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GOLD
THOUGHTS
by
Ned
W. Schmidt, CFA, CEBS
Schmidt Management Company
August 1, 2007
WE
WIN! This
week's chart is of ten year returns on $Gold(7.4% compounded annually) and
U.S. paper equities(6.1% total return compounded annually). As the chart
shows, the place to have had your money for past ten years has been Gold.
These results will no doubt be kept a secret from many investors. Many
money management activities are about generating fees, not providing
performance. Why tell clients they could have earned more money somewhere
else? Is
that not one grand and glorious graph! We won, and paper asset
are in second place. Remember what they say about second place. Second
place is first loser! Will CNBC keep this a secret from investors?

Selling
Gold during this ten-year period was not wise. Gold's superior performance
was due to structural nature of U.S. dollar's problems. For that reason,
no sell signal has been issued by this or other enlightened writers during
this ten year period. The structural nature of dollar's problems continues
in place. U.S. exports about $60 billion of green paper every month to pay
for oil and consumer goods. That is not going to change. Are factories
going to be moved to North Carolina from China? Can U.S. export sufficient
volume of services, haircuts or internet searches(yawn), to cover deficit?
Perhaps foreclosed housing could be converted to kits, and exported to
China. Structural deficit of U.S. means dollar will continue to
depreciate, providing the fuel for Gold Super Cycle.

© 2007 Ned W. Schmidt
Editorial
Archives
Ned
W. Schmidt,CFA,CEBS is publisher of THE VALUE VIEW GOLD
REPORT. That report now includes a weekly message, TRADING
THOUGHTS, to help investors identify timely points for
buying Gold and Silver. His monumental report, "$1,265
GOLD", with 255 pages and 98 graphs, is now widely known,
and is available at www.amazon.com
or from the author by clicking HERE
This work has now been read by investors in over twelve countries
around the world. Ned welcomes your comments and questions. His
mission in life is to rescue investors from the abyss of financial assets
and the coming collapse of the U.S. dollar. He
can be contacted by Email.
Please remember that no method is perfect nor is the one
running the model.
All estimated returns are for the model portfolio and
do not reflect those earned on actual portfolios.
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