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In two recent articles, Fool's
Gold and Real Bills, Phony
Wealth, Sean Corrigan and Robert Blumen of the Mises Institute have
put forth attempted rebuttals to Antal Fekete's work on the Real Bills
Doctrine as a necessary accompaniment to a gold monetary system. They
offer numerous economic arguments as to why real bills are supposedly
dangerous instruments that will ignite inflation, and why Murray
Rothbard's 100% gold standard is the only answer. There are four basic
flaws in their analyses that I will cover in this essay. These are far
from the only flaws, but I will leave a further and more theoretical
examination to Dr. Fekete himself.
The Definitional Flaw
The
first mistake made by Corrigan and Blumen is their Rothbardian
conception of what inflation is. They rigidly define inflation as
any excess of money and credit over gold and silver reserves. They
believe that all such monetary inflation is dangerous because it
will always bring about price inflation. This, of course, is not
true as all credible economists understand, among them the famous
libertarian Henry Hazlitt. I pointed this out in my previous
article, Real
Bills, Gold and the Big Picture.
If
we are to find the truth in this debate, then we need to start
with a proper definition of inflation.
Meaningful inflation is as Henry Hazlitt described it, "an increase in the supply of money that outruns the increase in
the supply of goods." [What
You Should Know About Inflation, pp.139-140.]
This explanation is starkly different from Murray
Rothbard's definition as: "any increase in the economy's
supply of money not consisting of an increase in the stock of the
money-metal." [What Has Government Done to Our Money?, p.23.]
The
reason for the superiority of the Hazlitt definition is that it
concerns what brings about PRICE inflation, which is the only form
of inflation that matters. If the supply of goods produced from a
monetary inflation keeps pace with the increase in the supply of
money, then there will be no PRICE inflation. Thus increasing
money and credit in excess of gold and silver reserves will not
automatically bring about price inflation. It depends on the
"increase in the supply of goods" that results.
Consequently Rothbard's definition of inflation is flawed.
Since
both Corrigan and Blumen subscribe to the rigid Rothbardian
definition of inflation, they naturally see the phenomenon of real
bills as dangerous because real bills expand the money supply in
excess of gold and silver reserves. But legitimate economists are
never concerned solely with monetary
inflation. They are always concerned with whether such monetary
inflation will bring about price
inflation. If it does, then it is dangerous. If it does not, then
it is benign.
Why
did Rothbard subscribe to such a rigid definition of inflation? Because
he had an agenda! He wanted to establish his thesis that a
pure 100% gold system was necessary and that a modern economy
could function on such a system. To do this, he had to maintain
that all monetary expansion in excess of gold and silver reserves
will bring about the dangers of price inflation. To accept
Hazlitt's definition would allow for monetary flexibility as long
as the growth of goods kept pace. This would discredit Rothbard's
agenda. Consequently the role that the supply of goods plays in
inflation had to be ignored. He had to hammer home relentlessly
that "any increase of money or credit in excess of gold and
silver reserves" is always dangerous.
Because
Rothbard started with the desire of proving the necessity of a
pure 100% gold monetary system, he thus had to maintain a rigid,
implausible definition of inflation so as to lend support to the
"necessity." He had to ignore logic and the wisdom of
all credible economists in the field, which state that if the
growth of goods and services matches the growth in money, there
will be no price inflation. Such is the folly of those who start
out with a preconceived agenda, and then try to bend the facts of
reality to that agenda, rather than just letting the facts take
them where they will as wise scientists are supposed to do.
Will Real Bills Be
Inflated by Bankers?
The
second error made by Corrigan and Blumen in their attack on
Smith's Real Bills Doctrine is they ignore the fact that real
bills are only meant to work in a truly free-market banking
system. Real bills (and any other form of credit / clearing) are
going to be abused in a government run system. That's a given. In
order for real bills to really be safely utilized requires the
absence of any central bank as a lender of last resort.
Because
they ignore this fact, Corrigan and Blumen have developed a highly
flawed argument against real bills. They are hung up, not on the
essence of real bills themselves and the necessity of their
clearing function, but on how the central banks might abuse the
real bills by using them as the basis for the issue of new money
and credit. True, central banks will abuse
them if the CB's are in existence. But in an independent banking
system, they won't be there to abuse the use of real bills.
The Corrigan gang conveniently refrains from discussing this. If
the government does its job correctly (i.e., if it punishes fraud
and does not protect the banks with privilege), there is no reason
why real bills would bring about price inflation because they are
always matched by Hazlitt's "supply of goods."
As
an example of this irrational hang-up on their part, Corrigan
writes in his article, Fool's
Gold, that "one of the most insidious dangers of the RBD
is precisely that it allows such 'clearing instruments' to be
converted into -- indeed, to form the basis of the issue of --
money and thus it begins to disrupt all-important relative price
signals."
Blumen
also expresses a similar fear that when banks discount the bills
for cash to their holders, they will not park the bills in their
vaults for the 90 days until expiration. They will turn around and
collateralize more credit with them, i.e., create demand deposits
with them as reserves.
Obviously
if this is done, then
it would indeed be inflationary, for NEW money would be
coming out of thin air into the economy that is not backed by
corresponding goods. But what Corrigan and Blumen are forgetting
is that this would not take place in a free-market system of
independent banks.
Why?
In a truly free-market banking system, commercial banks would not
be able to use the real bills to expand credit for two reasons:
full disclosure and the competition for
reputation. Sure, there would probably be a few banks that
would succumb to using the real bills in their portfolio to
collateralize new credit for their customers, rather than just
keep them in the vault and be satisfied with the discount as their
profit. But they would be very few, and they would not stay in
business very long.
For
example, without a government central bank to back up the
commercial banks, all banks would be independent and on their own.
This would force them to remain very liquid in order to avoid runs
and bankruptcy. This would be their number
one concern -- remaining liquid. Thus they would have to
attract their customers with solid banking practices, rather than
the inflationary practices of a central government backed system.
This
necessity to avoid bank runs and bankruptcy would force banks to
keep their real bills in the vault rather than expand credit with
them. And full disclosure every quarter is what would make them do
this because the biggest concern a depositor would have in an
independent banking system is the bank's integrity and liquidity.
This
would be THE PARAMOUNT ISSUE with all potential depositors! The
first thing they are going to want to know about a bank before
they leave their life savings with that bank is how solid, how
liquid is it. How susceptible to bankruptcy is it? So very few
banks would dare to collateralize demand deposit loans with their
portfolio of real bills in the face of quarterly full disclosure
to the public. To do so would diminish their depositor base.
And
all banks would have to comply with quarterly full disclosure to
the public, or they wouldn't be able to attract any depositors at
all. Who
would dare to deposit their money in a bank that does not disclose
quarterly? No one. It would be tantamount to disaster for a
bank not to fully disclose.
Under
our system of government regulated banks today, no one is
concerned with a bank's portfolio and its liquidity because they
know that the Fed will always be there to back up that particular
bank if it gets into trouble. But in a free-market system of
banking (where all banks are independent and on their own), then
all depositors will very quickly become extremely concerned with
the bank's integrity, its liquidity, its reputation. No one is going to put money into a bank that
is top heavy with outstanding loans in excess of gold reserves.
In
a free-market system of banks, there would actually spring up
private watch dog reports (somewhat like our present day Consumer
Digest) that would give out quarterly ratings of all banks on
a nation, state, and city-wide basis -- rating the quality of
their policies and their portfolios. To be rated high on these
listings would be of extreme importance to every bank.
Thus,
there would be very few banks that loan on their real bills, and
these banks would not stay in business very long. The principle
governing this is what is called "competition for
reputation." It is the guiding regulatory mechanism of a FREE
market. All banks would be compelled to build a sterling
reputation and maintain it over time in order to attract and hold
on to customers. This is the only way that they could have
customers period. They would have to have a reputation built up
over time as a bank that is always liquid and NEVER in any danger
of bankruptcy. Full disclosure and the competition for
reputation are the keys. In a free-market system of banks
(devoid of a central bank), there would be no other way for a bank
to survive, much less prosper, than to stay very liquid.
Here
then are rock-solid protective keys for the validity of real bills
and how they would actually work in a free-market banking world.
Full disclosure and the competition for reputation will very
nicely insure that real bills stay in the vaults and do not end up
as collateral for new credit.
Alan
Greenspan wrote a very instructive piece on the "competition
for reputation" in Rand's Capitalism:
The Unknown Ideal (Chapter 9, "The Assault on
Integrity") back in the sixties. This was when he was still a
free-enterpriser instead of a government functionary. In that
piece, he wrote:
"What
collectivists refuse to recognize is that it is in the
self-interest of every businessman to have a reputation for honest
dealings and a quality product. Since the market value of a going
business is measured by its money-making potential, reputation or
'good will' is as much an asset as its physical plant and
equipment. For many a drug company, the value of its reputation,
as reflected in the salability of its brand name, is often its
major asset. The loss of reputation through the sale of a shoddy
or dangerous product would sharply reduce the market value of the
drug company, though its physical resources would remain intact.
The market value of a brokerage firm is even more closely tied to
its good-will assets. Securities worth hundreds of millions of
dollars are traded every day over the telephone. The slightest
doubt as to the trustworthiness of a broker's word or commitment
would put him out of business overnight." [pp.
112-113]
And
so it would be with all bankers. They would have to acquire a
reputation for top quality service and money management. The
slightest doubt among the depositing public as to a bank's
trustworthiness and liquidity would put that bank out of business.
Thus banks, more than any other business in the marketplace, would
be very dependent upon maintaining a sterling reputation.
The
principle of "competition for reputation" is thus our
insurance guaranteeing that banks will not rush to issue new
credit and corresponding demand deposits with the real bills as
collateral, and in the process create a wave of price inflation.
They will refrain from doing so because such integrity will be the
only way they can attract customers.
Why
have the Rothbardians forgotten this elemental principle of the
free-market? Because it
clashes with their agenda! They want to establish the thesis
that a pure 100% gold monetary system is what is necessary in a
free society, and that a modern economy can function fine on such
a system. Therefore to dwell on the "competition for
reputation" in a free-market in relation to banks would bring
to light the discomforting fact that bankers would be compelled to
NOT use real bills in an inflationary way. This realization would
prohibit Rothbardians from claiming how bankers are sure to use
them as tools for credit expansion, and such a prohibition would
subvert their primary agenda of promoting a 100% gold system. Here
we have an example of the truism that once an agenda rules the
mind to the exclusion of the facts of reality, one is on a
slippery slope to unreality.
Interest Rate vs. Discount
Rate
The
third flaw in the Corrigan gang's attack on the Real Bills
Doctrine lies in its unscholarly tactics. For instance in his
recent article, Fool's
Gold, Corrigan ridicules Fekete's claim that the interest rate
and the discount rate are separate in their origin.
He
writes that, "One may acquire a hint of the sheer perversity
of the clique's argument when one knows that among the many
enormities Prof. Fekete propounds is one in which he contends that
the rate of interest is to be treated separately from the rate of
discount."
But
then he says no more on this vital issue. Does he assume that by
declaring Fekete's contention to be "sheer perversity"
and one of "many enormities" it is somehow a prescient
and rational commentary? Is this his idea of a valid refutation?
This separation of the interest rate and the discount rate is a
paramount issue. It cannot be contested with a smattering of smear
words.
One
of Antal Fekete's major points is that as we were moving out of
the Middle Ages and through the Renaissance, credit evolved in two
distinct forms: (1) conventional credit to be financed out of
savings, and (2) short-term, clearing credit to be financed
through spontaneous bills of exchange between producers,
distributors and retailers.
These
two distinct forms of credit must be recognized for their reality
in human economic affairs. The conventional form is governed by the interest rate and man's
propensity to save, while the clearing
form is governed by the discount rate and man's propensity to
consume.
Conventional
credit finances fixed capital and must come out of savings. It is
used for funding major construction projects such as factories,
offices, apartments, shopping centers, housing tracts, and also to
purchase plant equipment and technology, mortgage homes, buy large
ticket, slow-moving goods, etc. But short-term, clearing credit
arose during the Renaissance to finance consumer goods, and it
does not need to be drawn from savings. It is used for fast moving
goods (food, clothing, fuel, accessories, etc.) and also for the
payment of wages to workers.
Thus
during our evolution from the Middle Ages to the Renaissance,
there sprang spontaneously from the free-market clearing
instruments called "bills of exchange," or what we call
today, real bills.
Because these bills did not need to be drawn from savings, it
freed up society's savings to finance a far more prodigious level
of factories, technology and productive infrastructure, which led
to a far higher standard of living for everyone.
Fekete
maintains that it is a major theoretical error to lump all forms
of finance into one descriptive category called credit.
There are two very different forms of credit, which a proper study
of monetary history throughout our evolution from the Middle Ages
to the Renaissance will reveal to us. These two forms are as
indicated above: conventional credit (i.e., bank loans that must
be taken out of human savings so as not to bring on price
inflation), and short-term, clearing credit (i.e., real bills
written between market participants that do not need to be drawn
from savings in order to avoid price inflation because they are
backed by corresponding consumer goods that are urgently needed
and moving along the production chain to be purchased with gold
coins within 90 days).
Therefore
the interest rate and the discount rate are two separate things
governed by the two different human inclinations to save and
consume.
Fekete
maintains that Ludwig von Mises errored in his failure to make
this distinction. This led Mises and his student Rothbard, along
with their followers, to think of all credit as monolithic in
nature that needed to be drawn solely from savings. Thus their
antagonism toward any form of credit that exceeds gold and silver
reserves. This has created their vehement denunciation of real
bills as clearing instruments for consumer goods.
Professor
Fekete has written a most illuminating series of works, Monetary
Economics 101 and 102, on how real bills came into being,
how they function as clearing instruments, why they are not
inflationary, and why they are governed by the propensity to
consume, which is not to be lumped in with the propensity to save.
To
declare this theoretical position to be "sheer
perversity" and one of "many enormities," and then
consider it to be satisfactorily refuted, is to employ ad hominem
as a substitute for reason, research and scholarship. Mr. Corrigan
is going to have to offer something a bit more appropriate if he
wishes to divine the truth in this matter.
A
good start toward grasping the truth of real bills would be to
actually peruse the scholarship of Dr. Fekete's two major works
mentioned above. In these works, Fekete shows that:
"[T]here
is no lending and borrowing involved in discounting a real bill,
and that bills stand apart conceptually as well as functionally
from bonds, as does the discount rate from the rate of interest.
Real bills circulate on their own wings and under their own steam.
To put it more succinctly, the negotiation of the bill is not a
lending but a clearing function. One of the greatest shortcomings
of Mises' theory of interest is his failure to recognize the
discount rate as another independent and autonomous regulator of
credit. It is a mistake to believe that saving is the only source
of credit. Clearing is a well-recognized second source. The rate
of interest is the regulator of lending, grounded in the
propensity to save. The discount rate is the regulator of
clearing, grounded in the propensity to consume. The relationship
in both cases is inverse: the higher the propensity the lower is
the rate, and conversely. For example, the higher the propensity
to save, the lower is the rate of interest; the lower the
propensity to consume, the higher is the discount rate."
[Monetary
Economics 101, Lecture 4, "The Two Sources of
Credit."]
Why
then do Corrigan and his cohorts so vehemently protest Fekete's
quite reasonable contention that the interest rate is of different
origin from the discount rate? Because
of their agenda! They have bought into Rothbard's claim of a
pure 100% gold monetary system as mandatory in order to avoid
price inflation. Thus they must deny any claim that the interest
rate and discount rate are separate in origin. If they don't, they
then have to confront the fact that credit is not monolithic to be
drawn solely from savings. Credit can then possibly exceed savings
(i.e., gold and silver reserves) without causing price inflation.
Hazlitt's concept of inflation then is more valid. All these
conclusions threaten the promotion of their agenda. This, I
contend, is the reason for the ad hominem barbs on the part of
Corrigan in response to Fekete's declaration of the difference
between the origins of the interest rate and discount rate.
Fekete's declaration has to be ridiculed to the Rothbardian choir
by any means possible lest a very real danger to the credibility
of Rothbard's agenda be unleashed for astute minds to ponder.
The Final Most Crucial
Flaw
The
most important mistake being made by Corrigan and the Rothbardians
is that they continue to ignore the fact that in a free-market
system, real bills will automatically spring up and be used
wherever they are functional. There is nothing to stop them! They
are not fraudulent; and they are not governmentally orchestrated.
So they will certainly be utilized among producers, distributors
and retailers if we are going to promote freedom. And I
presume that is what the Rothbardians wish to promote. What are
Corrigan and his cohorts going to do? Suppress the use of real
bills with government intervention? Not very libertarian at all.
If
Rothbardians wish to prohibit the issuance of real bills by
producers, distributors and retailers, and their subsequent
discounting by banks, then they will have to circumvent the very
FREE market they profess to espouse.
Why
are Corrigan and Blumen, et al ignoring this vital point? Because
their agenda consumes them! Corrigan
writes in his final paragraph of "Fool's Gold" about the
necessary "protections which would be afforded by the
institution of a free banking system, securely bound by the
ordinary laws of contract and girded
tightly about with a 100% gold coin reserve standard."
[Emphasis added.]
But
the mother of all ironies is that in a free banking system, a pure
100% gold system would never come about. The market (if left free)
would reject it because it is not as conducive to high capital
accumulation and productivity as a gold coin system accompanied by
real bills would be. It would be rejected just as the free traders
of the Renaissance rejected the 100% gold system of the Middle
Ages. For further corroboration of this, see Real
Bills, Gold and the Big Picture.
Corrigan,
Blumen and all Rothbardians have, therefore, ensnared themselves
in a monumental contradiction with their antagonism toward the use
of real bills -- which is that they
are fighting against a form of money that springs from traders
freely interacting. Real bills are an example of the
marketplace determining (in a non-fraudulent, non-privileged
manner) what money is to be rather than government
interventionists doing the determining.
If
Corrigan, Blumen, et al wish to prohibit the employment of real
bills, then they are going to have to become government
interventionists. So I believe it is the Corrigan gang who has, in
fact, been hoisted on its own petard here.
Fekete's
position is clearly that the market should determine what money is
to be, and that when it is allowed to do so in the absence of
fraud and special privilege, it will choose gold and silver
accompanied by real bills. It did precisely this for several
hundred years prior to the institution of central banking in
England during the 19th century and America during the 20th
century. The fact that our monetary systems were not truly
free-market systems during the 19th century is the reason why
credit became abused. Real bills were not the culprit.
To
try and indict the Real Bills Doctrine as perhaps the "single
greatest danger" to monetary integrity (as Corrigan claims)
is to put oneself in the position of having to prohibit the free
monetary choice of the market itself. This gives great ammunition
to the Keynesians and statists of all stripes. Corrigan's logic
leads one to assume that freedom itself must be considered a
"great danger" to monetary integrity? The statist
mentalities are going to love rebutting such a defense of gold and
freedom.
Our
goal must be a free-market system of banking and whatever the
traders choose to use as money as long as they do not use
fraudulent and /or privileged methods to do so. Until the Corrigan
gang comes to grips with their continual avoidance of this issue,
then a rational understanding of where the modern world needs to
go monetarily will never be part of their agenda.
Corrigan's
ad hominem linkage of Professor Fekete with John Law and J.M.
Keynes does not bring us closer to the truth. His recent
smart-alecky attack is good "red meat rhetoric" for the
apparatchiks that have gathered together into the Rothbardian 100%
gold dollar cult, but it will not do for the more astute students
of the great monetary issues of our age.
© 2005 Nelson Hultberg
Americans for a Free Republic
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