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18 May 2013
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ISM Manufacturing Index Expands, But Less Than Expected

By Doug Short05/01/2013

Today the Institute for Supply Management published its February Manufacturing Report. The latest headline PMI at 50.7 percent is the fifth month above 50 after one month below. However today's number was below the Briefing.com consensus of 51.0 percent.

Fractional Reserve Banking: It’s Not Your Money… You Only Think It Is!

By Mark Nestmann05/01/2013

In the aftermath of the forced confiscation of bank accounts in Cyprus, the question that clients ask me most is, “could it happen here?” “Here” is wherever the client lives or invests, and could be the United States, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Switzerland, or any other country.

Corn: Too Cold or Wet Yet

By Ned W Schmidt CFA05/01/2013

Let us start by remembering the most important aspect of Agri-Commodities. They are not produced in a factory. Corn, today’s example, is produced by placing a seed in dirt with the proper amount of water and nutrients.

OECD Study Forecasts Sharply Higher Global Crude Oil Demand

By Joseph Dancy04/30/2013

A working paper published by the Economics Department of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) last week examined the long term trends that are driving global crude oil supply and demand levels and hence influencing oil prices. 

Rising Dollar Myth

By Axel G Merk04/30/2013

Year-to-date, the U.S. dollar is up; does that mean we are in a rising dollar environment? Or is it an opportunity to diversify out of the greenback?

Book Review: “The Great Deformation – The Corruption of Capitalism in America”

By Detlev S Schlichter04/30/2013

David Stockman’s new book “The Great Deformation” is a brilliant, penetrating analysis of the present state of the US economy and the US political system, and a detailed account of how the nation got into this mess. 

The Cashless Society

By John Mauldin04/29/2013

It is a common trope in science fiction novels. Economic transactions are handled seamlessly with a wave of a card or a physically imbedded chip, and whatever the author imagines money to be is transferred, far removed from the archaic confines of ancient physical monies.

6-Month Unfavorable Seasonality Period Approaches

By Carl Swenlin04/26/2013

Next Wednesday, May 1, begins a six-month period of unfavorable seasonality, of which we are commonly reminded by the saying "Sell in May and go away."

Michigan Consumer Sentiment: Better Than Expected, But Worse Than Last Month

By Doug Short04/26/2013

The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment final number for April came in at 76.4, a welcome improvement over the preliminary reading of 72.3, but below the March final of 78.6.

Catching A (Golden) Falling Knife

By Ryan Puplava CMT04/25/2013

For the past few months, there have been some catalysts that have depressed commodity prices. The number one reason has been the rally in the dollar caused by Italian elections, Cyprus’ banking issues, strong U.S. economics, and anticipation of Japanese easing monetary policy.

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