Over the past few weeks, geo-political tensions have increased in various parts of the world and we have also experienced a sovereign debt default. Despite these developments, the majority of the stock markets have held up relatively well and so far...
There are two catalysts I see that could spark a deeper correction after the present relief rally runs its course. The first being the most obvious is a further escalation on the Ukraine/Russian front and the second is a slowdown in US economic growth stemming from prior inflationary pressures.
This Great Graphic comes from New York Federal Reserve via a tweet from NickatFP. On a quarterly basis, going back to the start of 2003, it shows the dollar level as well as the composition of U.S. household debt.
Investing is an inherently risky business with lots of uncertainties. At any given moment, the bullets can fly from any direction, and at a bare minimum, the investor hopes to emerge unscathed from the battlefield. But of course, the goal of investing is not just to break-even, but...
Over the course of the next two columns, I plan to finish up the recent look at BP’s Statistical Review of World Energy 2014. The final two columns will focus on renewable energy, and carbon dioxide emissions.
As any good market technician will tell you, rotations are the lifeblood of any bull market. The time to worry is when money stops moving from sector to sector and decides, instead, to shift en masse to a separate asset class like bonds or cash.
While the decline in long-term interest rates has many confused given the recent improvement in U.S. economic data, it appears the main driver is a flight to quality alongside a weakening global economy and heightened geopolitical concerns.
Yesterday Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer gave a speech entitled The Great Recession: Moving Ahead. A key topic is the question of long-term structural changes to the economy — whether we're experiencing economic weakness with deeper roots than the cyclical effect of the last recession.
The Death of Money, Jim Rickards’ second book, has met with widespread acclaim. In it, Jim refines and develops multiple topics raised in his first book, Currency Wars, as well as adding some intriguing new material regarding the role of intelligence agencies in international financial and monetary affairs.
By now most who follow the stock market know that the first two years of each presidential term are basically flat, but the good times come in the 3rd year which is nearly always an up year.