Is
the Four Year Cycle Top In?
by Ron Griess
Proprietor, The
Chart Store
www.thechartstore.com
January 24, 2006
We
have been following a reverse analog chart of the S&P 500
Composite for over a year. As early as September, 2005, our
subscribers were told the time cycle high was projected to be
the Week of January 13, 2006.

The
calculations in the following chart are based on close
only through 1961, and then high or low thereafter. This is the
second longest time period, measured in trading days, that the
S&P Composite has gone without a 10% correction.

The
next two charts represent our best guess of the "Four Year
Cycle" on the S&P Composite.


The
following table presents the high to low portion of the "Four
Year Cycle" completed since 1953. Shown are the date and price
at each high and low, the percentage change from high to low and the
number of intervening 10% swings between the high and the low.


© 2006 Ron Griess
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