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These
days, you hear more and more to be prudent with your investment
decisions. It's also a common investment strategy to diversify your
portfolio. They say, "It's the prudent thing to do." If one
investment sector goes down, you mitigate your risk by also having
investment in other areas which in all likelihood, will go up. They will
tell you that this is also an opportunity to invest into more risky
endeavors and this is where you can be risky and prudent at the same
time. Get it!
As
a newcomer into the financial world, I started by getting my information
from mainstream media. Makes sense... it's easy access and doesn't cost
anything. Besides, you rely on the journalists which broadcast the news
because they know their stuff. Also, they are sponsored by highly
knowledgeable and responsible entities, which have your interest at
heart... or so you would think. When they told me to be prudent with my
investment decisions however, I started asking myself what prudent
actually was.
As
a first step, I used to wake up in the morning and tell myself that I
was going to be prudent today. I told my girlfriend what I was setting
out to do and she asked me, only after a long, funny look,
what I thought prudent was. I replied that I had no clue, but I
was about to find out since that was all the talk on TV. I was on a
quest for prudence and somebody had to know.
So,
I looked up the word in the dictionary:
1: the ability to govern and discipline oneself by the use
of reason
2: sagacity or shrewdness in the management of affairs
3: skill and good judgment in the use of resources
4: caution or circumspection as to danger or risk
That,
I found, was of little help to me.
Further
in my quest, I decided to see when the word prudence would occur
most frequently in the history of financial markets. I discovered, for
example, that the word was barely used during the 1990s, but saw its
reappearance around the beginning of the 21st century. Was it a trend, I
questioned, a word that would simply vanish for a while and then rise
from a long forgotten past? So, there seems to be eras where you have to
be more prudent than others!
When
I was a kid, I remember being told to be prudent. I would then ask what
prudent was and they told me to be careful.
"For
what?," I asked.
"For
dangerous stuff," I was told.
"Like
what?"
"Like
an accident."
Since
I never have broken anything, I figured that I was prudent. What else
could I rely on to tell me if I was doing the right thing? Besides, a
simple reply like "OK" seemed to calm all fears and I could go
on my merry way. Come to think of it, maybe I was too prudent and I
could have had more fun and still be prudent enough!
When
I spoke to my banker about investing, he told me about various vehicles
that carried various amount of risk. "If you want to be
prudent," he said, "you have to go with these ones."
"What
makes these a prudent investment as opposed to those other ones?"
"Cause
they carry the least amount of risk," he said.
"But
then, these other ones performed better."
"Yes,
but they are more risky."
"Can’t
you guys go in and out at the right moment?"
The
banker explained to me that in the end, the customer makes the ultimate
decision and that is what he’s getting. I can’t imagine all those
financially illiterate folks out there sitting in front of their banker
and being left alone with decisions which may seriously affect their
lives, having no idea of what they are getting themselves into. In a
matter of minutes, a person will choose, with very limited knowledge and
with no offer of training or information seminars, to invest a great
deal of their life's hard work based on the degree of risk. Now, even if
the person selects the investment, which carries the least amount of
risk there is, is that prudent?
On
the other hand, you can’t necessarily blame the financial industry for
what’s going on. When I asked people if they were interested in
financial stuff, they told me that they weren’t. They told me it was
too complicated, that they already had a job or that someone else was
taking care of it. When I asked them about their portfolio performance
however, I started to hear teeth grinding. Just to make matters worse, I
would tell them that you can make money when stocks go up, but you can
also make money when stocks go down. They almost invariably ask me how I
do that, but my reply is often, “You told me you weren’t interested,
but now you want to know?”
The
fact is that prudence has now been thrown out the window. For whatever
reason, people feel insecure and helpless with regards to money matters.
You just cannot be prudent these days because prudence doesn’t mean
anything. It is of utmost importance that we all realize the word
“prudence” can only lead to recklessness. Only knowledge can assist
you in making sound investment decisions, but we have made it so
complicated—almost
impenetrable and full of techno babble—that
people get scared.
I
honestly believe that people want to learn about money and how to manage
it and that what’s going on right now borders on conspiracy. We have
oversimplified for the masses a subject that we have purposely
complexified. We are inviting the masses to enter investment territories
that can best be described as jungles and pretending that they are safe
in the hands of professionals, based only on a small pamphlet or
information sheet.
As
professionals, we have it in our ability to make these subjects
accessible and interesting. To print stuff that people will want to
read. That they have fun reading. Humor may not be the forte of the
financial world, but that will have to change… along with many other
things. On the other side of the equation, one can question the
emergence of investment vehicles such as index funds, S&P futures,
hedge funds, derivatives and for that matter, the ability to short
stock. Market professionals will tell you that each and every vehicle
has its purpose, but in the end they are all designed to handle mostly
two things: stocks and bonds. Besides, we know now that many of these
instruments are used to suppress markets and hide debt.
We
have lost the investment mentality that says that I “invest “ in a
company and that dividends are the reward, that I “invest” in a
government or a country and that I collect interests and that “cash”
is an investment. It’s the decision not to invest and that
given certain circumstances, it’s a very wise decision.
Before
I finish this article, let me just use the word “prudent” one last
time in the sense it is generally accepted.
There
is nothing prudent about what’s going on out there. It is a
constant hide and seek game where new financial instruments are designed
to hide the simple truth. It prevents people from acquiring information
that will put them back in the driver's seat and regain control. We
don’t want people to be in control. We just want their money.
If
you ever hear the word prudence again, and that time is near, get up and
leave.
©
2003 Bernard Malouin
Montreal, Quebec, Canada
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