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Here on the blog I have been charting the current consolidation in gold stocks reminding myself daily that this is healthy and that the charts say exactly that. Now anything can happen, but the miners have needed to "crash the 20" (day exponential moving average). Not just come close to it, but crash it (as the Dow, SPX and other major indices did recently) or at the least, grind down and touch it. Today we are just about there. A nice gap is filled and a strong support zone has nearly been reached. Every card carrying bug knows that the Fed is an engine of inflation, but the Fed needs to gain the "street cred" to continue on with business as usual. A wounded animal is a dangerous animal and precious metals investors are aware of that. So if this wounded animal, trapped in a box and becoming increasingly desperate in light of the US Dollar's poor recent showing should decide to surprise today with a rate hike (not expected by anyone, but in an age when so much macro-financial data is swept off the balance sheets and out of the light, you never know if a figurative nuclear option is in play) you might say goodbye to the precious metals rally as well as any pretense of a legitimate bull market in stocks, not that the Dow-Gold ratio hasn't already debunked that idea. In conclusion, as we approach 2:15 Eastern Time, this is just a reminder that the gold, silver and miner rally is not over until it's over and as of 11:15 Eastern, it ain't over. Good luck.
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