The world’s prominent central banks are pursuing an accommodative monetary policy and this bodes well for the stock market. Remember, when it comes to investing, monetary policy trumps everything else and the risk free rate of return determines the value of every asset.
The cluster of Hindenburg Omens on the NASDAQ, S&P 500, and Russell 2000 correctly warned of a pullback in the markets but now that we appear to be stabilizing with the FOMC meeting out of the way how should investors view the recent market weakness?
The Fed remains in the spotlight today, with the central bank expected to give investors a roadmap for the future course of monetary policy. There are plenty of other headlines as well, ranging from a continued oil price sell-off...
Winston Churchill famously said of Russian foreign policy that it was "a riddle, wrapped in a mystery, inside an enigma." What people leave out is what followed. Churchill offered an answer: "perhaps there is a key. That key is Russian national interest."
In the wake of a widely unexpected, huge oil price decline, I have received many questions and comments. Some speculate U.S. pressure on Saudi Arabia to punish Russia. Others think "big oil" is out to punish the frackers.
According to the Federal Reserve, "Industrial production increased 1.3 percent in November after edging up in October; output is now reported to have risen at a faster pace over the period from June through October than previously published.
The Financial Times ran a very interesting article last week called “China: Turning away from the dollar”. It got a lot of attention, at least among China analysts, and I was asked several times by friends and clients for my response. The authors, James Kynge and Josh Noble, begin...
The Preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment for November came in at 93.8, a strong surge from last month. Today reading is a is a post-recession high and the highest level since January 2007, almost eight years ago.
The U.S. dollar is trading within yesterday's ranges against the major currencies. The Canadian dollar is the main exception. It is pushing lower still, with the greenback pushing a little beyond CAD1.1550. The main development today is the continued drop in oil prices.
The two big financial news items in December have been the multiple Hindenburg Omen signals and the crash in crude oil prices. I recently went on CNBC to talk about the former. Its relationship to the latter is inescapable.