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Well,
the year is drawing to a close so let’s examine how gold has done for
2006.
Gold
for the year is up around 20%. The Lipper Gold Mutual Fund Index is up
around 33%. Not bad I think. And the serious gradual fall out for the US
dollar has begun. The real estate meltdown has begun and continues to
gather momentum. We have a new congress coming into office that will
begin making changes that will contribute to higher long term gold
prices.
The
following article below came out in the past couple of weeks or so and
many readers are asking for comments. First of all let me state that I
find the article to be ridiculous. The article asserts that we have
something to fear from China. This is first of all ridiculous because
for 100 years I do not believe we have ever seen one aggressive act come
from Asia against the interests of the United States.
I
believe I am correct in this.
Asia
is our friend and buddy and never have they in any way threatened or
harmed a single American hair. So why should we even begin to suspect
that they would take advantage of us now simply because they hold a 1
trillion mortgage over our heads today? Really, can you believe some
folks? These guys and gals like us and are our friends and want to help
every single American boy and girl to prosper even at the expense of his
or her Asian neighbor. Anyway, below is the ridiculous article full of
Asian slander I am referring to. Read the article with the understanding
that this
could never contain an ounce of truth though.
“…the
Chinese government has informed visiting Bush Administration officials
they intend to dump One TRILLION U.S. Dollars from China's Currency
Reserves and convert those funds into Euros!” “China told the U.S.
delegation they no longer have faith in U.S. Currency for several
reasons:
1)
The Federal Reserve Bank ceased publishing "M3" data in March,
making it nearly impossible for anyone to know how much cash is being
printed. China said this act made it impossible to tell how much a
Dollar is worth.
2) The U.S. Dollar has lost upwards of thirty percent (30%) of its value
against other foreign currencies in the recent past, meaning China has
lost almost $300 Billion simply by holding U.S. Dollars in its reserves.
3) The U.S. has no plans whatsoever to reduce deficit spending or [the]
ability [to] pay down any of its existing debt without printing money to
pay it off.” “For these reasons China has decided to implement an
aggressive sell-off of U.S. Dollars before the rest of the world does
so. China reportedly told the US delegation; "we are the largest
holder of U.S. Currency and if the rest of the world unloads theirs
before we unload ours, we will lose our shirts." click
Anyway,
the above article can simply have zero truth to it because the Chinese
like us and would never desire to hurt us in any way. It’s simply
ridiculous to assume that they are one day going to call in the mortgage
they hold over this country. The truth be told I am sure the Chinese
folk are trembling in their boots. The United States is economically
invincible and will never fail. Just can’t.
“Uranium
prices surging. $115 a pound predicted for 2007” “…well-respected
Australian based research organization Resource Capital Research,
which specializes primarily in the uranium sector among other minerals
resources, has predicted spot uranium oxide prices rising to $115 a
pound during 2007. According to RCR’s latest quarterly review of
the market, analyst John Wilson states: “Forward indicators suggest
the uranium price is heading to US$90/lb by mid 2007…and US$115/lb by
September 2008, an increase of 75% over the current spot price.”
“The upward revisions are largely driven by the expected impact to the
uranium market of delays at the Cigar Lake project (Cameco) in
Canada.” click
The
following reader email below comes from Denmark with a very good
question.
Dave,
“…I'm
trying to figure out what the US government will do with its current
debt situation and future unfunded liabilities time-bomb…”
“Unfunded liabilities are now at about 44 tril. How will the US
eventually pay this, keeping in mind that amount grows significantly
each year, much faster than receipts? Will the government A) cancel
these social programs altogether, or B) keep inflation high to erode the
liabilities to zero (please see xls for some quick calcs - am I way
off?), or C) just roll with it forever/until an major asteroid hits
Earth?”
James M., Denmark
Well,
I think we can answer James from Denmark with the following email
comment from another reader below.
David,
“Once
we were amused by inflation. It only happened to banana republics and
the Germans of long ago.” “Now
we depend on inflation. It raises the stock market but we
call it a bull market. It raises the price of a house but we call it
wealth creation.” Tom N.
Tom,
just answered what the long term solution to all US dollar problems will
be. More inflation. It is simply the only way the US government will
ever even hope to handle the escalating US dollar mess. And higher
inflation ultimately is what contributes best to a rising gold price. Do
you begin to see why gold bugs are so confident of long term rising gold
prices?
Are
readers making money investing in uranium stocks? Read the following
email from a happy reader and I will let you decide.
Good
morning David, I
have enjoyed reading your articles, particularly with regards to Uranium
over the last few months…” “In April 2005 I invested in a small
Western Australian based Uranium company called…” “With the
announcement of successful diamond drilling this week the split share
price climbed as high as $2.16 making my investment now worth
$13,000,000; (thirteen million dollars).” “The initial 20 cent stock
is now worth approx $6.48.” “…this is just the beginning.”
“…very few people understand what is going on with the Uranium price
and have failed to take advantage of it. WHAT ARE THEY WAITING FOR?”
Michael V.
Good
question to ask Michael, “What are people waiting for?” But my
experience is that most folk generally have this instinctive internal
timing mechanism where by they wait for a market to top out and then
they jump in. Always happens that way and always will. That is why those
that prosper are always in the minority because they think outside the
box and are willing to jump in and take worth while calculated risks
when they present themselves. The stupid just sit back like idiots and
wait for the rain.
Hi
David, “…just read your article as published on xxxx.” “…your
insistence on uranium made me buy a few of the companies out there and
needless to say, I am seeing 20-30% in last few months and hope and
expect a good deal more.” “…is
uranium still so unknown by wall street people? I am
surprised Mr. Kramer of TV fame has not been there pushing…” TKS
Yes,
yes, yes to the following question below!
“is
uranium still so unknown by wall street people?”
And
for the above reason is why uranium remains the buy of the century
still.
Hi
David, “I
enjoy reading your articles and I share your views on subscribing to a
few good newsletters.” “After watching and reading the opinions of
many different newsletter and industry commentators I have singled out
about four that I really trust. They are: Paul Van Eeden, David Morgan,
Doug Casey and Jim Dines.” Cheers. Have a wonderful Christmas. Jason,
Calgary, Alberta
Good
choices, Jason.
“Uranium
spot prices will continue to rise into the New Year, hitting $90 US per
pound by mid-2007, according to a report by Resource Capital
Research.” “It projects the spot price could hit $115 US per pound
by late 2008. Resource Capital said junior uranium miners are seeing
strong interest from investors, with Canadian companies like…”
“…are forecast to continue to outperform the sector…” click
©
2006 David N. Vaughn
Editorial Archive
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