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The Big Picture: The Significance of Cyprus – Is the US Dollar on the Cusp of a Surprise?
Also on the Big Picture: “Triple Top or New Secular Bull Market?” and “Still Waiting For Armageddon?”
In this week’s edition of the Big Picture, Erik Townsend and Ryan Puplava sit in for Jim and discuss three different topics. The first, “The Significance of Cyprus- US Dollar on the cusp of a surprise?” deals with the events in Cyprus in the context of helping to stregthen the US dollar. Combining this banking fiasco with central banking printing around the globe, the US dollar looks primed to stregthen, which most do not expect. They discuss the implications for stocks, gold and commodities if this were to happen. In the next Big Picture topic, “Triple Top or New Secular Bull Market?”, Erik and Ryan discuss the issue, and make distinctions between economic recovery and stock market strength. In the last topic, “Still Waiting for Armageddon?” Erik and Ryan look at those still waiting for a disaster in their “bunker”, and stress that no matter when, or if, the calamity arrives, investors need to have a financial plan in place and not be paralyzed by fear. They also discuss the possibility that there could be a bond market melt-down, but that stocks might benefit.
Technician Tracy Knudsen: Short-Term Risks, But Long-Term Strongly Bullish Outlook For Stocks
Also, Ryan Puplava with the Market Wrap-Up, Erik Townsend on Commodities and Rob Bernard on Fixed Income
This week Erik Townsend sits in for Jim and welcomes technician Tracy Knudsen CMT, Senior Vice President & Senior Analyst at Lowry Research Corporation. Tracy notes that despite some short-term risks to the market, she has a strongly bullish long-term outlook for the stock market. In addition, John Loeffler discusses the this week’s market with Ryan Puplava, commodities with Erik Townsend, and fixed income with Rob Bernard.
These 2 graphs are to illustrate that a healthy primary uptrend in US equities remains in place, despite the potential for a correction...
Doug Noland on the Granddaddy of All Super Bubbles, the Global Sovereign Bond Market
Global QE Makes the Dollar Look Relatively More Attractive
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Jim welcomes back Douglas Noland, Senior Portfolio Manager at Federated Investors Inc. Doug sees the global government finance bubble as the next crisis epicenter. He believes the US has exported the finance bubble and today QE by central banks around the world make the dollar more attractive by comparison. Doug also sees the German people taking a harder line against bailouts in Europe, leaving their government in a bind. He believes that US bank depositors are also at risk of confiscation, by inflation.
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Jim welcomes Pamela Popper PhD, N.D. who appeared in the recent film “Forks Over Knives” and is one of the co-authors of the companion book, which reached the New York Times bestseller list. Despite the most advanced medical technology in the world, we are sicker than ever by nearly every measure. Forks Over Knives examines the claim that most, if not all, of the degenerative diseases that afflict us can be controlled, or even reversed, by rejecting animal-based and processed foods. The film looks at groundbreaking studies that conclude that our animal-based diet is primarily responsible for America’s three biggest killers: heart disease, cancer and diabetes. Despite the profound implications of their findings, the work by Dr. Colin Campbell and Dr. Caldwell Esselstyn has remained relatively unknown to the public.
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Jim welcomes William Black PhD, Professor of Economics and Law at University of Missouri-Kansas City School of Law. Professor Black sees an increasing trend of crony capitalism in world markets. He sees two primary reasons for the mess; regulatory neglect and competition from overseas exchanges with less stringent regulations. In terms of corruption, Black believes the current credit crisis is 70 times larger than the Savings & Loan Crisis. In the S&L crisis, Black notes that there were 30,000 criminal referrals, and 2,000 white collar criminals went to prison. In the current credit crisis, stemming from 2008, there have been zero criminal referrals and zero prosecutions. He sees the FBI as the only agency with any effectiveness in white collar crime, but they are woefully understaffed.
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Jim welcomes energy expert Bill Powers back to the program. Bill notes that energy stocks are now getting a bid, and he and Jim discuss the significance of Freeport McMoRan getting back into the oil business. They also discuss the risks of extrapolating energy discoveries into the future, as many recent shale oil plays are already peaking. They also look at Daniel Yergin’s “Undulating Plateau” and how it may be taking place now, instead of decades from now.
The Lifetime Income Series: After You’re Gone- Preparing and Protecting Your Spouse
Special Guest: Dr. Judith Fradkin on Type 2 Diabetes- Risk and Prevention
In this week’s edition, Jim and Cathlyn discuss the important but difficult topic of preparing and protecting a spouse if you were to die first. They discuss the importance of consolidating estate and financial documents, reviewing financial plans, looking at the possibility of using a corporate trustee. They also discuss the emotional aspect that is a critical component of the preparation process. Also on the program, Dr. Judith Fradkin of the National Institute of Health speaks with Jim on Type 2 diabetes. Dr. Fradkin discusses the risk factors, and also prevention measures to help avoid the disease.
Technician Charles Nenner on Bond Funds: Get Out Now While You Can
Also, Ryan Puplava with the Market Wrap-up, Erik Townsend on Commodities, and Rob Bernard on Fixed Income
Jim welcomes back noted technician Charles Nenner this week. Charles sees a new stock market high into late April or early May. He also sees the economy picking up until the end of the year, but risk is also rising as well. Charles sees late April as a high risk period for the markets in terms of a correction. He is also very bearish on bond funds, and urges investors to get out of them as soon as possible. Charles is also out of gold in the short term, as he sees a rally in the US dollar ahead. Also in this segment, Ryan Puplava wraps up this week in the markets, Erik Townsend covers commodities, and Rob Bernard has the Fixed Income Report.
In this week’s first Big Picture topic, Jim discusses the implications from the book “Dying of Money: Lessons of the Great German and American Inflations” by Gens O. Parsson. Jim looks at the lessons from prior inflationary episodes in Germany and America, and sees similarities to today, only now it’s on a global basis. Jim also answers your Q-Calls in this segment.
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