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21 May 2013
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Market’s Bill of Health – Cyclicals May Play Catch Up, Helping to Drive Market Higher

By Chris Puplava04/10/2013

As highlighted in the last few “Market’s Bill of Health” reports, the S&P 500 has been showing weakening breadth and momentum which typically occurs before short-term tops. In prior reports it was shown that weakness in cyclicals was the culprit as the defensive sectors led by health care continued to power higher. Currently, however, recent movements in the cyclical sectors suggests that their underperformance to the broad market may be ending, with a weakening USD providing the catalyst.

A Date Which Will Live in Yenfamy

By Grant Williams04/10/2013

On April 4, 2013, bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko's extraordinary monetary measures rocked the headlines. Grant predicts that day will live in Yenfamy, propelling Japan's economy toward an ever more certain reckoning.

It’s Official: Global Economic Policy Now Firmly in the Hands of Money Cranks

By Detlev S Schlichter04/10/2013

The lesson from the events of 2007-2008 should have been clear: Boosting GDP with loose money – as the Greenspan Fed did repeatedly between 1987 and 2005 and most damagingly between 2001 and 2005...

Bitcoin Obliterates “The State Theory Of Money”

By Jon Matonis04/10/2013

Once you get past the childish title, the recent bitcoin piece from Karl Denninger raises some issues that warrant consideration from bitcoin economists. Denninger is an intelligent student of the capital markets and his essay deserves a serious reply.

Small Business Sentiment: Contraction after Three Months of Slow Growth

By Doug Short04/09/2013

The latest issue of the NFIB Small Business Economic Trends is out today. The April update for March came in at 89.5, which puts it deep in the cellar at the 9th percentile in this series, where a distinctly recessionary mood prevails.

The Theology of Inflation

By John Mauldin04/09/2013

We begin this week with a simple pop quiz. Is inflation good or bad? Answer quickly. I’m sorry – your answer is wrong.

Japan: Have They Pulled It Off, Or Pulled The Pin?

By Brian Pretti CFA04/09/2013

We all know what has been going on with Japanese politics, BOJ personnel reformation and Japanese financial markets since Abe was elected late last year. The Japanese have now joined the global central banking chorus of “whatever it takes”.

Kuroda Leapfrogs Bernanke

By Douglas Noland04/08/2013

Last August, in a CBB titled “Do Whatever it Takes,” I drew parallels between the progression of experimental global central bank “money printing” to the escalation of aerial attacks against civilians during WWII.

FATCA Is Far from a Done Deal

By Jon Matonis04/08/2013

Largely affecting those banks outside of the U.S., the Foreign Account Tax Compliance Actrequires all foreign financial institutions to report the activities of their American clients to the Internal Revenue Service. 

The Big Four Economic Indicators: Employment Update

By Doug Short04/05/2013

Today's employment report showed an increase of only 88,000 new nonfarm jobs, far below the consensus. But the unemployment rate dropped from 7.7% to 7.6%. How can that happen?

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