Patrick O'Hare's picture

November 8, 2016, may not be a day that lives in infamy, yet the path to that day—Election Day—sure has been an infamous one. The presidential campaign has been reality TV at its finest—and that's not a compliment.

FS Staff's picture

Right now, corporate profits are in a clear downtrend while employee wages are increasing. This is good for employees until companies are forced to lay off workers. Once that happens, a recession is near and investors want to reduce risk in their portfolios...

Tom McClellan's picture

Since the 2000 election, I have been tracking how the presidential election poll numbers follow in the footsteps of the stock market, with the key insight that we can gauge how the popular vote is likely to turn out based on how the stock...

Urban Carmel's picture

The macro data from the past month continues to mostly point to positive growth. On balance, the evidence suggests the imminent onset of a recession is unlikely. That said, there are some signs of weakness creeping into the data.

Michael Shedlock's picture

Today’s employment report shows an increase of 161,000 jobs. So far this year, job gains for the nation have averaged 181,000 per month, compared to an average monthly increase of 229,000 in 2015.

Adrian Ash's picture

Gold prices whipped $20 per ounce lower Thursday morning in London, dropping 1.5% from near 1-month Dollar highs even as the US currency fell on the FX market amid central-bank forecasts of rising inflation, new opinion polls...

Kurt Kallaus's picture

Within 15 years the western world entitlement tsunami enlarged by aging demographics should swamp the global economy during a deeper than normal cyclical contraction, but the tea leaves guiding current economic cycles can be...

FS Staff's picture

Looking at a daily (short-term) chart on the S&P 500, we see the MACD is on a "sell signal" (red line above black line) and has not tipped decisively into an area consistent with major bottoms seen over the past 2-3 years. In terms of Bollinger bands, we are in oversold territory but...

Alex Barrow's picture

When Ray Dalio speaks, you should listen. He’s been pulling money consistently from the markets over the last 30 years and has a long record of being right. There is now more than $13 trillion — that’s trillion with a “T” — of global debt...

Oil Price's picture

After the API shocked markets by reporting a massive 9.3-million-barrel increase in U.S. inventories yesterday, the EIA added insult to injury, saying inventories instead went up by 14.4 million barrels in the week to October 28...

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