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Initial results indicate
that US corporate earnings haven’t fallen off: 30 percent of the
S&P 500 companies have reported and the majority has beaten
estimates (though excessive pessimism led analysts to lower estimates).
The current market rally now seems to be supported by fundamentals.
Although many more
companies have yet to report, the sample is large enough to justify some
optimism that profit growth will remain strong into the end of the year,
an assessment I’ve advanced for some time now.
My views on the global
economy and financial markets remain benign--the markets can stay strong
for the foreseeable future (see SRI, 11 October 2006,
Testing…Testing).
Corporate reporting is
underway in Asia, too, and the numbers have been positive to this point.
India, in particular, is off to a flying start as more and more
companies are earning consensus earnings per share upgrades.
Long-term readers will
recall that India has been one of my favorite investment themes for many
years. Because an increasing number of investors are showing interest in
the India story, a review of the basics seems to be in order.
India remains by far the
most exciting growth story among global emerging markets (GEMs) in
general and Asia in particular. It’s home to the most diverse group of
quality companies across a range of sectors.
Although India has never
exhibited strong growth characteristics like the rest of Asia and
can’t match China’s reported growth rates, it's avoided the
boom-and-bust cycles so prevalent in the region’s developing
economies. For an investor interested in achieving serious long-term
returns, this fact is of paramount importance. And because India still
represents only 2 percent of global GDP and 1 percent of world trade,
it's been less important to investors, even after accounting for the
strong interest shown by investors since 2004.
Many investors, although
they’ve begun to appreciate the country’s potential, aren’t yet
convinced that India can deliver on par with China for the long term.
This is a positive development because seasoned investors with knowledge
of India’s economy and politics are ahead of the game.
I've had some big winners
in India for my subscribers, but my best call was on HDFC Bank.
The booming lender has been an excellent core holding for any long-term
investor, up over 203 percent during the last several years! I recently
found another bank in Thailand that's poised to rocket higher. The best
is yet to come as we get set to ride this winner all the way!
Follow The Money
At the Institute of
International Finance's (IIF) recent annual meetings in Singapore, IIF
Chairman Dr. Joseph Ackerman (also Chairman of the Group Executive
Committee of the Deutsche Bank AG) met with members of the World Bank
and highlighted this year's favorable growth performance for the
Eurozone, Japan and large parts of emerging markets, particularly those
in Asia.
From Moscow to Manila,
emerging markets are soaring. Net private equity investments in these
emerging markets are projected to reach a record $260 billion this year.
Investor relations and data transparency overseas have improved
dramatically during the last decade, helping individual investors
evaluate profitable investment opportunities.
When you start thinking
globally, your investment perspective changes dramatically. What's
domestic, anymore? New York-based oilfield services firm Schlumberger
Ltd. earns 78 percent of its revenue from outside the United States.
McDonald's Corp, about as American as apple pie, also relies
heavily on overseas revenue.
Think Globally
Are your investment
returns becoming stagnant? Or worse yet, have you lost money on Wall
Street during the last five years? Isn't it about time you refused to
settle for measly investment returns with the "Dogs of the
Dow" on Wall Street that barely cover the rising rate of inflation?
According to my research,
we're witnessing the dawn of a great new bull market. Globalization is a
powerful trend that's here to stay. In fact, last year alone this trend
generated a 58 percent return in Korea, a 37 percent return in India, a
161 percent return in Egypt and an 83 percent return in Russia--all
while the S&P gained a measly 3 percent. It’s a trend I expect to
continue.
Whether you're a beginning
investor, or you simply want a well-rounded, large-cap portfolio with
the finest companies on earth, I'd urge you to pull the trigger and take
advantage of this special opportunity. If history is any guide, this run
will last for many years, handing investors the chance for life-changing
profits. You could be one of them!

© 2006 Yiannis G. Mostrous
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