Kurt Kallaus's picture

Price patterns created by repetitive general psychological investor reactions to panics can be interesting and useful. Often these panics occur when there is no economic basis in reality. The Black Monday 1987 panic, the 1998 Asian Contagion panic and the Flash Crash...

Doug Short's picture

Official recession calls are the responsibility of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, which is understandably vague about the specific indicators on which they base their decisions. This committee statement is about as close as...

Jeffrey D Saut's picture

For the College Humor Magazine I submitted a collection of many ‘laws’ and other items, including my College Course Descriptions: 1) If it’s green, wiggles or slithers, it’s biology; 2) If it stinks, it’s probably chemistry...

Matthew Kerkhoff's picture

The US economy and especially the global economy have tremendous amounts of inertia. Once in motion, they cannot reverse course in a day, or over a few weeks. What can happen over the course of a day or a few days...

Bill Witherell's picture

Global financial markets have just gone through ten market days of high turbulence, blamed widely on developments in China. This note discusses (in increasing order of their importance for US investors) the bursting of China stock...

Monty Guild's picture

For first worlders, weather is often just an annoyance or a pleasure; Californians have started to become more attuned to the weather’s economic influence during the ongoing drought. However, weather influences...

Marc Chandler's picture

US 10-year Treasury yields have risen 30 bp since Monday's low water mark. There are a number of reports that try to link the backing up in US yields to purported sales by China. The Chinese sales, in turn, are linked...

Global Risk Insights's picture

Public discontent over for-profit university financing schemes in the United States could present serious sociopolitical and economic challenges. The 2011 student protests in Chile serve as a sobering example of...

FS Staff's picture

“This illusion of the omnipotent central banker is one of the biggest bubbles that we’ve seen,” says Ronald Stoeferle, Managing Director at Incrementum AG. He sees huge differences between the Fed of the past and the current leadership under Janet Yellen...

Sheraz Mian's picture

The crazy volatility of recent days isn’t over yet, but the major indexes appear on track to sustain the rebound from Wednesday. The overnight action out of China was favorable, with government intervention giving...

Quantcast