Doug Short's picture

The July Consumer Price Index for Urban Consumers (CPI-U) released this morning puts the June year-over-year inflation rate at 2.07%, fractionally off last month's 2.13% 19-month high...

Marc Chandler's picture

The euro slipped through the low of the year and the weekly trend line going back to 2012. However, it found bids near $1.3460 and has recovered a bit. The key on the upside now is $1.3500. A move above there and the technical tone can begin stabilizing.

Jeffrey D Saut's picture

I recalled those words from my friend Shad Rowe, who is the eagled-eyed captain of the Dallas-based money management firm Greenbrier Partners, as I listened to Janet Yellen's testimony last week. Ms. Yellen was opining that the action in social media and biotech stocks is reminiscent of what Shad was warning about in Forbes magazine 23 years ago.

Chris Puplava's picture

There has been a clear preference this year for large cap stocks over small cap. This is readily visible when looking at performance of the Russell indices with the mega cap stocks like the Russell Top 50 Index up just under 5% year-to-date (YTD) while...

Doug Short's picture

Broad-based increases in the LEI over the last six months signal an economy that is expanding in the near term and may even somewhat accelerate in the second half.

Ryan Puplava CMT's picture

It’s time to do a technical checkup on the market. There have been a couple of trends to note recently that indicate where investors should bias their equity allocation. As I have mentioned a few times lately, there has been a large concern over valuations in the market.

Doug Short's picture

The Philly Fed's Business Outlook Survey is a monthly report for the Third Federal Reserve District, covers eastern Pennsylvania, southern New Jersey, and Delaware. The latest gauge of General Activity came in at 23.9, an increase from last month's 17.8.

Marc Chandler's picture

U.S. housing starts in June collapsed. The 9.3% decline contrasts with expectations for a 1.9% increase, according to a Bloomberg survey. Adding insult to injury the May series was revised down to show a decline of 7.3% rather than 6.5% as initially reported. And worse, the building permits fell 4.2%. They were expected to have risen by 3.0%.

Chris Puplava's picture

Once an economic recovery picks up steam and inflationary pressures begin to rise, the market's reaction function "switches polarity" and incoming economic data is now interpreted as a negative market signal because it means there is a greater chance the Fed will be raising interest rates in the near future. This is where we find ourselves now.

Gary Dorsch's picture

In an age when governments of every political leaning and ideological stripe distort economic data to promote their parties’ interests, it is hardly surprising that the nation’s inflation rate is reported in a manner that best suits their political needs.

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