This week the market has seen a greater loss in momentum and breadth, which suggests we are on a much weaker foundation than was seen in 2013. Interestingly, while US markets are beginning to show signs of exhaustion, there are signs of life in emerging markets.
With April Fools’ Day behind us, it’s time to get serious about investing. Don’t be fooled by this week’s non-farm payroll report; nor by the assertion that the U.S. may have the cleanest of the dirty shirts. And certainly don’t be fooled into thinking the market has your interests in mind…
Set aside the gloom and doom and make hay while the sun shines, advises Jim Puplava in his recent Big Picture broadcast, “As Good As It Gets—And It’s Getting Better.”
Jim Bianco warns that China may be in a hard-landing phase right now as economic data continues to deteriorate and more funds flee the country. When asked what the implications are for other markets, he said that it will certainly cause a problem, but he’s not expecting an ’08 crash.
The Q4 2013 ratio is 67.9%, fractionally off the all-time high of 68.6% in Q1 2011. From a theoretical perspective, there is a point at which personal consumption as a percent of GDP can't really go any higher. We may be hovering in that upper range.
On Monday, the January release of the Philadelphia Fed’s State Leading Economic Index came out for all 50 states of the nation. The leading index is a six-month forecast for the state coincident indexes and the January data showed that all 50 states are expected to see their coincident indexes rise over the next six months.
While spending 16 years as the Chief National Security Analyst on the House and then Senate Budget Committees, Mike Lofgren, furnished with top security clearance, began to visualize an invisible power structure running the U.S. government.