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The Daily Reckoning PRESENTS
This coming Tuesday, January 31 will see Greenspan
pass the torch to Ben Bernanke as the head of the Federal Reserve. Let's
take a quick look at the job Helicopter Ben will be taking over...
"Alan
Greenspan is the greatest economist of our time...probably the best
central banker of all time."
Thus
saith a French economist this morning interviewed on a radio talk show
this morning. Your editor, also a guest on the show, was asked to
respond. What follows is not what he said (because when he is called
upon to speak in public he tends to hem and haw like a teenager asking
for a date.) But this is what we intended to say:
"Yes,
we agree. Alan Greenspan is probably the best central banker that ever
lived...in the sense that Butch Cassidy was a great bank robber or Mrs.
Purdy ran a great bordello. What is great about him is that he really
understood central banking and appreciated it; the way a swindler
admires a really good flimflam."
"What
you have to remember," we began, gravely, "is that a central
bank cannot work miracles. It cannot turn water into wine. It cannot
make the blind see, nor heal the sick. When we speak of the central bank
'creating prosperity,' for example, we are either exaggerating or
outright lying.
The
lilies at central bank toil not, neither do they spin. They plant not.
They harvest not. They manufacture not. They invent not. 'Not' is what
they do best...except when it comes to the nation's stock of money.
There they put their shoulders to it.
"But
what can they do? They are typically thought to control the quality of
money. This, of course, is what they are supposed to do. And in Europe,
more or less, that is what Jean-Claude Trichet does. But central banking
in Europe is a slightly different métier from central banking in the
United States. Bill Clinton jokingly wished he could create an Alan
Greenspan Inc. and sell it on the NYSE. So high had Greenspan's stock
flown, Clinton knew he'd get rich on options and warrants. Who would
suggest such a thing for Trichet? Who even knows his name or would
recognize him a lap-dance bar? The man labors in relative obscurity...if
not absolute and perpetual darkness.
"How
he must envy Alan Greenspan! The American Fed chief's picture is on the
cover of every magazine...on the front page of every newspaper...and on
the evening news, too. Le Monde commented earlier in the week that
Greenspan was 'the prototype for the great leader of the 21st century.'
"Why
such a big difference between the European's central bank chief and his
American counterpart? We have an answer. It is because the
euro-functionaire does the job he's supposed to do. Europe is a mixture
of many different economies. It cannot easily agree on a common economic
policy. The most it can ask of its central banker is that he not destroy
the group's common money.
"Not
so over in the imperial homeland. There, Mr. Greenspan casts a much
bigger shadow across the world stage. He is not merely a bit player but
the lead...the protagonist...the one who outsmarts the villain and wins
the heart of the leading lady. And he is the one with the big guns in
his hand. America's Fed-head is charged not merely with protecting the
dollar, but also with assuring full employment, hiking-up property
prices, doling out low-cost credit, re-electing all public officials; he
must finance all wars, pills and hurricane clean-ups, and a low-fat
chicken in every pot. He has what is known as a 'dual mandate' - he must
control the nation's economy and its money at the same time.
"But
there is a place where the whole folderol washes up every time. A
central bank can protect the value of the currency; Trichet is proving
it. But when it is asked to do more than that, the currency swiftly goes
down the drain. Let us explain: The only thing a central bank can
control directly is the nation's money. It can control either the
quantity of it, or the quality. The quality is controlled by resisting
the impulse to issue too much money, but resisting the impulse to create
too much money is exactly what nobody wants. Politicians, consumers,
merchants, investors and two-bit grifters all want more money, not less.
"Thus,
even the most prudent and responsible central bankers inevitably allow a
bias to creep into their management of the country's money. When crises
threaten they quickly cut rates and pump up the money supply. When
crises don't threaten any more, they drag their feet in tightening up.
We saw this happen with Alan Greenspan's Fed recently. The recession of
2001 brought brisk treatment - rates were lowered like a leper's body
into a grave. But when the time came to put rates back up, it was done
gingerly...by tiny 'baby steps' over what seemed like an eon.
"And
that is why activist central banking is nothing more than a fraud. If
the object were only to have stable money, the bankers would simply fix
the price of the currency to gold and no banker's bilious face would
appear on the cover of Time. They'd all be as anonymous as Trichet. Alan
Greenspan said so himself, before he arrived at the Fed. And yes, once
settled in the cushiest chair at the Fed, Alan Greenspan made central
banking work...but only for him.
"The
job, as we have come to know it, is better than 'Survivor' when it comes
to creating celebrities. The only thing it does better is creating
money. And the only thing you can be sure of is that the money it
creates will lose value and continue losing value until it has none
left. At that point, even lepers won't want to touch it."

© 2006 Bill Bonner
The
Daily Reckoning Archives
www.dailyreckoning.com
Bill
Bonner is the founder and editor of The Daily Reckoning. He is
also the author, with Addison Wiggin, of The Wall Street Journal best
seller Financial Reckoning Day: Surviving the Soft Depression of the
21st Century (John Wiley & Sons). In Bonner and Wiggin's follow-up
book, Empire of Debt: The Rise of an Epic Financial Crisis, they wield
their sardonic brand of humor to expose the nation for what it really is
- an empire built on delusions. Daily Reckoning readers can buy their
copy of Empire of Debt at a discount - just click on the link below:
"Now Perhaps Someone
Will Listen!" http://www.isecureonline.com/Reports/RCKN/E_O_D/
You
can sign up for a free subscription to the Daily Reckoning here: http://www.dailyreckoning.com.
This
essay was originally published in The Daily Reckoning.
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