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The
U.S. is in the midst of a frightful energy crisis.
The
national average price for a gallon of gasoline is $2.89... which is 77
cents higher than this time last year.
In
September of 2003, the price of standard crude oil was less than $25 per
barrel. By April 21 of this year, it reached a record of $75.35 per
barrel.
And
given the mounting tensions between the U.S. and Iran… the dawn of
another potentially busy hurricane season… and the increase in world
demand… there’s no indication that this strain will be eased any
time in the near future.
Strap
on your seatbelt... an alternative energy source is set to take the
world by storm. In this research report, we'll take a close look at the
booming ethanol industry... and how investing in ethanol could
prove to be an extremely profitable move for investors.
Ethanol...
the Advantages
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“Just
as the events of 9-11 changed how we guard our cities and
protect ourselves, a new generation of ethanol may soon change
the way we gas up our cars and protect the earth.”
-
Dateline NBC
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Ethanol,
or ethyl alcohol as it is also known, has recently been flooding onto
the market. Derived from starch crops, such as corn and sugar,
ethanol offers advantages to our current gasoline.
And
people in power are taking note.
President
Bush announced that alternative fuels are a solution to America’s
insatiable “addiction” to oil. He declared, “Ethanol will
replace gasoline consumption. The ethanol industry is on the move,
and America is better off for it.”
In
fact, Bush not only made this statement, he backed it up… with his
signature on the Renewable Fuels Standard (RFS) of the Energy Policy Act
of 2005. This measure requires that the production and use of
renewable fuels be increased from presently 4 billion gallons to 7.5
billion gallons in 2012.
Then,
just last month, the U.S. government ordered that the current gasoline
additive, MTBE, be replaced by a renewable, safer, more eco-friendly
additive. What additive is that?
You
guessed it… ethanol.
In
addition to its imminent application as an additive, many government
officials as well as the U.S. auto manufacturers believe that ethanol
holds promise as a total substitute for gasoline. As a matter of
fact, the car manufacturers seem to be betting on it. By the end
of this year, GM, Ford and DaimlerChrysler AG will have 6 million
flex-fuel vehicles on the road. These vehicles are capable of
running on gasoline or E85 – an 85% ethanol, 15% gasoline fuel.
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Historic
U.S. Fuel Ethanol Production
|
|
Year
|
Millions
of Gallons
|
|
1980
|
175
|
|
1981
|
215
|
|
1982
|
350
|
|
1983
|
375
|
|
1984
|
430
|
|
1985
|
610
|
|
1986
|
710
|
|
1987
|
830
|
|
1988
|
845
|
|
1989
|
870
|
|
1990
|
900
|
|
1991
|
950
|
|
1992
|
1,100
|
|
1993
|
1,200
|
|
1994
|
1,350
|
|
1995
|
1,400
|
|
1996
|
1,100
|
|
1997
|
1,300
|
|
1998
|
1,400
|
|
1999
|
1,470
|
|
2000
|
1,630
|
|
2001
|
1,770
|
|
2002
|
2,130
|
|
2003
|
2,800
|
|
2004
|
3,400
|
|
2005
|
3,904
|
| Source:
Renewable Fuels Association |
Without
a doubt, these factors will have a huge impact on the market. The Wall
Street Journal predicts that U.S. ethanol demand will likely
increase by at least 50% this year alone. There are currently 97
American ethanol refineries, with nine of those expanding and an
additional 35 plants under construction. The total number of
refineries is expected to double within the next couple of years,
clearly indicating a market on the move.
With
a mandate from the U.S. government and the obvious need for change, we
see this as a fantastic opportunity for investors to earn serious
profits.
Who's
Investing in Ethanol These Days?
Take
a look at recent investments made by some of the richest and most
successful people in the world:
- Bill
Gates, the richest man in America, allocated $84 million into
Pacific Ethanol, Inc. (Nasdaq: PEIX), a company poised to control a
considerable share of the ethanol industry.
- Sir
Richard Branson, chairman of the Virgin Group and worth an estimated
$3 billion, has plans to invest $300 to $400 million to produce and
market this promising alternative fuel. He says, "This is the
win-win fuel of the future."
- Vinod
Khosla, “guru” of Silicon Valley, co-founder of Sun
Microsystems, and one of ethanol’s most vocal advocates, has
invested millions of his own dollars in private companies involved
in the development of ethanol.
What’s
more, industry titans are recognizing the value of providing the
American public with an alternative.
- Wal-Mart
announced that it is considering offering corn-based ethanol at its
383 gas stations throughout the U.S.
- Not
to be left behind, several Big Oil companies, including Shell and
Exxon Mobil, are funding ethanol research.
A
booming industry, to be sure. Now let’s take a look at why
ethanol will only get bigger from here…
Four
Factors Driving Ethanol Higher Now
- FREEDOM
FROM FOREIGN OIL: Ethanol could free America from its reluctant
dependence on foreign oil. This is not a pipedream, conjured
up by some pro-U.S. idealists. Not at all. Brazil has turned
that vision into reality, where 70% of the vehicles in that country
are sustained on ethanol. Brazil's ethanol plan has
successfully replaced imported oil worth an estimated $120 billion.
To put it into perspective, this would translate to a savings of
about $2 trillion for an economy equivalent in size to the U.S.
- INCREASED
INCOME TO U.S. FARMERS: In terms of economics, there is no clearer
choice for the American public. It would mean higher farm incomes
and we would see a steep increase in rural employment.
- THE
TECHNOLOGY’S IN PLACE NOW: The technology to run cars on ethanol
already exists. General Motors alone has built more than 1.5
million ethanol-compliant vehicles.
- IT’S
RIDING THE “GREEN WAVE”: And let’s not ignore the fact that
ethanol is believed to be much more environmentally friendly than
our current petroleum. Many experts agree that a switch from
gasoline to ethanol could significantly reduce our carbon dioxide
emissions, some say by as much as 80%.
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Ethanol
–
Not Such a “New” Alternative
About
a century ago, Henry Ford, inventor of the automobile,
envisioned ethanol as the primary energy source for his Model T.
He deemed it the “fuel of the future”. However
gasoline, the cheaper alternative, became the established
fuel… and so it has remained.
Now
it seems he was really on to something. Today, Ford has
over 1.6 million automobiles on the road capable running on E85.
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Ethanol’s
appeal extends throughout interest groups. The U.S. government,
American car manufacturers, environmentalists and the agriculture
industry are all strong supporters of this alternative fuel.
400%-Plus
Gains by Investing in the Ethanol Boom
The
market already reflects growing momentum behind ethanol
investing. Take a look:
- Since
March of this year, three companies involved in ethanol production
have filed for IPO’s with the Securities and Exchange Commission -
VeraSun Energy Corp., Hawkeye Holdings Inc. and Aventine Renewable
Energy Holdings Inc.
- Pacific
Ethanol, Inc, is currently trading at mind-boggling levels.
Since Bill Gates made his investment, shares jumped from about $10
to a high of $44.50. It now seems to have leveled off around
$25/share.
- Archer-Daniels-Midland
Co., the largest ethanol producer in the U.S., has seen its stock
double in one year.
Fueling
an Alternative Revolution
Only
time will tell if ethanol will fulfill its expectation as the
replacement fuel of the future. As an industry still in its
relative infancy, there are obstacles to be overcome. However,
with the widespread backing it has received and the initiatives that are
already in place, the ethanol industry is revved up for enormous growth
and one that presents to you, as an investor, new and exciting
opportunities for an immediate investment.
We'll
be bringing Investment U readers more information and news on the
ethanol boom in the coming months. Until then...
Good
investing!

© 2006 Angela McKee
Contributor/Researcher, Investment U
Editorial Archive

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