Selective rather than
common interest would better describe the present global economic
resource allocation system. The quest for selective interest can
historically be traced back to the times of the great land and sea
empires. The term common interest has always been used to rationalize
bias in human entitlements.
Selective
interest has a lot to do with the purchasing power that most Americans,
Japanese and Western Europeans have come to expect. Common selected
interest through shared prosperity and unilateral right by the United
States to use power projection was framed by these players in the
decentralisation that occurred to cement closure of WWII.
This
decentralisation was held together by the gold standard, the
concentration of economic power in US markets, military presence, and
the threat of communism. The misallocation of capital, a period of time
also described in terms of the peace dividend, allowed the defense of
selective interest to erode and because of perception and bias this
erosion may be irrevocable.
We
believe therefore that the framework of interdependent global economic
relationships, erroneously defined through the bias described as
"common interest," but as we have defined as selective
interest nears the end of its life cycle as we know it.
Consensus,
forced through the projection of power, does not exist at the level of
commitment needed to clarify which nations regions and people will be
beneficiaries of selective rationing going forward. Economic adjustment
and war will provide the clarification.
>From
the other perspective, as people worldwide are demanding better economic
prospects they are contending with the wealthy people of the world for
scarce or finite resources. The wealthy people of the world are only
wealthy by convention.
Central
banks, reserve currencies, designed interdependence between nations, and
military force projection, are some of the mechanisms and tools that
defend the interests of the relatively few people in the world who
benefit from the global wealth allocation scheme.
Selected
interest needs to be continually defended thus at points in time where
the will to defend the status quo dwindles so does the privilege and
prospects of selected interests wane. The abandonment of the gold
standard and the Vietnam war provide indicators when the will to defend
selected interest.
Without
the gold standard, central banking institutions have become a
sophisticated extension of power projection that seeks to impose and
defend economic stability of selected interest. The military projection
of force and the economic projection of power through trade agreements
are additional supports for selected interests. Today these forces are
waning.
Most
people in the United States don't realize that we would be hard pressed
to accept a standard of living on parity with levels present in much of
the world. Poor people have a propensity to make other people poor.
People in many regions of the world will be hard pressed to serve our
selective interests going forward.
Regions
that have ownership of scarce resources, common religious bonds,
historic identifies with empire, or past visions of greatness do not
share a common interest with having the United States continue on as the
worlds most privileged nation.
Rationing
to selective interests makes sense because energy, agriculture, and
water are not produced or available in the necessary abundance. These
necessities cannot be transported at affordable costs to provide all the
worlds people with reasonable quality of life.
The
selected interest of the United States has come under with the advent
three contending blocks of common interest namely India-Russia-China,
Germany-France, and Ottoman-Pan Islamic. Only Japan and parts of the old
English Empire currently have interests that for the moment align.
Every
now and again throughout history the convention of who gets to allocate
scarce resources gets redrawn. Therefore, contention through economic
conflict of war should be no surprise.
Some
of the symptoms of erosion include the weakening of US reserve currency,
the loss of the gold standard, constrained military projection, the
dominance of artificial constructs in a virtual-financial based economy,
unparalleled intervention in market allocation systems, a domestic
command economy, and the emergence of regional contending powers.
It
need not be a surprise to find out who has the most to lose in the zero
sum equation of scarce resource allocation. The greatest users of
resources have the most to lose.
©
2004 Pollock &
Mackenzie
Editorial Archive
Contact
Info:
-
Warren
Pollock is a guest author on Jim Sinclair's Mineset and has been
published in journals including the Journal of Homeland Security.
"The Nation's Stock Brokerage System Must Fortify Itself
Against Future Attacks" by Warren Pollock.
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John
Mackenzie manages private capital and hosts a gold forum/investors
exchange on Yahoo! groups. Email