|
Well,
how is gold these days?
Are
you one of those still convinced this rise in the gold price is merely a
short term rally that has reached its climax? If you follow the
fundamentals you have to be aware the real forces destined to drive gold
even higher have not even kicked in yet. So in other words we are barely
at the beginning of a long term price appreciation of the gold price.
But
let’s stop here and consider the forces in motion driving the gold
price higher today and now. The facts are that the rest of the world is
seeing something today that American investors as a whole are totally
oblivious to. Or maybe American investors in their inflated over
confidence just choose to go though each day wearing blinders.
Why
do American investors wear “blinders” on their eyes keeping them
from seeing the economic realities of today? Read the text below and you
will understand why American investors refuse to recognize the growing
financial mess this country is in now.
“In
the mountain town where I used to live, we celebrated "Winter
Carnival" — a midwinter, weeklong festival that included winter
sports, ice sculpting and a good old-fashioned parade. I remember the
big Belgian workhorses pulling sleighs loaded with hay down Main Street.
Attached to each horse's headgear were blinders — big black wings —
that cupped the horse's eyes, blocking part of its vision.” "Why
do they always put blinders on the horses?" I asked my friend
Sally, a knowledgeable horsewoman. "It seems sort of mean to
me." "Oh, no, it's not mean at all," Sally said.
"Blinders are helpful tools, and there are good reasons for using
them.” "Horses have limited side vision because their eyes are
situated toward the sides of their heads," she explained.
"Because they're only seeing out of one eye or the other, sudden
movements on either side can frighten them, causing them to bolt or shy
away.” "Also, it's hard for
horses to see what lies directly ahead, so it's difficult for them to
focus down the road. By putting blinders on a horse," Sally
continued, "a handler helps him focus straight ahead — on his
job, his purpose and his destination." -
click here!
Well,
there is the answer folks as to why investors in this country wear
blinders. It is because “…sudden movements
on either side can frighten them…” And if folks remove these
blinders heaven help the fright they would experience from looking at
reality.
And
by wearing these blinders the investor can “…focus
straight ahead — on his job, his purpose and his destination." And
what is that goal and destination the average American is seeking just
over the hill? More debt and the false hope that good times will always
be just around the corner…as long as you are invested “in the long
term.” In the long term we’ll all be dead. Maybe we better start
concentrating more on the activities of day to day.
Well,
let’s pause here and take those confounded blinders off as the rest of
the world has done and look at economic reality. The following Asian
news text is a good indicator of how the world community views the US
dollar today without the aid of blinders. Take your blinders off just
for a moment here and comprehend well what you read below and do not
ignore its message.
“Mumbai,
April 16: Gold is expected to touch Rs 10,000 per 10 grams in the next
five to six months because
of the weakening of the dollar as the US economy is fast losing its
sheen coupled with the constantly
growing gold demand for the yellow metal.” “These findings are
contained in a paper brought out by Assocham on "Yellow metal: its
future pricing trends", which points out that the
dollar has already lost its lustre by 40 per cent against the euro since
2001.” -
click here!
Just
curious to ask you here… Is this what you are hearing on the US
evening news or the US cable financial channels?
"The
trend is unlikely to be reversed in the future as the faith of the
international community in the US economy has been shaken so much that
it has reached saturation point. The US economy has started sagging and the
trend has become so pronounced and visible that
investors henceforth prefer to accumulate gold rather than dollar,"
says the study.” -
click here!
Did I
just read above that this trend has become “visible?” If it is
visible to the rest of the world community why is it not also
“visible” to US news networks and American financial analysts? I
wonder if Katie will be able to see this “visible” trend when she
begins this fall to report the news for CBS as the new network anchor?
“…the
US dollar losing its pre-eminent position of most preferred investment
instrument.” “The report says further that gold
demand the world over is constantly shooting up
and has neared levels around 4,000 tonnes per annum against its supplies
which remain stagnant at about 2,250 tonnes per annum.” “Since the
dollar is losing its glitter the emerging trend among the investing
communities would be "to develop and widen the yawning gap for
yellow metal accumulation which will naturally accelerate it
price….” -
click here!
[...]
I
really love the following quote below. Just read his biography recently
and I found his philosophy so true to life.
"Success isn't built on
success; it's built on failure, frustration and sometimes
catastrophe." Sumner Redstone
Nothing
of value in this world comes easily. Success is only built on the
foundation of failure and great travail. And that is a fact. Life’s
trials really have a way of weeding out the wimps from the winners. The
winners pick themselves up right after they fail and they keep on
trying. Are you a winner or a failure? You are a failure if you refuse
to get your tail up off the floor after being knocked down by the
vicissitudes of this world.
Uh
oh. A new word we just used above – “vicissitude.”
“Middle
French, from Latin vicissitudo, from vicissim in turn, from vicis
change…”: “a favorable or unfavorable event or situation that
occurs by chance… a difficulty or hardship attendant on a way of life,
a career, or a course of action and usually beyond one's control…”
The
following text below is a good example using the word
“vicissitudes.”
“As
the economy continues to head south and with it your 401 K make sure you
have started a portfolio containing gold and silver stocks so as not to
get caught up in the “vicissitudes” of a declining world economy.
I was
taking my turn doing parking lot duty at our church on Easter Sunday and
was up on the large grassy hill next to the paved parking lot awaiting
the extra throng of church goers who always show up for Easter service.
And standing in the middle of the grassy hill was the largest and
fattest Canadian goose I have ever seen.
“With
the Ben Bernanke-led Fed having declared itself to be "data
dependent," the inflation reports take on greater-than-normal
importance for traders. But "these are tortured data," says
Jeffrey Saut, chief investment strategist at Raymond James &
Associates, suggesting that the
PPI and CPI data don't adequately report the higher cost of goods.
"What they are telling you just doesn't jive with what you see in
real life…"
And
getting back to that fat Canadian goose?
This
old bird evidently had slept late this Sunday morning and when he awoke
all his buddies had flown on with out him. The poor old goose kept
looking around looking for his buddies but they were no where in sight.
Emanuel
Balarie - “Even though gold prices have risen
to over $600/ounce, investors are still failing to acknowledge that we
are in a fundamentally driven precious metals bull market.” “…the
same fundamental reasons that have driven the price of gold from its
lows in 2001 will continue to drive it still higher in the years to
come. As such, it is important for investors to note that we
have only just begun, and it is not too
late to participate in this gold bull market.” -
click here!
And
back to our goose?
This
old goose turned and looked in my direction as if to say, “I’m lost
and up the creek.” Yes, I replied back and told this bird he would
definitely soon be up the creek if he did not fly away soon before the
cars started parking where he was sitting on the grass. He finally got
the hint and flew away.
“With
the acceleration of worldwide production growth in an increasing number
of emerging nations, the demand and price escalation of major
commodities should come as no surprise.” -
click here!
Now
what did that ole’ fat Canadian goose have to do with what we have
been talking about?
I
suppose the moral of the story about the fat Canadian goose is not to
sleep too late, but to pay attention. I wonder how many investors are
presently sleeping through the news today and still not comprehending
the gradual and serious change in today’s economy. Don’t be like
that old fat goose that wakes up late only to find he has missed the
boat and has been left behind.
“Gold
futures climbed as much as $9 an ounce Wednesday to trade at their
highest level since 1980 as continued high crude prices and the biggest
jump in consumer prices in a year fanned inflationary fears.”
-
click here!
©
2006 David N. Vaughn
Editorial Archive
CONTACT
INFORMATION
David N. Vaughn
Gold
Letter Inc.
Website - Subscription Info
(888) 836-7758
Email
Readers
are advised that the material contained herein is solely for information
purposes. The author/publisher of this letter is not a qualified
financial advisor & is not acting as such in this publication. Gold
Letter, Inc. is not a registered financial advisory. Subscribers should
not view this publication as offering personalized legal, tax,
accounting or investment related advice. All forecasts and
recommendations are based on opinion. Markets change direction with
consensus beliefs, which may change at any time and without notice. The
author/publisher of this publication has taken every precaution to
provide the most accurate information possible. The information &
data were obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but because the
information & data source are beyond the author’s control, no
representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate. The
reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions
shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action.
Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Any
statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which
are subject to change. The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their
associates are not responsible for errors or omissions. The
author/publisher may or may not have a position in the securities and/or
options relating thereto, & may make purchases and/or sales of these
securities relating thereto from time to time in the open market or
otherwise. Authors of articles or special reports contained herein may
have been compensated for their services in preparing such articles.
Gold Letter and/or its affiliates may receive compensation & or
stock options for the featured company’s right to publish &
reprint & to distribute this publication. Nothing contained herein
constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for
the purchase or sale of securities & therefore information, nor
opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell
any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein. Investors are
advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment
advisor before entering any financial transaction. The
opinions of FSU contributors do not necessarily reflect those of
Financial Sense. |