistles,
sirens and red flags would have been triggered and the rogue’s
activities halted. Any comprehensive and working system of internal
controls, checks and balances, and safeguards would have precluded this
from continuing beyond a few weeks given the dollars (make that EUROs)
involved. Such intervention apparently did not happen! Was anyone really
minding the store? It doesn’t look like it.
Financial service
entities are traditionally inundated with systems of internal accounting
control and auditors. They are unique in that there are at least three
separate and distinct audit/ auditor forces which should function in
related, yet distinct, oversight capacities. First, there are the
internal audit teams and management committees who monitor and override
potentially damaging overzealous/ excessive individual actions/
activities. Secondly, there are the external regulatory examiners who
periodically (at least once a year) show up to verify compliance with
mandated statutory guides and limitations. Finally, there are the
outside independent public accountants who test/ verify compliance with
systems and controls as part of their annual audits. Did all three drop
the ball here? Or, is this another case, like ENRON, where nobody was
concerned until losses surfaced?
It would appear that
the individual in question somehow managed to completely circumvent at
least five distinct levels of controls and firewalls. How was this even
possible? How would he be privy to the user IDs and individual
passwords/ codes for multiple other individuals, at multiple
workstations, in multiple departments and locations? Given the amounts
and number of transactions, were there no supervisory approvals and
co-authorizations simultaneously required? Or, verified?
It is just too
convenient to saddle one rogue individual at one institution as some
isolated incident in the unfolding drama of the worldwide breakdown of
our financial system network. I’m just not buying it. Who will be
next? For how big a hit? And… who will be ultimately tapped to
“cover” the loss(es)? I’m Fred Cederholm and I’ve been thinking.
You should be thinking, too

© 2008 Fred Cederholm
Editorial Archive
Contact
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Fred
Cederholm | Creston,
IL USA | Email
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