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A
report composed following my trip to China - investigating demand,
supply and reserves first-hand – also features excerpts from a
confidential white paper on the Inner-Mongolia Erbaohuo
Silver Mine Belts in the heart of China’s National Resource Reserve
Area (NRRA). The Chinese have been mapping and mining the Erbaohuo for
several decades now and believe this region may now constitute one of
the potential most fertile silver districts in China. The white paper,
containing information never before made public in the West, was
commissioned by a mining company
closing on property interests in Erbaohuo. It is the first such outside
silver mining company to do so since the area was named an NRRA – with
development restricted by government mandate - and a company I reported
on last month in my Silver Investor monthly public publication and will
continue to feature for my subscribers. This company, like the region
itself, holds immense promise for anyone interested in silver investing.
[Part 1]

INTRODUCTION
Over
the years, numerous sites with wonderfully rich potential have been
mapped out for metals extraction in China’s under-explored Inner
Mongolia region – but most of these sites have NOT been fully
developed due to the inability of a socialist government to properly
handle mining in the area. Now China is desperate for the industrial
qualities of the white metal and for outside help in recovering
resources. Let me not mince words. There may be no greater opportunity
anywhere in precious metals investing or mining than in China.
As
publisher of the Silver Investor,
my living is achieved by reporting on trends in the silver industry,
mostly from a monetary standpoint, and by finding opportunities on which
my readers can act. I have focused most of my attention on China of late
because the most massive macro shift in economics is taking place before
our eyes. China is in the middle of biggest industrial boom the world
has ever seen. Its government and economy are desperate for silver –
and it just so happens that China seems to be sitting on what China’s
very-own confidential government mapping shows may be the largest single
silver find ever made – in the Inner-Mongolia Erbaohuo
Silver Mine Belts.
In
our previous report, we analyzed the impact of a newly industrialized
China on the world’s silver markets and concluded that China’s
compressed industrial revolution could soon trigger price hikes in the
silver market. We also focused on the incredibly important point (from a
production and investment standpoint) that the solution to the world’s
critical, upcoming shortage of silver might be found in China’s own
backyard.
A
combination of industrial need, a silver industry nearing a crisis and
underdeveloped, gigantic silver region (a region of superlative size) -
is the kind of critical industrial juncture a precious metals analyst
like myself is always attempting to identify. But even that is not
enough to provide a foolproof opportunity for investors. You need a way
to leverage this situation; in China certain outside companies now in
negotiation to help China develop silver assets– including one company
I have already identified in a previous Silver Investor, present this.
That company is one, which gives investors an immediate chance –
perhaps the best chance – to ride the opening-up of the
Erbaohuo to its logical, and extremely
profitable, conclusion.
So
what we have is – demand, supply (virtually unknown outside of Chinese
government circles) and leverage. This is the reason special reports on
this region are created, and what it means to my subscribers and those
interested in silver from an investment or an industrial point of view.
I
have already written one report describing the current state of the
silver industry and how China’s demand is triggering current events,
and how the China’s supply – the big unknown story to this moment
– may be the solution to the problem that China has triggered. This
second report is intended to examine a portion of the Chinese solution
– the regions where the richest strikes may be said to lie. In fact, my
last special report ended with the statement that we would discuss the
feasibility of finding “super sized” ore bodies in China as well as
track the movements of well-known prospectors who might be exploring
now. We also wrote that we would launch a fairly rigorous assessment of
what regions and mines are likely candidates to help China fill its
rapidly increasing silver deficit.
We
shall now fulfill these promises in the following order: first
introduction; then another look at the evolution of the Chinese silver
market and the addition of a major outside player to the Chinese market,
and finally a summary of China’s most promising Chinese silver region
- the Erbaohuo Silver
Mine Belts in the heart of China’s National Resource Reserve Area
(NRRA).
Let
me add at this juncture that the Erbaohua silver summary is drawn from a
confidential white paper to which I have been given access prepared by
the Chinese-state operated North China Nonferrous Geological
Prospecting Bureau General Exploration Agency (NCGEA), founded in 1974.
The observations made at the back of this report are therefore primarily
from committed efforts over a 20 year period by hundreds of
highly-skilled Chinese geologists and prospectors to identify the
richest potential silver mines in China.
An
internal profile of the company describes it this way:
“Through years of development the agency has gradually developed
itself into a group company engaging in mine exploration, mine
development, mine engineering, trading services etc. Geological
exploration and mining has always been a pillar industry of the agency.
Output from this area constitutes 50% of the agency’s revenue.
Currently there are 760 people in the agency, of which 300 are current
employers. Of the total staff, more than 200 are with middle level or
senior level technical titles, of which 60 are still actively engaged in
geological mining work.”
The
NCGEA is China’s premiere agency when it comes to identifying,
understanding and mapping potential mining sites. Surely some of the
studies are preliminary, but the district has been determined as fact.
In the case of the Erbaohua and silver, the evidence has been growing
for several decades – that something truly significant is in place,
geologically speaking, in this region.
To
impress further what those “in the know” believe they have
discovered, understand this: When the results started coming in and then
repeating themselves in size over a period of years, the Chinese
government was moved to declare the whole region a national resource
reserve!
What
did the main mining agency do with all the data developed by the NCGEA?
Metaphorically, the government pondered this region closely, they did
develop some areas – with great success – but for the most part, the
government drew a line around the richest properties and said “hands
off.”
All
that is changing now – right now. The Chinese need silver, and they
need it yesterday.
And
that was why I took my little 12-hour jaunt on a jet plane.
ALL
THE WAY TO CHINA
Let
me emphasize, that leaving my family during Thanksgiving to grind out a
week-long China trip – complete with 12 hour plane rides and fairly
damp, cramped prolonged investigations of mine sites – was not
something at the top of my “to do” list when it came to pleasant
adventures.
Sure,
seeing China would qualify as “the trip of a lifetime” but relaxing
and enjoying it was not an easy task – nor was it one that I
successfully achieved. Instead, traveling over there I felt heavily –
and still do - the weight of the opportunity that the 2000s has bestowed
on me as a silver spokesman and has bestowed on proponents of silver in
general.
As
someone who is a fairly visible commentator on silver investing and
silver re-monetization, it is difficult for me to “relax and enjoy
myself” even traveling to an exotic place such as China, when the
stakes are immensely high, the ramifications of failure are
indescribably grim, and the possibilities of success are so powerful and
reward-laden – not only for investors but for the world economy
itself.
Don’t
get me wrong. I was glad to go. As soon as my traveling partners
broached the idea – and they are a part of a team of China-savvy
industrialists with some incredible mining opportunities in the region
– I knew I would have to travel with them.
Call
it fate; call it destiny. From the moment I began to write the Silver Investor I have felt the weight of financial history rests on
crucial short supplies of key commodities. Silver happens to be the one
best suited for investment for the average investor all the way to
Billionaire status such as Warren Buffett and Bill Gates that
established their silver positions already. The weight I feel on my
shoulders is the weight of tens of thousands of years during which
humankind has traded silver, sculpted with silver, built with silver,
decorated with silver, even cured illness with silver. It is an
incredible mineral, this magical white metal. I have felt its call
keenly; I take seriously my duty to act as its representative and
proponent – even at times when I stand against the crowd.
It
is misunderstood, and at times oversold, but that does not make it any
less valuable. Probably more so since investments opportunities rarely
take place at the top, do they?
Anyway,
stretching my legs and trying not to cramp in my seat from the long
plane ride, I was more conflicted than I have been in a long time.
Here’s a summary – both the negative and the positive.
Pessimism
First
I
was soaring over China and I was worried. I admit it. How would you feel
if you, almost by your lonesome, had been pointing out the doomsday
results of a lack of silver for several years and now were in a position
to confirm whether or not there was a solution?
Reviewing
the message I’d been teaching for several years, if China does not
secure the raw commodities it needs in a timely way, China’s
industrial revolution could radically deflate, intensely raising the
frustrations of China’s migrating workers – hoping for better- and
newly well-off citizens. Additionally, any deflation of the Chinese
industrial effort will threaten the entire world economy since China is
the main motor driving the global economy these days.
After
all, it is the Chinese who are single-handedly driving up the price of
commodities while producing goods and services that are sold throughout
the world. And the money flowing into China allows for the purchase of
U.S. debt – so much so that China is perhaps the number-one buyer of
American treasuries currently. Without China’s deep pockets, U.S.
Treasuries would go begging and if that were to occur, the dollar’s
decline would make the current descent look like a hiccup.
Optimism
Since
I am an engineer by training, not much given to emotion when it comes to
an analysis of potentialities and probabilities. Even before landing, I
recalled what my research had shown me that there was nothing in the
world of silver, in the world of precious metals generally, that even
with the new silver mines that are expected to come on stream over the
next three years or so, China’s demand for silver would still drive
the demand side.
Historically
gold is more expensive than silver. The ratio of silver to gold in the
ground is roughly ten to one, the ratio the two metals held between each
other for several centuries. In commodity bull markets the gap has close
radically to as little as 16-1. Today - still at the beginning of what
may be the most historically powerful commodities bull market to ever
take place – we are the possessors of a silver-to-gold ratio that is
insanely high by historical standards – some 60-1. Therefore the bull
market in silver is far from over and new opportunities in the sector
will arise those that can see the opportunity can also seize it.
As
I was finally able to stand – ducking a little so as not to hit my
head – I thought about this salient fact: I had not been attracted to
China because of silver fundamentals; it was actually the other way
round. Silver’s fundamentals, its positioning as a hyper-powered
break-out investment, caused me to search high and low for the best
possible opportunities for long term investment. And it had been my
conclusion that if you are a committed silver investor, there is no
place so over looked than China.
The
more I had probed, the more convinced I became. All the elements to
drive a silver explosion were present in China. It was a country in
desperate need of silver; a geography that includes a 5,000-7,000 year
history of silver mining in numerous regions, showing that the country
is geologically promising in various areas – and one of the most
fertile areas of all, Inner Mongolia, being the least developed from
both a historical and industrial point of view.
There
was good reason to believe that extensive mapping had been done of mines
in less-developed regions - given that mapping is easier for small
groups to accomplish. China was not good at exploiting its mineral
wealth, under the socialist system. However, individual Chinese
entrepreneurs, like entrepreneurs anywhere, have not been hesitant to
perform initial geological studies of the highest potential silver
bearing regions.
The
Best There Is
China
is a country with plenty of problems, as we all know, starting right at
the top with the political structure. But from a point of view of
fulfilling my best expectations – as opposed to my worst fears –
China scored just about a perfect ten.
What
I’m trying to say is that instead of fulfilling my worst fears, China
fulfilled my critical expectations. Again, please understand I am not
speaking of the country from a social or political perspective. I
understand the inequality and the worker exploitation (communism is an
ironic system, yes?) But purely from an economic point of view, the boom
is genuine. It may well be a monetary phenomenon; in fact it surely is.
But in this report, and in my commentary on China in general, when it
comes to investment opportunities I am not discriminating for a very
important reason: timing.
The
late 1990s were built on a monetary bubble fueling the stock market
waiting to bust, and there were those who commented on it – and look
smart today. Others invested in tech in the late 1990s, got out at the
top – and are rich today. My subscribers don’t buy the Silver
Investor to look smart – or even to hear me preach about the morality
of a communist country shifting its ideology. They want the wealth the
white metal can bring. I’ve got to figure out when, where and how. And
China right now provides the answer. That’s the dream for my investors
– in China’s case it’s also reality.
I
saw the Chinese industrial revolution with my own eyes. I saw the
incredible building going on, the bustling open markets, the serious
business being conducted at high levels. I saw the concern, even fear in
the eyes of Chinese officials who had pegged their careers on getting
silver mining in China jump-started. From a silver-mining and investment
standpoint I came away from my trip convinced of the following:
-China
is determined to open its mines and borders to outside investment and
mining expertise.
-Certain
individuals and industrial groups did indeed have access to incredibly
precise mapping and geological testing showing exactly where the
greatest potential ore bodies might be discovered and mined with great
efficiency and success.
-Strong
outside relationships have already made the inroads with Chinese
officials necessary to do what needed to be done to create world class
mining businesses going forward.
Two
additional areas of criticality for me were to ascertain the viability
of the current outside expertise in the region and to reassure myself
that the regions were as promising were indeed what they were purported
to be.
Strong
Associations
China
is actively seeking mining companies with a special focus on silver. As
pointed out in my previous report, China’s current silver production -
fourth in the world – “was achieved under tremendous handicaps
imposed by the political structure. [And] it was achieved within the
context of rigid multi-year plans and without profit incentives such as
bonuses and options packages.”
The
idea that China could rise to the rank of number four in the world in
silver production with a communist government – and all the
inefficiency pertaining to rigid five year plans implemented by a
noncommittal and even destructive bureaucracy – is startling, to
anyone who understands these matters. China has succeeded despite itself
– because of the richness of the opportunity, not the efficiency of
the effort.
In
my last report, I related that several major, North American silver
mining companies - Minco Mining & Metals Corporation (Minco) and
Silver Standard Resources Inc.- had “announced a strategic alliance to
jointly pursue silver opportunities in China.”
I
summarized the deal as it was announced and presented on the Silver
Standard website: “Silver Standard will invest C$2,000,000 in Minco
Silver to acquire a 20% interest in the new venture. Silver Standard
will have preferential purchase rights to participate in future
financing of Minco Silver in order to increase its interest up to 30% in
Minco Silver. As part of the strategic alliance, Minco Silver will be
the exclusive entity for both Minco and Silver Standard to pursue silver
projects in China.”
I
take this opportunity again to remind readers that when I first
recommended Silver Standard the stock was at $2 – and lately it has
traded as high as $15. I do so not just to broadcast one of a number of
successful picks I have made in the last two years but also as a way of
alluding to one of the two most satisfying parts of my Chinese
experience.
This
report has been written with two goals in mind – to unearth and
present China’s secret silver regions, and also to introduce
potentially powerful partners about whom you – unless you are
fortunate enough to be reading this – will not hear about this
elsewhere, certainly not from the general news media for a number of
months, or even several years yet.
My
China trip confirmed my information about the richness of its regions,
as you will see below, but it also confirmed that the industrial group
with which I was traveling was making powerful inroads into Chinese
silver mining.
And The Winner Is …
I
have already announced the name of this group and readers of my monthly
Silver Investor report are poised to take advantage of the massively
powerful mining position these individuals are building at this moment.
I
have written in the past that gold is an explosion waiting to happen
while silver is a nuclear explosion –this does sound over the top and
those that know me well have criticized my nuclear explosion analogy. My
point is as always to get this readership to think. The nuclear
explosion that is made reference to, may be similar to what silver did
in late 1979 to January of 1980. The price exploded with a force that is
still talked about to this day. Some have stated that silver and gold
have made their moves that the best is over. This is not the case, what
lies ahead for gold is spectacular and what lies ahead for silver will
closely replicate what happen in January 1980.
For
the record, this move is years away, but that is exactly why getting
into the correct silver equities relatively early becomes crucial, you
want to be holding these stocks while the feeding frenzy takes place,
not worried about your entry point because you established your silver
stock holdings well in front of the crowd.
I
witnessed these individuals sign documents that may well generate
ownership of eleven prime mining sites where some of China’s greatest
silver deposits may lie. I was also there when a partnership was forged
between this company and China’s most powerful and well-connected
corporation – a partnership mind you some two full years in the
making.
While
I will not release the name of the company in this public report, I do
wish to name the partner involved - China
International Trust and Investment Corporation (CITIC) - established
in 1979 with the initiation and approval of Deng Xiaoping, chief
architect of China's reform.
CITIC
is not only one of China’s very largest transnational conglomerates -
with 44 subsidiaries located on the Chinese mainland, Hong Kong and in
other parts of the world – it is simply one of China’s largest
private businesses – period. It is a kind of Mini-business Empire of
itself with core businesses in the area of finance, energy,
manufacturing, real estate and telecommunications. The agreements signed
are actually with subsidiary CITIC Metal - one of the few licensed
silver importers and exporters in China. CITIC Metal is also involved in
the import and export of major metals products such as ferro-niobium,
nitrovan ferro-alloy and iron ore.
The
significance of CITIC cannot be over-estimated in this deal. Imagine if
you will that despite the upheavals of the past half-century, your
family has managed to build or maintain power, wealth and prestige - and
is now poised to reap the benefits of Chinese privatization. You need a
vehicle, however, a private market methodology of doing business that
includes recognition of ownership and an ironbound guarantee that
contracts will be honored and agreements will be fulfilled. For
China’s wealthiest families, this vehicle is CITIC – and the money
behind CITIC constitutes the commingled wealth of party members and
private citizens – a cross-section of China’s “rich and
powerful.”
To
be blessed by CITIC is to be blessed by China’s new business class and
China’s Old Guard as well. Both elements have a stake in CITIC’s
success and its reputation as a dependable partner – and the CITIC
connection virtually guarantees the short and long-term success of the
deals in which this company is involved.
What
impresses me almost as much as CITIC is that management had the
foresight to approach China a full two years ago to initiate discussions
that ultimately led to the partnership they were able to develop. This
group is savvy and fast moving - with
credibility and a wealth of practical, geological knowledge. I’m sure
their reputation preceded them – and that was what first brought them
to the attention of CITIC. And as result of CITIC’s involvement, the
contacts are first-rate and the properties are top-notch. More on the
properties (or at least the region in which they lie) – though not the
name of the company - farther down in this report.
As
I have written in my monthly report, the final
agreements should be signed by February 15, 2005 or perhaps sooner. Once
the Memorandum of Understanding becomes finalized it is expected that
the company will begin a public awareness campaign that will enhance
great visibility in the investment community. At that point this company
will begin to make itself known in the investment community that
disclosure on my part will be merely academic. Anyone vaguely familiar
with silver equities and the China story will know almost instantly that
this must be the company hinted about in this report.
With
these documents signed, they have acquired some of the best silver
properties in all of China and are in a position to option more. In a
year or two – as I wrote in my report this month – you may well be
reading about this company on the pages of Time
and Newsweek while perhaps watching its management being interviewed on
CNN?
Seeing
is believing, now that I’ve been there, I’ll say it with even more
confidence: I’m right about China, just as I’ve been right about
silver’s appreciation, right about most of mining companies I’ve
mentioned and about this company as well.
If
you’ve stayed with me this far, reader, you may well want to take
advantage of this information. I want you on board as a witness to
history if nothing else. We’re living through tumultuous times and
silver is going far higher than it has already – though it’s already
double its price in the last few years.
Recently,
silver took a drop of some 75 cents and the technical sell-off is
probably the beginning of a bottom that, when explored, will result in
further price rises. I don’t want to go deeply into the monetary
arguments that we make every week, and that we have made in past special
reports, but given the inflationary difficulties of the dollar – the
world’s currency peg – and low interest rates world-wide, it seems
nearly self-evident that holders of precious metals are bound to see
continued price appreciation, long term. For those who are confident of
the strong nature of this commodity bull market, the recent precious
metal’s drawback is a terrific time to invest or to add to current
positions.
In
this most recent issue of the Silver
Investor, (January ’05) just out now, I summarized previous
prognostications and made some new ones pertaining to precious metals as
follows: “Last year we forecast that gold would reach $500 USD and silver
$8.00. We were correct on our silver prediction but off on gold. We also
forecast that silver would begin to show strength relative to gold and
the data is now available. For the year-over-year numbers, silver is up
over 15 percent [and] gold is up over six percent. … Moving into 2005
silver should hit the ten-dollar level at
some
point. … Silver being a smaller market and receiving non-stop demand
from industry, should continue to out perform gold. Make no mistake, the
long term precious metals trend is significantly higher with possible
peak in 2010.”
Want
to subscribe? Take a look at our website www.silver-investor.com
then strap yourself in for the rest of the ride! Just remember,
traveling on the back of a bull can be bumpy sometimes, and you’ll
have to remind yourself to hang on tight during the rough patches. But
do that for a few more years, and you’ll get where you are going –
then write me a “thank you” card, care of the Silver
Investor.
Regions
The
other area about which I wanted to assure myself had to do with the
richness of the regions that I had been led to believe were both
promising and relatively untapped in Inner Mongolia, China’s
equivalent of America’s “wild, wild west. ”The rest of this
report will be devoted to a summary of these regions as shared with me
by the confidential report I have obtained and already mentioned above.
The
report confirms in detail what I had suspected from my own studies –
the northern regions of China have the potential to be among the best
silver regions ever mined. In my opinion that statement hardly needs
tempering, so let me rephrase it. I wrote in my last report “if
geological patterns are to be believed [in Inner Mongolia] we may bear
initial witness to one or more of the very largest silver/lead/zinc
systems in the world.” Based on what I have read, heard and seen with
my own eyes, I now believe this to be the case.
Imagine
if you will a series of intensely rich ore bodies, each one producing
more silver than the last. Now imagine that you have evidence that these
bodies are LINKED – that each single bonanza is part of a continuous
ore body that stretches for a vast, undetermined distance. And we are
not talking meters, my friends. Nor miles. Perhaps tens miles or more?
That
is the kind of promise we speak of today. And if you have trouble
believing that is possible, please let me introduce to you some salient
details from the NCNGPB White Paper, “Erbaohuo Silver Mine Belts,
Southern and Central Section of Daxinganling, Inner Mongolia, China.”
(Please note you are now among the first Westerners ever to read about
the incredible precious metals promise of Inner Mongolia, especially
when it comes to silver, so pay attention.)
Here,
from the report itself, is a presentation of its purpose and the
information sources it utilized:
“The
Technical Report has been prepared to summarize technical information
relating to the Erbahuo Silver mine belts and the mining sites to the
north of it. The information contained in this report is based on data
including regional Mineral Exploration report on the Central and
Northern Section of Daxinganling Mountain, the 1998 Erbahuo Silver Mine
Technical Report and on data including … mineralized areas mentioned
in the 2004 Northern Keshiketeng County Mining Point Investigation
Report.”
Part
I of the report summarized the Erbaohuo Region with emphasis on both
geography and mineralization, explaining the location of the
Inner-Mongolia Erbaohuo Silver
Mine which stretches from Linxi County in eastern part of Inner
Mongolia Autonomous Region to Wulanhaote City in Inner Mongolia. The
report states the region is
“rich in miscellaneous mineral resources, including copper, silver,
lead, zinc, tin, gold etc and being one of the most important geographic
area in China for copper, silver, lead and zinc mines. Big silver mines
in the region include Bairen Daba super silver and multiple metal mine,
Dajing super large silver-tin mines, Mengentaolegai super large
silver-lead-zinc mine and Baiyinnuo large silver-lead-zinc mine.”
While,
the above-mentioned mines have already become legendary in Chinese
mineral circles, especially the super-large deposits of the Dajing and
Mengentaolegai, the harvest of the Erbaohuo has barely begun. The naming
of the region as a “National Resource Reserve Area” by the Chinese
government has slowed development considerably due to “strategic
considerations.” Whatever these considerations might have been in the
past, they are considerably less persuasive today as the Chinese
government is making it clear that these regions are open for joint
ventures and aggressive mining.
Again
from the report: “Even though
abundant geological investigation has been made of the region in the
past decades and multiple large scaled mineral mines have been
developed, the area remains undeveloped … [Only] with the reform of
the mining industry and deregulation of the private enterprises in the
mining and exploration of natural resources, [has the state now begun to
encourage] private enterprises to participate in exploration and mining
of mineral resources, including companies from overseas which can
contribute capital, technologies and management expertise. … It is
expected that the area shall become one of the most important mining
regions in China.”
The
openness of the Chinese government to private industry is reflected not
only in the thousands of Western enterprises now doing business in
China, but also in the kinds of structures that the Chinese are offering
to those in the West wishing to become involved with mining enterprises.
The Chinese have always had an affinity for silver and with the Erbaohuo
opening up; Chinese wealth is being attracted to the region as well as
groups from outside China. The resultant joint ventures tend to bind
both parties together in a common business interest sanctioned by the
Chinese government.
Unlike
the development of Russian capitalism, which has proceeded in fits and
starts depending on who was in power, Chinese capitalism has proceeded
on one track with increasing private involvement and the ongoing
blessing of the Chinese state and communist party. The state has a stake
in the status quo not only through the various joint ventures being
structured under its industrial reform –as we mentioned above - but
because it has almost entirely invested its political capital in a
successful transition to a market economy.
While
it does seem surprising that metals finds of this magnitude should be
available in China and virtually untouched, we must keep the nation’s
history in mind. Much of the progress in identifying promising mines has
come in the last half century. And since the technology and mapping was
not labor-intensive, it was not so easily bound-up in the kind of red
tape that a one party (communist) system generates on a routine basis.
This meant that exploration proceeded in the Erbaohuo region even as
development – subject to all the flaws of an incompetent,
uncompetitive bureaucracy - lagged. As the report comments:
“Before the 1970s, only state enterprises were allowed to do limited
mining in the region and no modern state-of-the-art technologies have
been applied to do the mining and exploration.”
Perhaps
the wisest thing the Chinese communist party did with the region was to
declare it a national mineral reserve – putting it off limits for
exploration and thus helping to ensure that primitive, badly applied
mining techniques did not make extraction more difficult in the future.
Fortunately
for silver investors aware of the Erbaohuo, the future is about to be
realized. The secret is out – and even the Chinese government realizes
that the area’s enormous silver deposits must be mined. The few silver
mines already in place speak to the success that both Chinese investors
and outside mining groups are expecting from Erbaohuo. The report
comments on two recently configured mines that are already considered
“historical” in terms of their output and quality, as follows:
“Bairen
Daba Silver Mine: The mine is made of more than 30 mine bodies of
different scales, of which there are three big scaled mine bodies, with
their lengths stretching between 300 to 2000 meters and thickness
measuring 0.5 -13 meters. Silver deposit is estimated to be minimally
1500 metric tons and average silver grade is around 800 g/t.
“Longtoushan
Silver Mine: Longtoushan Silver mine is located in Alukeerqin County of
Inner Mongolia. The site has an estimated silver deposit of 3100 tons, a
lead deposit of ca. 223000 tons and a zinc deposit of 309000 tons, with
its total estimated market value being around 7 billion RMB (ca. 900
million USD). In addition, there are another four paralleled belts where
anomalies have been identified. It is estimated that they should have
the same potential as the discovered mine bodies”.
But,
as I have written above, these mines and two others, barely scratch the
surface of the richness that Erbaohuo holds. The report summarizes three
reasons for the regions attractiveness - before going on to deal with
individual properties in some detail - as follows: [Mapping and
sampling] results show that the region is rich in miscellaneous types of
resources including silver; past and recent findings have again and
again confirmed theoretical predictions; funding from both public and
private sources is pouring into the area as China’s acute silver
shortage makes itself felt.
The
report now analyzes 11 separate properties – but I shall focus on one,
the so-called Erbaohuo itself which the geography of which the report
describes as follows: “The
Project is located in Wenniute Country of Inner Mongolia, China, East
Asia on … the south edge of hercynian fold belt of Great Xingan
Mountains. This entire tectonic setting provides a dynamic geologic
environment for the development of mineralizing systems in China. The
magmatic activity in the area is strong. … Enough information is
available that a previous operator calculated an inferred resource of
58.4 tons, with an average grade of 248.02 gpt silver at a cut-off grade
of 200 gpt Ag.”
The
report also informs us that the discovery of silver in the area ranged
from 1989 to 1992 – as a result of ”gross exploration” and that
from 1998 to 2002, exploration and mining were carried out with the
“total amount of ore mined about 30,000 tons.” Additionally, “A
total of several adjacent silver areas have been identified.”
Conclusions?
“Bright prospects of finding
silver mine in the surrounding area of the Erbaohuo
mine. … Based on the above analysis, it can be said that the prospect
of silver mine exploration in the region is good and promising.”
You
can see a certain scientific reticence in the language above given that
the area has already yielded “30,000 tons of ore.” There is a reason
wealth is rushing to the Erbaohuo, and it has to do with this mining
area itself as well as adjacent sections and the possibility that the
geology which seems fairly similar throughout the various areas
identified will yield one contiguous world class district.
I
am grappling with ways to explain the significance of what may occur in
the Erbaohuo Silver Mine Belts. Perhaps the best way to describe what
this area is means in terms of potential is to remind precious metals
investors that the most successful recent mine strike was Goldcorp. This
once junior-mining entity generated a market cap of hundreds of millions
with a gold strike the size of, say, a single train boxcar a
quarter-mile down.
What
we are talking in Erbaohuo is relatively shallow silver spread over a
region of dozens and even hundreds of miles. If these silver areas are
actually connected by geology, and it does seem possible at the moment,
then we are looking at more silver than a boxcar full.
We’ve
established the world’s critical need for silver and the probability
that the solution to that need is located right in China’s back yard
in the world-class precious metals reserve of the Erbaohuo Silver Mine
Belts. We’ve also established that we’ve found a company that is
positioned to exploit not only the China trend (the compressed
industrial revolution that chewing its way through the world’s silver)
but has also positioned itself with the Chinese industrial and political
elite.
In
my next report, I’ll reveal much more about this company, its
prospects and what the future holds from both a production and
investment standpoint. If you need to know more now, you’ll
have to subscribe to the Silver Investor.
In
closing, I’ll just say that I can’t imagine any serious investor not
wanting to know more about the opportunity I believe this company
provides. Look at it this way. China and the world need silver in the
worse way – and this company is ideally positioned to provide it.
It’s rare you can do well for yourself by doing good for others. It is
even more rare when you can invest in a company that has strong ties to
the largest conglomerate in China (CITIC) that will keep the sputtering
world recovery on track. Imagine that. Make a decision to invest early,
and improve the world at the same time.
It
doesn’t get any better than that, my friends.
At
times like these, I love my job.
© 2005
David Morgan. All rights reserved.
www.silver-investor.com
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