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GOLD
& SILVER
Is a Correction Looming?
by Douglas V.
Gnazzo
November 12,
2007
Gold
Gold
had another good week as it forged ahead $26.20 to $834.70, for a 3.24%
weekly gain – its highest weekly close in 27 years.
On
Thursday it closed higher at $837.50.
Intraday
during the week it hit a high of $848.00. Below is gold’s daily
chart.
There’s
not much one can say about gold’s powerful ascent other to comment on
its awesome rise from the bottom left hand corner of the chart to the
upper right hand corner: a bullish signature. One is left standing in
awe of a once in a lifetime event as it unfolds before us.
SAR
& OTHER INDICATORS
When
any asset rises this much in a short period of time it is always left
exposed to quick and violent sell offs that throw the newest riders off.
To glean where this might occur from we have used the SAR indicator that
measures parabolic rises and attempts to suggest from whence a
correction might ensue.
Presently
gold sits at $834.70; and the SAR indicator comes into play at $815.74 -
$19 lower or approximately 2.5% from its current price.
This
does not mean that a correction from this level will occur 100%
guaranteed, or that if one does it will stick to the parameters given.
It is but a signpost along the way to be aware of.
Also
notice that the ROC (rate of change) indicator is starting to roll over.
However, in a powerful bull market such indicators can appear for a day
and the very next day’s price action can wipe it off the chart.
The
CCI index at the bottom of the chart is also flashing overbought
readings.

Hui
Index
The
Hui Index had a slight gain for the week of 2.54 points to close at
441.92. Earlier in the week on Thursday and Wednesday the Hui closed
above 447, so Friday’s weekly close was not the highest daily close of
the week. It was however, the highest weekly close the Hui has yet to
make.
The
chart above shows the upper Bollinger Band to be at 448, so there is a
bit more to the upside if the index is so minded. Likewise, RSI is just
being bumped into.
MACD
and ROC are both very strong and positive. STO look like they could go
either way, however, there is an ever so slight biased to the
upside.
A
strong looking chart, however, caution is warranted. A chart looks most
bullish just before it turns bearish; and on the other hand a chart
looks most bearish just before it turns bullish. Such is the nature of
the beast.

GDX
Index
Below
is the weekly chart of the GDX Index. The chart is very strong. Price
just made a new all-time high. RSI is just bumping up into the
overbought level.
MACD
and the histograms are very strong and well into positive territory.
The
rally has taken place on increasing volume – always a very good sign.
Price
is starting to get extended, but still has room to run to the upside if
so minded. The ROC is very strong – but is it too strong, as in not
sustainable?

Many
of the markets appear to be at
a crossroads, where they could change direction at any time. Maybe –
maybe not. We shall see in due time.
It
just seems that too many people are on the same side of the boat or
trade. When this takes place my contrarian nature says move to the other
side dummy.
When
the crowd gets wise, the wise get out. I feel much more comfortable
doing the hard trade than the easy trade – but that’s just me. Each
to his own.
Invitation
Stop
by our website and check out the complete market wrap, which covers most
major markets, including stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, and
energy, with the emphasis on the precious metal markets, both physical
and stocks.
There
is a lot of information on gold and silver, not only from an investment
point of view, but also from its position as being the mandated monetary
system of our Constitution - Silver and Gold Coins as in Honest Weights
and Measures.
On
the main homepage are papers and articles by some of the best out there
to be had. There are audio and videos on banking, the Constitution, and
cutting edge news of serious interest. Many articles are archived, while
others are linked.
Live
time quotes on gold and silver and precious metal stocks are available,
including charts for most world currencies and futures. Links to the
World Bank, central banks, international monetary fund, the United
Nations, and much more are offered.
There
is also a live bulletin board where you can discuss the markets with
people from around the world and many other resources too numerous to
list.
Our
gold stock portfolio with all buy and sell orders is posted for viewing.
See which stocks we own, have sold, and bought most recently.
Drop
by and check it out. Good luck. Good trading. Good health. And that's a
wrap.
--
The
above was a brief synopsis of the full 40 page market wrap that can be
accessed on the Honest Money Gold & Silver Report Website: Honest
Money Gold & Silver Report

© 2007 Douglas V. Gnazzo
Editorial Archive
All
rights reserved. Any republication without written permission
of author
and Financial Sense prohibited.
CONTACT
INFORMATION
Douglas V. Gnazzo
Honest Money Gold & Silver Report, LLC
Canton Center, CT USA
Email
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About
the author: Douglas V.
Gnazzo is CEO of New England Renovation LLC, a historical restoration contractor
that specializes in restoring older buildings that are vintage historic
landmarks. He writes for numerous websites and his work appears both
here and abroad. Just recently he was honored by being chosen as a Foundation
Scholar for the Foundation for the Advancement of Monetary Education
(FAME).
Disclaimer:
The contents of this article represent the opinions of Douglas V.
Gnazzo. Nothing contained herein is intended as investment advice or
recommendations for specific investment decisions, and you should not
rely on it as such. Douglas V. Gnazzo is not a registered investment
advisor. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and
using methods believed to be reliable, but Douglas. V. Gnazzo cannot
accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result
of your reliance on this analysis and will not be held liable for the
consequence of reliance upon any opinion or statement contained herein
or any omission. Individuals should consult with their broker and
personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.
Do your own due diligence regarding personal investment decisions. This
article may contain information that is confidential and/or protected by
law. The purpose of this article is intended to be used as an
educational discussion of the issues involved. Douglas V. Gnazzo is not
a lawyer or a legal scholar. Information and analysis derived from the
quoted sources are believed to be reliable and are offered in good
faith. Only a highly trained and certified and registered legal
professional should be regarded as an authority on the issues involved;
and all those seeking such an authoritative opinion should do their own
due diligence and seek out the advice of a legal professional. Lastly
Douglas V. Gnazzo believes that The United States of America is the
greatest country on Earth, but that it can yet become greater. This
article is written to help facilitate that greater becoming. God Bless
America.
The
opinions of FSU contributors do not necessarily reflect those of
Financial Sense.
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