While Bill Gross is capturing headlines today, what carries far greater significance to the market is the action in the junk bond markets. Someone in the space yelled fire at the start of the year and investors have been heading for the exits.
Corporate profit data was released today for the second quarter, showing a broad-based rebound from the weather-induced weakness seen at the beginning of the year. Here's a look at the trend from 2009 in addition to prior market peaks.
In today’s podcast, Jeffrey Saut, the Chief Investment Strategist at Raymond James, tells Financial Sense Newshour that investors would do well to heed the message of the market, particularly by following Dow Theory buy and sell signals, which, he says, have been “pretty darn accurate” at identifying the major trend.
While we have likely seen a short-term low today and could see the markets recover in the days ahead, I would treat any bounce with a healthy dose of caution given the numerous bearish divergences and non-confirmations currently present.
After a huge 75% rally from November 2012 through May of 2013, the TOPIX (Tokyo Stock Price Index) has largely been consolidating since. Recent signs of life, however, suggest the TOPIX could be setting up for another strong run.
In a recent interview with Financial Sense Newshour, the Senior Market Strategist for Lowry Research, Richard Dickson, said that investors are getting nervous about chasing stocks at these levels, but not nervous enough to sell. He also said that "we're certainly not seeing any signs of a major top."
With mounting geopolitical tension, lack of opportunities overseas, and the relative attractiveness of U.S. markets, foreign investors are bidding up the price of U.S. stocks and the dollar, which is putting increasing pressure on gold, oil, and commodities, says Martin Armstrong.
Between Ukraine and ISIS, 2014 has been a year marked by geopolitical tension. Yet, contrary to intuition, market volatility has continued to trend downward along with the price of gold and oil, while stocks continue to hit new all-time highs. Why?
With ongoing problems in Europe and U.S. valuations looking stretched, well-known money manager Louis-Vincent Gave thinks Asia has the most going for it right now. Here are some excerpts of his recent interview.
Should the USD break out from its 2005 to present bearish trend, we should see some significant developments in inter-market relationships. For starters, the relative performance of U.S. stocks relative to the MSCI World Stock Index Excluding the U.S. shows a strong correlation to the USD Index.