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Last
year was a happy one for domestic stock market investors. All the major
U.S. indices were up in 2006. But 2007 might not be a repeat.
Reason:
The U.S. economy has been slowing rapidly. In the last week, the stream
of discouraging news has just kept coming. Four examples:
The
Commerce Department said gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an
annual rate of 2% in the third quarter, down from 2.6% in the second
quarter.
The
Conference Board’s index of leading economic indicators rose by just
0.1% in November. Over the past six months, the index is up a meager
0.2%. According to Ken Goldstein, one of the group’s economists,
“The slower economy of the second half of 2006 might continue into the
first half of 2007.”
The
headlines said that durable goods orders increased by 1.9% in November.
But once you back out transportation orders, durable goods orders
actually fell by 1.1%. In other words, orders were weak for just about
everything else.
The
Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank’s manufacturing survey came in at a
negative 4.3 for December. That’s the third time in the past four
months that this fairly important data showed a rapidly slowing economy.
Heck,
most of the 2007 U.S. GDP estimates I’ve seen run between 1% and 2%.
I
don’t know about you, but that type of growth rate doesn’t get me
excited. Not when there are parts of the world expanding three, four,
even five times as fast! For instance ...
China
Is Poised to Continue
Its Relentless Expansion
While
the U.S. has been looking weak, the Chinese economy is growing like a
weed. The People’s Bank of China issued its new 2007 forecast last
week, saying it expects the country’s GDP to expand 9.8% for the year.
Ma
Kai, the chairman of China’s main planning agency — the National
Development and Reform Commission — said China’s “relentless
expansion has yet to be stopped.” How true!
Although
9.8% is slightly less than the 10%-plus growth China has been enjoying,
that kind of rise is still pretty darn impressive. And remember, the
Chinese government has consistently underestimated its country’s
growth by a wide margin.
So,
ask yourself this: Will you make more money by investing in the U.S.,
which is supposed to expand 1% or 2%, or by investing in China and its
9% or 10% growth rate?
There
are never any guarantees in the investment business, but there is no
question that China is brimming with opportunities. So, in my book, the
real question is how to get started.
Here
Are the Five Basic
Ways to Invest in China
A
lot of investors recognize that Asia is where the growth is these days.
But for some reason, they never put any money to work in foreign
markets.
I
can’t understand why, especially when it comes to China. After all,
there are plenty of ways to invest ...
Exchange-traded
funds: We’ve been telling you a lot about ETFs lately.
That’s because these investments can give you a diversified stake in a
particular sector, index or country in one shot.
These
investments have soared in popularity, and there are several that can
give you direct exposure to China and its mega-growth neighbors.
Mutual
Funds: ETFs are great, but don’t forget about traditional,
actively-managed mutual funds, either.
Some
of my favorites are U.S. Global’s China Region Opportunity (USCOX),
Fidelity’s China Region (FHKCX), and T. Rowe Price’s New Asia (PRASX).
Chinese
companies on U.S. exchanges: Did you know that 78 Chinese
companies are listed on the New York Stock Exchange? In fact, some of
the largest and most profitable companies in all of China can be found
on U.S. exchanges.
Chinese
companies on foreign exchanges: If you’ve never bought a
stock on a foreign stock exchange, you’ll be surprised at how easy it
is. All you need is a broker with an international trading desk and the
ticker symbol of the stock.
A
lot of really attractive Chinese companies are listed on the Hong Kong
Stock Exchange, but some can also be found on the exchanges in
Singapore, London, Shenzhen, and Shanghai.
U.S.
companies doing big business in China. U.S. companies have
been doing business in overseas markets for a long time. But these days,
some American firms are getting the bulk of their revenues from
outside the U.S.
For
example, both Yum Brands (runs Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, and KFC; NYSE: YUM)
and Las Vegas Sands (NYSE: LVS) garner more than half of their sales
from outside the U.S. My point is that even carefully selected U.S.
companies can give you very significant exposure to China.
Which
of these investments is right for you? The answer depends on a lot of
things: How aggressive you are, whether you’re more of a
do-it-yourselfer, and how focused you want to get.
But,
in my opinion, all of these Chinese investments stand to do very well in
2007. So make it your New Year’s resolution to add some Asian to your
portfolio this year.
Best
wishes,
TonySagami
Contributor,
Safe Money Report
support@martinweiss.com

© 2007 Tony Sagami
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