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WHAT
DRIVES A GOLD STOCK HIGHER?
by David N. Vaughn
Gold Letter,
Inc.
February 15, 2007
Well,
gold is doing quite well going into the end of this week. Can you say
“bull market?”
What
do you look for in a gold stock or any resource related company? Good
question to ask. There are two things really you’re looking for. And
if you can follow these two principals you will have a good foundation
as you further narrow your choices.
Dave,
“I
am a 45 year old hard working middle class HR manager with three
children.” “It used to be I dutifully put as much money into my 401k
as my employer would match, directing it into a global mutual fund. Now
this old strategy seems ridiculous. The more I read the more I am afraid
for my family and how the growing monetary turmoil beneath the surface
will impact our lives. Investing in precious metals is clearly the way
to go.”
Kevin
F.
Folks,
you’ve got to help me! I’ve lost it. When I go to the coffee shop
now I order a latte with soy milk. Yes, I am not kidding. I have begun
ordering the blasted thing in place of a normal cup of coffee. And I
actually like it. I apologize as I never saw this coming.
Back
to gold!
First
of all you want to buy into a sector that is in itself in a long term
established upward trend. Second you want to make sure the individual
stock you are considering is in an upward trend. Do you want to buy a
stock just sitting there and presently showing no signs of life? You may
do this if you are confident the stock is a good value and an excellent
long term gamble and you are confident that it will eventually climb
higher.
But
why not wait before you buy it. If it is not moving at all yet maybe
it’s best to find a stock already taking off and heading higher. If a
company you are really desirous to buy into is still just sitting flat
let it sit there and only buy it after it has begun to climb. Look for
those shares that are already moving and climbing higher. Keep your
money working. Don’t let it sit there collecting dust.
Dave,
“The
evening news? It's total mind control.” “American Idol? God, what a
nauseating TV show. Can't stand it myself. But gold? I bought in late
2001 at $290 an ounce, and again in 2006 at $622 and am holding. Bought
silver (late) at $11.80 and am holding. I recommend you get off this
phony war emotionalism crap. Just focus on the dollar.”
Sincerely,
Rick
H.
Too
many investors will buy a stock that is just sitting there and they buy
into it and then wait for it to start moving. But how long are you going
to have to wait? Days? Months? Years? Sure, it’s going to move some
day but let’s keep those speculation dollars working. Wouldn’t a
better allocation of money be to buy something already moving higher
with good established momentum?
David,
“Your point is well taken about taking some profits off the table
every now and then. However, some of us have a longer term perspective
and are willing to wait patiently for doubles, triples, quads, or five
baggers.” “Best wishes and good luck with your investing (or
should I say trading?)”
Jim M.
Then
keep an eye on the stock you want to buy that is just sitting there,
wait for it to begin moving, then buy it. Keep your dollars building
wealth at all times. Don’t leave it sitting there in your account
gathering dust for months or so in a stock that hasn’t yet taken off.
So,
in summary look for 2 things in a stock.
Make
sure the sector trend is strong and second buy individual stocks that
have already started climbing higher. Keep your money working for you.
Don’t give your money a free ride. Make it work for you. Don’t let
it collect dust.
David,
“Been
reading your articles on the xxxx site for years now. Love your style
even if I don't always agree with your political stances.” “…as a personal
banker I am always preaching to young people about the Rule of
72 and the power of compound interest. The
advice you give about taking smaller profits instead of counting on the
10-bagger is wise.” “I sure wish you big shots with your
huge return averages would have a mutual fund with your top 10 or top 50
gold and silver or uranium companies and do the trades when you feel the
timing is appropriate. Even if the expenses were relatively high it
would be worth it. That way you can get rich off the expenses paid to
you by us small investors while you make us 30% returns each month.
Okay, even if you can bring me 30% returns per quarter I would be in.
Heck, get me 30% twice a year and I'm still interested! This
gold and silver bull is a once or twice in a lifetime opportunity…”
“I
don't want to miss out on this time; I may not live to see the next one.
How I do during this bull will determine if I work till I get Social
Security and Medicare or if I can retire while I'm still young enough to
enjoy life with a healthy body.”
Sincerely,
Bob
K.
Bob,
look a little harder. There are funds out there that are structured the
way you mention. Doug Casey just highlighted 3 of these types of
entities in his last issue. Bob, I strongly suggest for you to subscribe
to Casey’s newsletter as you are missing out on valuable info you need
to be aware of while investing in the precious metals bull market.
“Where
is this system going? Where is it likely to be heading, in the
twenty-first century…?” Morris Bermen, The Twilight of American
Culture
Where
is our civilization today headed? Good question to ask.
“World-systems,”
writes historian Janet Abu-Lughod, “do not ‘fail’; they
‘restructure.’” Morris Bermen, The Twilight of American Culture.
Another
word that defines ‘restructure’ is the word “trend”. And this is
what I talk about over and over – trends. Observe the changing
financial and economic trends occurring today. And I say you better
study and learn these trends or you will wind up going broke.
Hi
David:
“I'm
not onboard with your 2/9/2007 concern about the number of stocks one
has. I think that one's basis in the stocks is the more important
factor.” “I've never sold an entire holding just to take a profit if
the company has speculative merit.” “…if I end up with 60 stocks,
but 30 are at a zero basis, I'm only managing the 30 core. I'm not going
to buy more of the zero basis stocks, and won't sell the free shares
until Maria Bartilomo is doing her show from the Vancouver Exchange.
Thanks,”
Paul
H.,
Virginia
P.S.
Real estate in this DC suburb was down 15% in 2006.
And
what today is the developing trend? Hard assets, including gold and
uranium, are continuing to come into favor and respect. And this trend
will only grow as this century continues to unfold. Read the following
below folks as I want to share something.
David,
“I
am always skeptical when you publish a letter from a reader whom
we assume is a free market advocate or else why would he be reading you
and concludes his essay by saying he is hoping for a Democratic win the
'08 US elections.”
Kindest
regards
Rich
C.
Listen
folks, just because I post a democrat’s email doesn’t mean that I
agree with the readers’ political philosophy. I am determined to post
all sides views as that I believe makes a more interesting letter.
Don’t you agree with me? No censure here.
Gold
Letter emails brief reviews of undervalued gold, silver, uranium and
other resource stocks that are under valued and poised to rise.
Our
top 10 best performing stocks are up over 2,100% and our top 50 best
performing stocks are up over 500% - 60 minute real time delay when the
markets are open. The top 50 represent over 50% of all Gold Letter's
recommendations since inception. Gold Letter is the only newsletter that
tracks and publishes this kind of exact data on their recommended
stocks. You won’t find this precise record keeping provided with any
other newsletters.
And
a faithful reader comments below!
Hi
Again David,
“I
am a faithful reader of your issues because you include insights from
your readers that allow a glimpse of the average American viewpoint
without the government manipulation and media filters. I think we should
also address the anatomical issues involved in these same markets.”
“IF YOU DON'T SEE THE INFANCY OF WWIII IN THE MIDDLE EAST...OPEN
YOUR EYES. If you don’t intend to invest in silver and gold at
all....kiss it all goodbye.”
Rob
F.
Do
you guys (& gals) know who Alf Fields’ is? Anyway, Al is an astute
analyst who spends his venerable years trotting the globe looking for
wisdom. Alf is one analyst who often is right on the money and very much
worth listening to.
Alf
Field - “The time has come to talk about the imminent major
upward surge in the gold price. The stars are aligned, the fundamentals
are in place, the technical situation is positive and the Elliott Wave
analysis suggests that wave 3 (the strongest wave) of the current
sequence is underway. The gold price should soon move to new highs for
the current bull market.” “…sharply higher prices ahead.” “The
near term target price for gold from the Teacup and Saucer base is
approximately $760, a level that would accord well with a possible peak
for the Elliott wave 3 of wave I, the wave that is presently
underway.” “In Update X it was explained that the likely peak of
wave I would be $870, from which point a 16% correction should occur.”
“Consequently we can be reasonably certain that this correction is the
first of the 8% minor magnitude corrections expected on the way to
approximately $870.” “It is comforting to see the 8% correction in
place as it is additional confirmation that the $560.7 low last October
was indeed the low point of the correction from May 2006. It also
confirms that the action since October has been the early part of a
major new upleg and a continuation of the gold bull market.” Alf
Field, Click

And
further confirmation that gold is on its next leg up?
Roger
Wiegand – “Trader Tracks sees new and powerful fundamental forces
for gold and silver.” “While difficult to measure accurately,
precious metals global awareness is now entering some new doors offering
enormous market purchasing capacity. As gold and silver propel their
prices above $740 and $15.20 recent highs, we forecast a literal
explosion in new buying across the board.” “As they say, timing is
everything and we cannot suggest a better chance than now to enter these
markets with the normal precautions to participate in what we feel will
be the largest precious metals market in recorded history. Please
remember, gold would be priced today near $2,000 per ounce if it were
adjusted for inflation.” –Traderrog Click
Don’t
forget to send me an email. I’ll post it if I like what you have to
say. Can you say, “Make it interesting?”
David
Vaughn

©
2007 David N. Vaughn
Editorial Archive
Gold
Letter emails brief reviews of undervalued gold, silver, uranium and
other resource stocks that are under valued and poised to rise. Our top
10 best performing stocks are up 2,140% and our top 50 best performing
stocks are up 530%. The top 50 represent 52% of all Gold Letter's
recommendations - 60 min. delay. Gold Letter is the only newsletter that
keeps and publishes this kind of data which is updated real time every
60 minutes as the markets are open. You won’t find this precise record
keeping else where.
Just a
reminder that one of my goals is including comments from you the reader.
Hardly anyone else does this and I believe your opinions count. It is
the small investor that ultimately will drive the gold market and gold
price to the moon. The future will be shaped by you the small investor .
Send me an email.
CONTACT
INFORMATION
David N. Vaughn
Gold
Letter Inc.
Website - Subscription Info
(888) 836-7758
Email
The
publisher and its affiliates, officers, directors and owner may actively
trade in investments discussed in this newsletter. They may have
positions in the securities recommended and may increase or decrease
such positions without notice. The publisher is not a registered
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offering personalized legal, tax, accounting or investment-related
advice. The news and editorial viewpoints, and other information on the
investments discussed herein are obtained from sources deemed reliable,
but their accuracy is not guaranteed. Authors of articles or special
reports are sometimes compensated for their services. The
opinions of FSU contributors do not necessarily reflect those of
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