Marc Chandler's picture

An ill-conceived strategy undermined by mismanagement and bad fortune is increasing the risks that the UK votes to leave the EU in June. Nearly everything that could have gone wrong for UK Prime Minister Cameron.

Urban Carmel's picture

As of last Friday, equities rose for a fifth week in a row. In many important ways, the current uptrend does not fit the profile of a bear market rally. That means that further gains lie ahead and a return to the February low is unlikely. On a shorter...

Andrew Zatlin's picture

The payroll slowdown has jumped from being an energy sector problem to an all-industry problem. Industrial companies are currently in a defensive posture because they expect little or even slightly negative revenue growth this year.

Michael Shedlock's picture

Axel Merk, President & CIO, Merk Investments LLC, pinged me on March 16 with his thoughts regarding “Peak Dollar“. He is not referring to the number of dollars, but rather, the intermediate-term value of the dollar compared to...

Sheraz Mian's picture

With the Dow up five days straight and oil now perched above $40 a barrel, we see futures up this Friday. This week — complete with a dovish opinion from the FOMC regarding forward interest rates and some better-than-expected earnings...

Ben Hunt PhD's picture

In the second half of 2014, export volumes in every major economy on Earth began to decline, the result of divergent monetary policies that crystallized with the Fed’s announced tightening bias in the summer of 2014. This decline in trade...

Axel G Merk's picture

Is the dollar's seemingly relentless rise in recent years coming to an end? What are the implications not only for the greenback but other currencies and markets around the world? The chart below shows the US dollar index over the past 40...

Christopher Quigley's picture

On the 26th of February, the Irish people went to the polls in a general election. Nearly three weeks later a government has not been formed because no dominant party won an outright majority. It looks like this instability...

Tom McClellan's picture

On March 3, the McClellan A-D Oscillator hit a reading of +332, which was its highest reading since the +386 reading seen on Jan. 6, 2009. The cause of that high reading has been a big surge in positive breadth days for the NYSE ever since the Feb. 11, 2016 price low...

Andrew Zatlin's picture

The Fed’s next move with interest rates is the biggest issue driving global credit and equity markets. The fundamental idea is that the economy is like a candle: if it burns too bright, it burns out faster...

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