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$53 TRILLION AND GROWING
by James Turk
Founder, GoldMoney.com
January 8, 2008
“We
might hope to see the finances of the Union as clear and intelligible as
a merchant's books, so that every member of Congress and every man of
any mind in the Union should be able to comprehend them, to investigate
abuses, and consequently to control them.” – President Thomas
Jefferson to Treasury Secretary Albert Gallatin, 1802
Unfortunately
President Jefferson’s hope has not been realized. Instead of striving
for accuracy and honest reporting, the accounts of the US government
have been plagued by all sorts of abuses perpetrated by politicians for
decades. Any reasonable person viewing these accounts can only conclude
that they have been prepared to obfuscate rather than enlighten, to
mislead rather than inform.
For
example, the government reports that its deficit for the fiscal year
ending September 30, 2007 was $162.8 billion. In other words, expenses
exceeded revenue by this amount. This shortfall of course needs to be
made up by borrowing, which the report itself acknowledges by saying:
“The Government borrows from the
public to finance the gap between expenditures and revenues”. But
a little digging into the numbers reveals that the government is
borrowing far more than its reported deficit. Total federal debt during
the past fiscal year actually grew from $8,530.4 billion in 2006 to
$9,030.6 billion in 2007, which is a $500.2 billion increase – or more
than three-times the reported deficit.
Why
the big difference between the growth in debt and the annual deficit? It
seems reasonably clear that the accounts were prepared and are being
reported to the public to make the financial picture of the US
government look better than it really is. And believe me, after reading
the recently released Fiscal Year
2007 Financial Report of the
United States Government, there is every reason to believe that the
US government financial position is even worse than we think. The full
report can be downloaded from this link: http://www.gao.gov/financial/fy2007financialreport.html
It
has only been a little more than a decade ago that the US government
started preparing its accounts according to Generally Accepted
Accounting Principles. The Secretary of the Treasury, in coordination
with the Director of the Office of Management and Budget, is required to
submit financial statements for the U.S. government to the President and
the Congress each year. The Government Accounting Office is required to
audit these statements, but to give you an indication of the slipshod
way things are done by the government, its financial statements have
never received an unqualified opinion.
Here
are some quotes from the 2007 Financial Report to highlight just how
dire the US government’s financial condition really is. Let’s start
with some comments by the Comptroller General of the United States:
“Certain
material weaknesses in financial reporting and other limitations on the
scope of our work resulted in conditions that, for the 11th consecutive
year, prevented us from expressing an opinion on the financial
statements...”
“About
$895 billion, or 57 percent, of the federal government’s reported
total assets as of September 30, 2007, and approximately $740 billion,
or 25 percent, of the federal government’s reported net cost for
fiscal year 2007…were disclaimed on or not audited...” Think
about that statement for a minute. Some $740 billion is being spent each
year without any audit or independent third-party review. Why?
As
the Comptroller General explains: “The
federal government did not maintain effective internal control over
financial reporting (including safeguarding assets) and compliance with
significant laws and regulations as of September 30, 2007.” He
then goes on to highlight a particular problem; there exists “serious
financial management problems at the Department of Defense”.
Here
is what the Comptroller General considers to be the bright spot: “This
year, we were able to render an unqualified opinion on the 2007
Statement of Social Insurance [i.e., Social Security]. This
is a significant accomplishment for the federal government. [Balancing
its books so that they can be audited – which is standard procedure
for any business – is considered to be a “significant
accomplishment” for the government.]
This statement shows that projected scheduled benefits exceed earmarked
revenues by approximately $41 trillion in present value terms for the
next 75-year period.”
Having
been able to successfully verify that portion of the government’s
total obligations, here’s the downside of this bright spot he
identifies: “Considering this
projected gap in social insurance, in addition to reported liabilities
(e.g., debt held by the public and federal employee and veterans
benefits payable) and other implicit commitments and contingencies that
the federal government has pledged to support, the federal
government’s fiscal exposures [i.e., its aggregate direct and
indirect debt obligations] totaled approximately $53 trillion as of September 30, 2007, up more
than $2 trillion from September 30, 2006, and an increase of more than
$32 trillion from about $20 trillion as of September 30, 2000. This
translates into a current burden of about $175,000 per American or
approximately $455,000 per American household.”
Did
you know that the US government has accumulated $53 trillion of direct
and indirect debt? If so, you are no doubt in a minority because most
people are oblivious to the size of the government’s debt.
These
debts are overwhelming by any measure, but here’s one way to put them
into perspective. We can compare them to debts carried by General
Motors, which we all know is financially strapped because of its huge
debt load.
GM’s
2006 audited accounts indicate that its debts totaled $190.4 billion,
which is a daunting 91.8% of the $207.4 billion of revenue GM generated
that year. In contrast, not only is the $53 trillion US government debt
greater than its annual revenue, it is in fact 20-times
greater than the $2.6 trillion of revenue it received last year. The
US government’s debt load by comparison makes GM look like a paragon
of financial prudence.
What
about all the US government’s assets? Good question. The report values
them at $1.6 trillion, but this total excludes the value of so-called
StewardshipLand, which equals about 650 million acres, most of which is
barren Alaska tundra and desert in Nevada and other Western states. What
is this land worth? Yellowstone National Park is worth more than frozen
tundra, but let’s say that the land is worth $10,000 per acre on
average, which is probably a generous valuation. The total therefore is
$6.5 trillion, which when added together with the $1.6 trillion of
assets in the financial report, totals $8.1 trillion, which is just 15%
of the US governments total debt obligations. Any way one looks at it,
the US government has a huge negative net worth, and owes far more than
it can possibly repay.
However,
not to worry. The report does disclose a unique asset that the US
government can use to make sure it can repay all of its debts. “Assets
included on the balance sheets are resources of the Government that
remain available to meet future needs. The most significant assets that
are reported on the balance sheets are property, plant, and equipment;
inventories; and loans receivable. There are, however, other significant
resources available to the Government that extend beyond the assets
presented in these financial statements. Those resources include
stewardship assets [the value of which I calculate above]…and
the Government’s sovereign powers to tax, regulate commerce, set
monetary policy and the power to print additional currency.” [emphasis added]
Yes,
that’s the same so-called ‘asset’ Zimbabwe has been using to pay
its debts, the same ‘asset’ Weimar Germany used, and the same
‘asset’ countless governments have used. Just print more fiat
currency. If you own any dollar denominated asset, and particularly
T-bills, T-bonds and other debts of the US government, caveat emptor.
I’ll
leave the last word to the government’s own auditor, the General
Accounting Office: “Because of
the federal government’s inability to demonstrate the reliability of
significant portions of the U.S. government’s accompanying accrual
basis consolidated financial statements for fiscal years 2007 and 2006,
principally resulting from certain material weaknesses, and other
limitations on the scope of our work, described in this report, we are
unable to, and we do not, express an opinion on such financial
statements. As a result of these limitations, readers are cautioned that
amounts reported in the accrual basis consolidated financial statements
and related notes may not be reliable.”
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James
Turk is the Founder & Chairman of GoldMoney.com <http://goldmoney.com/>.
He is the co-author of The Coming
Collapse of the Dollar <www.dollarcollapse.com>.

© 2008 James Turk
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