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WHEN
THEY PRY IT FROM MY COLD DEAD FINGERS
For the record, let me tell you that other people will get my silver at $15 per ounce only after they pry it from my cold dead fingers! Yet a different reader advised that she would soon begin purchasing precious metals for security in retirement. The Optimist combined the concepts of security, begin purchasing, and prying from cold dead fingers into a graphic image of a problem he sincerely hopes all readers can avoid. Criminals Who Pry Unfortunately, there are people who might interpret “pry precious metals from my cold dead fingers” as practical how-to guidance for their chosen occupation of callous criminal. The Optimist cannot recommend an NRA type of solution to people who may not be sure which end of the barrel to look into while pulling a trigger. Instead, the Optimist encourages all readers to keep a very low profile about the precious metals they purchase. Although telling the spouse is the right and proper thing to do, the list of acceptable confidantes ends there. Don’t take out a newspaper ad to announce your investments to the world, and don’t tell the kids, which is often just a less expensive way to accomplish the same result! Don’t tell your co-workers, and don’t confide in the neighbors. If you don’t want your business to be the center of conversation in the poker game or at the beauty parlor, don’t tell others about your precious metals holdings. After your friend tells a few friends, who tell a few more friends, etc, your wise decision to purchase precious metals could be counteracted by the unwise disclosure. A prospect that is even worse than taxation is awakening to find a stranger in your home using a knife or a gun to help you see the wisdom of sharing your precious metals with him. The Optimist offers this as words of wisdom you can live with: Silence is golden and it is essential for silver too! Seek Shelter from a Rising Crime Wave Violent crime has long been a problem that everyone needs to work hard at avoiding. In keeping with the Optimist’s preferred approach of telling you the good news that you may not hear elsewhere, he can confidently predict that the skills you have honed to avoid attack by criminals will prove to be invaluable, and possibly life saving. The Optimist is honored that he can share with you his view of the future. Inflation will march inexorably higher at an increasing rate which cannot be fully disguised by clever hedonic adjustments. Rising inflation will force the FED to increase nominal interest rates in a never ending mode of catch-up, but the FED will insure that real interest rates are not permitted to peek into positive territory. The rising nominal interest rates will work as a continuing drag on the economy, and unemployment will steadily climb. Just as in the 1970’s, we will be reintroduced to the concepts of stagflation and the misery index (which is the sum of inflation % plus unemployment %). The only things which are sure to prosper throughout a time of rising misery index are precious metals and crime. All readers would do well to review their surroundings to insure that their homes and lives are as well protected from rising crime as their investments in precious metals are protected from rising inflation. Violent Crime Can Be Reduced Some pessimists point to our already fully stressed courts and overcrowded prisons, and the woefully inadequate state budgets which leave no resource for repairs. Hopefully by now, you will not be surprised to learn that the Optimist will offer a brighter perspective. Violent crime and the related costs to society can be dramatically reduced after our nation takes positive action to correct the primary problem which causes it. Much of the violent crime in America is committed by people who did not obtain a proper education through the high school level, which is offered by the taxpayers at no cost to every student. Young adults without at least a basic education face huge hurdles in running the race of life, and too many of those uneducated young adults will trip and fall into the gutters of crime. The solution to that problem is not to force older troublemakers (who do not want to be in school, and will refuse to learn) to stay in school, where they will only make it more difficult for the students who do want to learn. Instead, the solution can be found by recognizing that the parents of those uneducated young adults failed in their obligations as parents to properly motivate their children to achieve an education so they will have the tools which make it possible to succeed in life. The Optimist is confident that the two fold approach of encouraging parents to properly motivate their children, and of holding parents responsible for improper behavior by their children, will result in a marked decrease in the number of uneducated young adults. As indicated in Responsibility is the Opposite Side of the Freedom Coin, people who are unwilling or unable to motivate a child to achieve an education should not be parents. When people who should not be parents have fewer children, all of society will benefit from a reduction in violent crime and other serious social problems. A Jury of Our Fears The Optimist is pleased that he can be the first to tell you about a new concept in the criminal justice system. Two of the major problems which make the American system of justice notoriously inefficient are juries and the appeal process. The optimist rests his case against juries with a simple question. Was O.J. guilty or innocent? One group of jurors saw one answer, while a different group reached the opposite conclusion. The same facts, presented in a similar manner, resulted less in truth and justice than in a reflection of what the juries wanted to see. The appeal process inflicts frustrating delays and additional overcrowding at ever increasing costs onto the justice system. When a simple error in police work or courtroom procedures can cause a judge to terminate a trial in progress and force a repetition in a new trial, there is no wonder that the criminal justice system is so badly overloaded. All readers who share the view that courts within the justice process are obligated to err on the side of the defense will quickly object that the judge must act to protect the rights of the accused. The almost unanimous rallying cry against the Optimist will be “What else can the judge do?” The Optimist is most grateful for this spontaneous invitation to present his alternative for consideration. A Jury Does Not Compute The weakest link in the criminal justice process is that a jury is composed of people, who may or may not want to do a good job of judging, and who may or may not have the ability and desire to separate the truly important elements in a complicated and emotional trial, and who will inevitably have their understanding filtered and their reasoning clouded by their individual backgrounds and experiences. The Optimist’s solution to many of the problems in the criminal justice system is to replace juries with a computer! Instead of a lengthy and costly process for lawyers to repetitiously hammer their key points into a jury that may or may not be receptive, the points would need to be presented only once to a judge who would rule on the relevance and importance of each point. Then a clerk would input each piece of the relevance and importance data into a computer database. Instead of weeks or months for a trial by jury, the full data presentation and input process would be completed in days. The computer software would quickly process all of the data, and a verdict would be announced almost immediately. If a lawyer says something improper during the presentation of the data to the judge, there would be no need to restart the trial. The problematic action would just not be input into the computer. Similarly, if a “fact” that was presented during the trial is found to be untrue after the verdict, there would be no need to begin again with a new jury. Simply delete the bad item from the database, and run the computer program again. A trial by computer would also eliminate the problem of a hung jury, since the computer would always reach a “verdict” on the total percentage of guilt by the defendant. Similarly, an overturned conviction by an appeals court due to a technical infraction would not create a need to retry the case. The specific item ruled inadmissible could be deleted from the trial database, and the program could be run again to determine the new level of guilt. Perhaps the best part of the Optimist’s proposal is that it would be easy to apply new evidence to clear an innocent person who had been wrongfully convicted. No need for an expensive new trial, which might be otherwise impossible if original witnesses were no longer available to testify to a new jury. Simply input the new data, and process the amended database again. The Optimist suggests new definitions for double jeopardy and guilty beyond a reasonable doubt. If the computer concludes that a person is less than 50% guilty, then the Optimist advocates that the defendant. Should be declared not guilty, and double jeopardy would operate to prevent retrying the person again for the same offence. Conversely, a computer verdict of more than 90% guilty would mean that the defendant is guilty beyond a reasonable doubt, and the judge could impose the maximum penalty. If the computer renders an ambiguous verdict with a degree of guilt between 50% to 90%, the accused would be called Probably Guilty, and the imposed sentence would range from as little as probation near the 50% level to almost the maximum near 90% guilty. If new evidence is subsequently developed to further implicate a Probably Guilty person, then a process would exist to enter that new evidence later, and run the trial software again. Conversely, a person could request a new computation any time that significant new exonerating evidence is developed. By replacing a jury with a computer, innocent people will be better protected, guilty people will be more fully punished, and all of society will reap the benefits of a more efficient and much less costly system of justice. Your Turn to Take Action Although the Optimist does not yet know of other similar proposals to replace a jury with a computer, he is fully aware that there is little that is truly new. If any reader knows of previously proposed comparable ideas, the Optimist would be happy to learn about them and publish a summary in an addendum. The Optimist does not feel constrained, however, by earlier legal requirements such as the 7th Amendment to the Constitution which mandates that a person must be tried by a jury of his peers. That may have been the best we could do many years ago, but that is not sufficient reason to blindly tread the same problematic path today. The addition of one more amendment to the Optimist’s action list is a small price to pay for substantially improving life in the USA. The Optimist has added this topic to his list of proposed Optimist Amendments to the Constitution. All readers are encouraged to select the amendments they consider valuable, and pass that information to their Representatives at both the state and the national levels, and to the candidates they will support for election to those offices. Press your representatives and candidates to take action quickly, because the process to amend the Constitution is slow, and our nation has no surplus of time to waste in solving some of our major problems.
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