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One of the weaknesses of the libertarian movement today is that
too many of its supporters have gotten bogged down in the
dogmatic prescriptions of high voltage but flawed intellectuals.
In doing so, they miss the more rational Big Picture view on key
issues concerning a free society. The recent debate over the
legitimacy and efficacy of "real bills" and their
relationship to gold is an example of this unfortunate tendency
among libertarians.
The
all-important question regarding "real bills" is this:
Are real bills just another form of fraudulent paper credit issued by
banks that will result in ever-spiraling price inflation? If
they are, then they should be outlawed. If they are not, then
they should be promoted if they are beneficial and desired by
free men in voluntary association in the marketplace.
Libertarians
profess to champion a FREE-market, but in regards to the issue
of real bills, they denounce the use of a form of credit (or
clearing) that springs spontaneously and FREELY from the
interactions of the market. Real bills do not come from the
machinations of greedy bankers. They do not originate from
special privileges conveyed to cartellized banks via government
bureaucrats. They do not entail misrepresentation on the part of
their issuers and acceptors. They are openly disclosed
promissory notes utilized between producers, distributors, and
retailers to facilitate the movement of goods along the
production line. To prohibit their emergence in the market would
require that we denounce the right of free trade among men --
hardly what libertarians are supposed to stand for. Since real
bills are not the result of government coercion, since they are
not fraudulent, and since they do not come from privileges
conveyed to banks, the only question that needs to be answered
is: Are they inflationary?
If they are, then we need to denounce them. If not, then we need
to espouse them.
A
Proper Definition of Inflation
What
then is the evidence in this issue? To determine whether real
bills are inflationary or not, we need to first arrive at a
proper definition of inflation. The venerable economist, Henry
Hazlitt, is the man to turn to. Long ago he gave us the correct
definition. In his book, What
You Should Know About Inflation, he wrote:
"Inflation
is not a scientific term. It is very loosely used, not only by
most of us in ordinary conversation, but even by many
professional economists. It is used with at least four different
meanings:
1.
Any increase at all in the supply of money (and credit).
2.
An increase in the supply of money that outruns the increase in
the supply of goods.
3.
An increase in the average level of prices.
4.
Any prosperity or boom.
Let
us here use the word in a sense that can be widely understood
and at the same time cause a minimum of intellectual confusion.
This seems to me to be meaning 2.
Inflation
is an increase in the supply of money that outruns the increase
in the supply
of
goods." [Funk & Wagnalls, 1968, pp. 139-140.
Emphasis in the original.]
Here
then is the real issue that all honest intellects must confront.
Does the free and non-fraudulent issuance (and subsequent
circulation) of real bills between producers, distributors, and
retailers in a marketplace result in "an increase in the
supply of money that outruns the increase in the supply of
goods?"
Blumen's
Rothbardian Errors
Robert
Blumen writes in his latest article, Real
Bills, Phony Wealth: Part II:
"[A]n
increase in the quantity of fiduciary media necessarily results
in a higher market price for some good because when they are
issued, there is no offsetting savings that withdraws demand
elsewhere. When a business sells its bills to a bank for
unbacked paper claims, the firm might use their phony paper
money to pay wages to employees, rent office space, or purchase
machinery. Whatever it is, it will sell at a higher price than
would be the case in the absence of the fiduciary media."
This
is most emphatically NOT true! The increase in the fiduciary
media of an economy (i.e., redeemable paper money) does not
"automatically" result in an increase of prices for
goods and services over the long haul. Such an increase only
creates general price inflation if it increases the monetary
aggregate at a faster rate than the simultaneous production of
goods and services accompanying it is being increased.
The
fact that there is "no offsetting savings that withdraws
demand elsewhere" is not the sole criterion in determining
whether there will be price inflation or not. This is far too
narrow of a criterion, for obviously the supply of goods and
services coming into being at the same time is a crucial
determining factor. So to claim that automatically goods
"will sell at a higher price than would be the case in the
absence of the fiduciary media" is absurd. If we are to
take Hazlitt's above definition of price inflation as true, then
we must take into consideration the increase
in the supply of goods in order to evaluate whether real
bills are detrimental or beneficial to an economy, i.e.,
inflationary or not.
The
problem with Blumen and the Rothbardians is that they are
obsessed with a very rigid definition of inflation. I assume
that they officially subscribe to Murray Rothbard's concept of
inflation in his book, What
Has Government Done to Our Money?: "Inflation may
be defined as any increase in the economy's supply of money not
consisting of an increase in the stock of the money-metal."
[Rampart College Press, 1964, p. 23.]
In
other words, to a Rothbardian, inflation is any increase in
money substitutes that exceeds gold and silver reserves.
Obviously this is one definition of inflation. But it is only monetary
inflation. We have to then concern ourselves with whether such
monetary inflation results in price inflation. After all, this
is the real issue, is it not? Will an increase in the money
supply bring about general PRICE inflation throughout the
economy over the long haul? We also have to concern ourselves
with whether such inflation of the money supply is brought about
by government privileges and bank fraud, or whether it is
brought about by market participants in free and open exchange.
Both of these questions must be considered in determining if
monetary inflation is bad or benign.
So
Blumen and the Rothbardians are starting with an unsatisfactory
concept of inflation. To steadfastly insist, as they do, that
any credit creation not arising from savings (i.e., in excess of
gold and silver reserves) is automatically bad is not a rational
way to approach the issues herein. Nor is it the way to arrive
at optimum economic productivity for a free society.
But
this is only the beginning of the Rothbardian errors. Where real
bill detractors also go wrong is in their interpretation of the
discounting process with banks. They are primarily concerned
that when real bills are discounted they will lead to the
issuance of excessive notes to purchase the real bills, which
will then lead to spiraling prices. Blumen stresses repeatedly
in his article that as more bills are discounted and more
fiduciary media enter the system, prices in general will
increase.
"Here,"
he says, "we see the error in the idea that particular
fiduciary media are backed by specific goods and therefore
non-inflationary. The money prices of goods are formed by the
interaction of everyone who has a money balance and everyone who
has something to sell in exchange for money. This means that the
goods in process, in the case of a non-monetized bill, have already
been priced given the existing supply of money. When the bill becomes a fiduciary medium, new prices are formed, through the interaction of all money and
fiduciary media in relation to the same set of goods. This
will result in higher prices for the goods in relation to the
new total supply of money and fiduciary media." [bold
phrasing added]
This
is totally wrong! Yes, goods are priced according to the
interaction of the circulating real bills in relation to the
goods they represent. But when the bills are discounted at the
bank and turned into fiduciary media so as to circulate more
easily (because fiduciary media can be broken down into smaller
denominations), no NEW
money comes into being! The circulating real bills are
merely exchanged for a different form of media that will
circulate more easily. The bank notes enter the economy as the
real bills are withdrawn and held in the banker's vault for
30-90 days before their expiration and conversion to gold coins
when they then go out of existence. So the monetary aggregate
does not increase in any way because of the banker's issuance of
fiduciary media to purchase the real bills. And since the
original creation of real bills was in proportion to the goods
that they represented, there will be no price inflation. This is
elementary monetary economics!
Let's
examine other errors from Blumen in hopes of more clarity here.
He writes that, "There is no way that paper by
itself can fund production." This is certainly NOT
true! Paper funds production all the time. If it didn't, we
would not be growing as an economy today. But we need to ask,
will paper fund production in a safe and healthy manner? Will it
fund production without incurring spiraling prices that then
negate the increased production and its value to us? Will it, as
Hazlitt says, bring "an
increase in the supply of money that outruns the increase in the
supply of goods?" This is the real question with which
we need to concern ourselves. (More later on the issue of paper
funding production.)
Blumen
writes also that, "The only way to provide goods more
cheaply is to produce more of them through savings, work, and
investment." On this point, he is correct. A pure gold
monetary system would produce cheaper overall goods. In fact,
there would probably be a subtle and prolonged deflation of
general prices over the long haul. But there are other factors
than just cheap goods that must be considered. We need to also
ask how much goods would a pure gold monetary system produce. It is the
contention of Dr. Fekete and myself that a pure gold monetary
system would produce considerably LESS GOODS AND SERVICES than a
gold monetary system that allows for the free and spontaneous
use of real bills.
Is
Cheaper Better?
As
I wrote in my last article, Cranks
in the Gold Community, there are basically three
fundamental monetary / credit systems available to human
society. We have made use of all three during the past two
thousand years. They are: 1) a pure 100% gold and silver
monetary system, 2) a gold and silver monetary system
accompanied by real bills, and 3) a fiat paper monetary system.
The first system was used from ancient times up through the late
Middle Ages. The second was used primarily from about the 14th
and 15th century to 1914. The third has been in use throughout
the world since 1914.
I
think it is safe to say that a pure 100% gold system will result
in the cheapest goods
and services. A Keynesian fiat paper system will result in the most
expensive goods and services. While a gold system
accompanied by real bills will result in a price level somewhere
in between the cheapest and the most expensive. If the
Rothbardians have as their goal only the cheapest prices
possible, then they are correct. We should adopt a pure 100%
gold system. But the perceptive man sees a bigger picture and is
concerned not just with the price
of things, but also with the prevalence
of things. He asks which of these three systems are capable of
producing the most amount of productivity with the most price
stability -- all within the context of freedom and individual
rights. He knows that cheap goods are of little use to mankind
if there aren't very many of them.
Thus
the perceptive man looks at the history of monetary systems in
their actual practice to see which one will bring about the
greatest amount of productivity and wealth with accompanying
price stability. He does not rely solely on theoretical
suppositions of what money should be. He matches his theories
with the historical record of what he is espousing. If one does
this, he comes to the conclusion that a pure 100% gold system
will certainly work, it will produce price stability (if the
coins are not tampered with), and it will no doubt bring about
the cheapest overall prices for society. But an objective study
of history from ancient times through the Dark and Middle Ages
to the Renaissance and modernity shows that a pure metallic
money system will also bring about an extremely
primitive, low-level amount of goods and services. It will
create much less wealth and productivity than a monetary system
based upon a proper form of credit (or clearing) that exceeds
the gold reserves of that society. The key to assure such credit
propriety is to make sure that the credit / clearing instruments
are non-fraudulent and non-inflationary.
The
central message of Dr. Antal Fekete is that such a monetary
system did come close to existing in the past and could be
perfected for the future. It was the gold / silver systems of
the 18th and 19th centuries accompanied by the use of real bills
among producers, distributors and retailers. The price
inflations that existed during this era of history were not due
to the circulation and discounting of real bills, but to the
interventions of government into the monetary affairs of the
market to corrupt all credit and clearing instruments by
shielding banks from full disclosure and exempting them from the
rules of contractual law. The other two sources of price
inflation during this era were the funding of government wars
with paper money and new strikes of gold large enough to bid up
prices.
Thus
the perceptive man asks: Is there a mean
between the cheap, low productivity of the pure 100% gold system
of the Middle Ages and the expensive, high productivity of the
Keynesian fiat paper systems of the 20th century? Is there a
system that finds a balance and does not sacrifice abundance of
productivity in favor of cheapness of price? This is the
question that a perceptive man asks. He concentrates on the big
picture of history and how money actually operated over the
centuries. He asks: Which monetary system will bring about the
most amount of productivity and wealth while maintaining the
most stable prices? It's not enough to show that one's system
will bring about the cheapest
prices. That, a 100% gold system will undoubtedly do. But we
must also ask how much productivity will our monetary system bring about?
Listed
below is an example of what I mean by the fact that the 18th and
19th century monetary system of gold and silver accompanied by
real bills (but purged of the fraudulent, inflationary aspects
of fractional reserve banking) would be the mean,
i.e., the proper balance which we should strive for. It would
avoid the "defects" of a 100% gold and silver system,
and it would also avoid the "excesses" of a Keynesian
fiat paper money system. In this way, it would approach the
Aristotelian ideal which states that the good is the rational
course that lies between the two opposite extremes of defect and excess.
All
students of the market know that there is a mean to which prices
always return. Well, philosophical Aristotelians realize that
not just the stock market, but also much of life itself is
constructed around the three positions of defect-mean-excess,
and that humans and their societies constantly swing back and
forth between the three positions striving for the mean.
EXCESS
-- Keynes System
1.
Fiat paper as money
2.
Used during the 20th century and in present day
3.
Price inflation is the norm
4.
Boom / bust economy that grows in wild cycles
5.
Super productivity
MEAN
-- Fekete System
1.
Gold and silver as money accompanied by real bills
2.
Used imperfectly during the 18th and 19th century
3.
Price stability would be the norm
4.
Productive economy that grows vigorously
5.
Excellent productivity
DEFECT
-- Rothbard System
1.
Pure 100% gold and silver as money
2.
Used during ancient times up through the Middle Ages
3.
Price deflation would be the norm (if circulating coins are not
tampered with)
4.
Stagnant economy that grows very slowly
5.
Poor productivity
Why
a 100% Gold System Will Fail
Here
is why a 100% gold monetary system fails. Without a clearing
system of real bills, any gold monetary system will be exactly
what Keynesians say it will be -- contractionist.
Our economy would crash into a very low level of productivity.
If we were to attempt such a system, we would have to accept a
much lower standard of living. As Fekete shows, the reason why
Keynes got away with claiming that a gold monetary system is
contractionist and a barbarous relic is that the central banks
of Europe and the U.S. in the 1909-1920 era succeeded in
sabotaging the clearing system that real bills gave to gold
throughout the 19th century. So of course gold became
contractionist without its clearing system of real bills. But as
Fekete demonstrates repeatedly throughout his works, there is no
limit to the amount of productivity that can be cleared in
a non-inflationary way if gold is accompanied by the use of
real bills among producers, distributors and retailers.
Dr.
Fekete is presently beginning a new series of articles entitled,
A Revisionist Theory and History
of Money, in which he intends to explain HOW and WHY
this sabotaging was done by the creators of our modern day fiat
money systems. The resplendent age of freedom that existed in
the 18th and 19th centuries throughout Europe and America came
crashing down with the guns of August in 1914. Socialism was
sweeping the world, and the concept of government banking fit
right into its paradigm of monstrously regimented lives for
humans. Gold became the favorite whipping boy of the
collectivists during the thirties when, in fact, it was not the
problem at all. Gold is capable of funding a modern economy, but
not by itself. It needs a clearing system.
Rothbard
is very mistaken when he claims that a pure gold monetary system
would be quite adequate to finance a growing economy in a stable
manner. In The
Case for a 100 Percent Gold Dollar, he writes,
"that the supply of money essentially does not matter.
Money performs its function by using a medium of exchange; any
change in its supply, therefore, will simply adjust itself in
the purchasing power of the money unit, that is, in the amount
of other goods that money will be able to buy….There is
therefore never any need for a larger supply of money."
[Meriden, CT: Cobden Press, 1984, p. 28.]
As
I wrote in The
Future of Gold As Money, if there is "never any
need for a larger supply of money," why does the
marketplace (when left free) naturally expand the purchasing
power via bills of exchange and extend temporary monetary
privileges to them? The marketplace itself is telling us that
there is always a definite need for a larger supply of money.
Our only necessity is to make sure that the implementation of
this increasing money supply is carried out in a way that cannot
be corrupted into the inflated travesty we now endure.
According
to Rothbard, a 100 percent gold dollar would "simply adjust
itself in the purchasing power of the money unit." Gold
(and silver) would become elastic and would suffice to clear the
market of goods being produced. But if this is true, why didn't
they? History shows us no proof of gold and silver on their own
making such an adjustment easily and prosperously. In fact
history shows us proof of just the opposite.
A
pure 100% gold and silver system is one of the reasons why the
Middle Ages remained stagnant productivity-wise in relation to
what followed in the Renaissance, the Enlightenment, and the
modern age. Though there were numerous other reasons why
commerce and productivity began to increase greatly with the
onset of the Renaissance, one important reason was surely that trade during this era was no longer tied to a pure metallic money.
With the emergence of real bills and their sophisticated,
non-inflationary clearing system, manufacturers and merchants
were now able to expand their productivity to a much higher
level.
Rothbardians
will, of course, dispute this by repeating their mantra that
Blumen uses: "Paper by itself cannot fund production."
As they see it, real bills, being a paper instrument, cannot
increase the productive and distributive capacity of an economy.
This, as I have pointed out above, is a fallacy. Both gold and
paper are capable of increasing production. But they will not do
so with equal safety, nor with equally benign results. The
latter (when it is employed fraudulently and indiscriminately)
will result in inflationary prices, malinvestment, and a highly
unstable boom / bust economy. But if paper instruments are of a
certain kind (i.e., self-liquidating real bills) they will
readily increase production safely and benignly. Too many
libertarians miss this crucial distinction between conventional,
corruptible credit instruments and real bills. As a result, they
denounce all credit instruments that exceed gold and silver
reserves. They crudely lump them all together and thus dismiss
the immense benefit of real bills.
It
is important to point out that the central flaw of fractional
reserve banking does not lie in its use of paper to fund
production. It lies in the kind
of paper that it uses to fund production. It lies in the
laxity of banking laws upon which it is sustained. It lies in
the monopolistic fascism that it engenders between bankers and
bureaucrats. Paper (or credit) can certainly fund production.
Witness the explosion of productivity that paper and credit gave
us to fight World War II. Witness the recent explosion of
productivity during the nineties.
Whether
our money is metal or paper, humans will use increased
quantities of it to create new businesses, more goods, and
higher standards of living. But (and it's a big but) paper is
fraught with danger because it is so easy to roll off the
printing press. It is so easy to loan out, to roll over and
extend. It is so readily corruptible in the hands of
short-sighted, greedy bankers. As a result, it invariably brings
about relentless price inflation. If it is fiat paper, it will
always end in worthlessness because of the nature of man. This
is why there are necessary procedures that must be followed in
the banking world so as to inhibit this tendency to corrupt the
money and credit of an economy. These procedures were abandoned
in successive waves throughout the 20th century starting in
1913, which has led us to the runaway malignancy we term a
"money system" today.
These
procedures are: the decentralization of banks and the
prohibition of monopolized government banking, the application
of objective law to all banks (i.e., no special privileges
conveyed to them), the legal curtailment of surreptitiously
loaning out demand deposits, the requirement of full disclosure
of bank portfolios to the public on a quarterly basis, etc.
If
these procedures are followed, then credit in excess of gold
reserves is not bad. It simply must be structured according to
proper principles and objective laws so as to prohibit its
abuse. Real bills fit very nicely within such a structuring.
Glossing
Over History
In
conclusion, Rothbard's followers are barking up the wrong tree
with their animosity toward these marvelous clearing
instruments. Their theoretical grasp of the nature of real bills
is flawed because both Mises and Rothbard failed to research
them thoroughly, and dismissed them as just another form of
corruptible credit. By glossing over the history of real bills,
they failed to see their crucial link to the transformation of
economic society from low productivity in the Middle Ages to the
higher productivity of the Renaissance and its evolution into
the modern day. Antal Fekete, however, perceived the link, did
the research, and has written a powerful array of works on the
subject matter, Monetary
Economics 101 and 102. It behooves us all to delve
into this man's dynamic and independent thought. A whole new way
of viewing money will be opened up to the reader.
The
majority of today's real bill detractors will, no doubt, refuse
to change their minds. The nature of many humans is that they
prefer to twist the facts of reality semantically and let
sophistry shield them from facing up to a flawed viewpoint. But
in every generation, there is always a core of genuine truth
seekers who do not let past prejudices and errors on the part of
their intellectual leaders prohibit them from correcting those
errors and thus strengthening the cause they espouse. It is with
these stalwart souls that the future of freedom now lies.
I
would say this to Rothbardians: You need to step back from all
the minutiae and appraise the Big Picture. It would be very
helpful if you would concentrate on what is essential in this
debate:
1.
Real bills worked splendidly for 500 years. Should you not
consider why?
2.
Real bills are open, non-fraudulent agreements among market
participants that help to move goods on a grand scale. Is it
possible that Mises and Rothbard were mistaken in their
interpretation of real bills? No sin here. Humans are not gods;
they make errors.
3.
Real bills spring from the market, not from bank chicanery and
not from government coercion. How then does one prohibit their
free and spontaneous use and still claim to stand for freedom?
4.
For over 100 years from 1800 to 1914, real bills flourished
throughout the world, yet prices in Europe and America came
down. Why did this happen if they are so inflationary?
5.
The central banks sabotaged real bills in the early 20th
century. Why would central bankers, who are arch-inflationists,
have such an aversion to real bills if they are tools of
inflation as Rothbardians claim? Would not central bankers have
fought to retain them if they are so inflationary?
In
his book, What
Has Government Done to Our Money?, Murray Rothbard
writes that, "There is no need to tamper with the market in
order to alter the money-supply that it determines." [op.cit.,
p.13.]
Why
then are all his followers trying so hard to tamper with the
market in order to suppress the natural emergence of real bills?
Real bills are simply an example of self-liquidating credit that
springs up FREELY in response to a genuine need. They are an
example of the market determining the money supply in a
non-fraudulent, non-inflationary manner. Those who denounce real
bills and work for their suppression are not advancing the cause
of gold and freedom. On the contrary, they are stifling the
restoration of them to our lives.
© 2005 Nelson Hultberg
Americans for a Free Republic
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