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MIGRATING
TO NEW ENERGY PARADIGMS
PART 1
by Brian
Bloom
beyondneanderthal.com
July 19, 2007
Introduction, Summary and Conclusionst
This
article is the first in a series which will examine the practical
realities associated with migrating away from Fossil Fuels in general
and away from our reliance on Oil in particular.
The
following subjects will be examined:
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Summary
of Subjects to be Examined
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Summary
Conclusions
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The
importance of Oil to the world economy |
Oil
and related industries drive the world economy. This fact will
be demonstrated.
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The
difference between “perceived” needs and “real needs”.
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Reducing
CO2 emissions is a perceived need. Migrating to new
Energy Paradigms is a real need. It will be explained why this
difference is important.
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The
difference between making money, and building wealth. |
Policies
of the World’s Central Bankers in general and the US Federal
Reserve Board in particular are geared to facilitate the making
of money. Making money has become a “game”. The rules of the
game will be explained. Anyone can play. However, one
consequence of these policies is that wealth is being destroyed.
We are consuming future capital. If our political
leaders do not soon come to their senses there is a growing risk
that this wealth destruction will become irreversible. The best
way to arrest this destructive trend in the shortest possible
time frame is to replace our political leaders with men and
women of integrity.
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What
is the likely consequence if we fail to replace our political
leaders with men and women of integrity? Why?
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We
will fail to migrate to appropriate new Energy
Paradigms because our mainstream politicians are typically more
interested in winning votes than in solving problems. There is
demonstrable evidence that many are behaving irresponsibly. For
example, biofuels do not represent an appropriate new Energy
Paradigm.
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Summary
of Subjects to be Examined
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Summary
Conclusions
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When
will the brewing economic problems manifest?
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Beginning
2008, and accelerating to 2012. If action is not taken, and new
Energy Paradigms are not introduced before 2012 – 2020,
irreversible economic collapse seems likely. However, the
position is not hopeless. It can still be retrieved. Collapse
can be avoided. All of the above will be validated.
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Why,
exactly, can Private Enterprise acting on its own not
be relied upon to commercialise any truly new Energy Paradigms
across the globe within the next decade?
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Unit
costs of Energy can be expressed in cents per kilojoule, or
cents per btu. Dominant established businesses in the Energy
Industries enjoy the lowest cost per btu. Any new Energy
Paradigm will have a high cost per btu and will likely incur
significant losses if it tries to compete on price.
Unfortunately, to become a mainstream contender and be embraced
by the markets it will have to compete on price.
The key issue is time. Political dithering has sabotaged the
commercialisation processes. We have run out of time. But there
are other strategies that might be pursued. One of these will be
articulated.
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How,
precisely, should we behave if we want to ensure that
appropriate new Energy Paradigms are introduced within this time
frame? |
There
is an underlying science to successful investing in high
technology industries. Selection of, and investment in, new
Energy Paradigms should be predicated on this science. Political
largesse for the purpose of winning votes has no place in the
process. It leads to mal-investment. Key elements of the
underlying investment selection methodologies will be explained.
The solution to commercialising within a decade lies in a
collaborative effort between Government and Private Enterprise,
but operating within the investment guidelines.
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©
2007 Brian Bloom
Bio & Book Information
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CONTACT
INFORMATION
Brian Bloom
Beyond Neanderthal
Sydney, NSW, Australia
Email | Website
The
opinions of FSU contributors do not necessarily reflect those of
Financial Sense.
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