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INVESTING
IN GOLD & URANIUM!
by David N. Vaughn
Gold Letter,
Inc.
March 29, 2007
Gold
continues to battle resistance to climb higher and higher. It’s
definitely doing an excellent job staying over 650 dollars an ounce.

I
like to take a snapshot of different graphs of the gold price through
out the week to illustrate that we are witnessing a bull market very
much in force. These are strong numbers and an excellent technical
position.

Part
of what is keeping gold poised higher is the expectation of higher
inflation and inflation encompasses everything that is causing you more
personal difficulty in keeping up with your present standard of living.
Spring
has definitely arrived in the Deep South. All the leaves are coming out
on the trees. The Yoshino cherry trees are in full bloom. Almost
everything is in bloom except for many investors understanding of gold
stocks. The issue is really not about where the gold price is at the
moment but whether there remains to be money to be made in gold and
resource stocks in general.
Dear
David:
“As
Jackie Gleason immortalized, "to the moon, one of these days, Alice
(concerning the gold
price)".
Eric
Y.
And I
say, yes, there is money being made even as we speak in gold and
resource stocks. Gold has remained firm and continues to remain in a
good strong position. For those with understanding there remains
excellent and very real wealth to be made. For the ignorant let them
complain and only wish they had the willingness to be bold and exercise
sound discipline and wisdom.
Dave,
“…I'm
impressed how daily charts of Gold itself look so much more constructive
than XAU or HUI charts. Overall, the metal's strength is more important
as the stock rises will eventually follow, and usually, even outperform
the commodity itself.”
Owen
M.
The
weather really is starting to be more beautiful with every passing day!
When I think that some in this nation are still shoveling snow at this
moment my heart goes out to them, but there remains plenty of room here
if you wish to come on down. The weather always is remarkable and the
overall friendly southern hospitality is even better. Greenville remains
the home to BMW and Michelin. A German company and a French company.
Hitachi, big time from Japan and Stihl, another big German company.
Almost feel the US is becoming a colony belonging economically to all
these other nations and their foreign money. Globalism in action.
Eventually all Americans will be serfs working for other principalities
and powers.
Dave,
“Can
we make a comparison of what happened in the nation of Germany
IN 1918) and what is
presently taking shape internationally?”
Claude
F.
Claude,
I think the history books 50 years from today will answer that question
well. But you want to read about gold and uranium stocks and making lots
of money, right? Well, we can do that. I will always be the first to
attest that it takes money to pay the bills so there is nothing wrong
with getting rich off gold and uranium.
Hi
David
“I
like to read your posts. They are very interesting.” “The economy
like any other reality is governed by fundamental simple laws which
cannot be distorted…” “There are still so many people believing in
a perpetual free lunch in the USA, that when
the party ends it will be painful for everybody. The wake-up
is going to be brutal and a real hell.” “…the only alternative is
to collect gold and silver as much as you can. Forget about RRSP or
other type of pension plans.”
Mircea
R.
The
only thing I can say negative about this region is that as growth comes
too many trees are cut down. Remember the Dr. Seuss story about the
trees that were all being cut down? In my humble opinion we can never
have too many trees surrounding us. When too many trees are cut down
there is a feeling of being exposed. Kind of similar to the feeling that
comes with too little gold exposure in your personal portfolio. Teresa
below has a good suggestion for us all.
Dave,
“Life
may not be the party we hoped for, but while we're here we should
dance.”
Teresa
P.
Lets
all dance…but only those with gold and silver in their portfolio. Gold
continues to be a good long term investment even if the only reason were
an escalating inflationary environment. And I don’t think anyone out
there will disagree with me that prices are going up and wages are not
staying on par with these price increases.
“The
Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged Wednesday for a
sixth-consecutive meeting, warning that "somewhat
elevated" inflation posed the greatest risk to the economy,
trumping "mixed" economic data and the housing slowdown.” “…
the overall tone of the statement was tough on inflation, with
policymakers saying their "predominant policy concern remains the
risk that inflation will fail to moderate as expected." “The
economy has cooled in recent months, but inflation
hasn't dimmed as hoped, putting the Fed in a policy bind.”
“Since the Fed's last meeting, core consumer inflation, which doesn't
include volatile food and energy prices, has jumped to 2.7% year over
year.” Click
I
know my general cost of living is escalating and I don’t care how the
government plays with its statistical figures to make inflation sound
inconsequential. Inflation is recognized and feared by every real home
maker that pays monthly household bills and visits the grocery store
every week. And, hey, I just heard the price of the humble postage stamp
is going up again in a couple months. But there is no significant
inflation, right?
David,
“30
years of trading futures and options has taught me many things. The most
important of which is the fact that gold is an excellent income vehicle.
Simply buy the metal and put 100oz. in the bank box. Sell one gold call
against it. The return will probably be better than my social security
check. Pray the bank doesn't fold!”
Dave
A.
In
addition to trees being cut that have stood for generations just change
in general is hard to digest upon getting older. Because of higher rents
and a popular downtown area Greenville lost the old “Map Shop” that
for 30 years sold every type of map you were looking for. And remember
the downtown book shop I used to write about that had the cat as the
proprietor…seriously. Well, higher rents also drove them to close
their doors. The cat that lived in the book store is now homeless and
now looking for other work. And what about those housing market woes?
Dave,
“For
those pundits who are saying the housing market spiral downward is done
and probably won't spill over into other sectors of the economy, I say
this. With 1 trillion dollars
in ARMs set to readjust this year and with a negative savings rate, we
are a looong way from done! Watch out below.”
Scott W.
Change
is difficult because what we grew accustomed to and familiar with all of
a sudden one day is gone. Part of the reason so many potential investors
cannot accept the possibility of making real money in gold equities is
that they remember the cold hard years of 1980 to 2000. People grew up
in those generational years and remember how gold suffered with little
respect and struggled every day to keep its proverbial head held high.
But not today. Gold is in a long term uptrend today for those with eyes
to see.
“Gold
is on track to set record levels, “probably this year, possibly
next,” according to Jeffrey Christian, MD of the global bullion
markets research and consultancy outfit, CPM Group.”
“…gold
is still on the upward course.” “Prices could subside in the
following year, but at a new
level, in order for the bull run to sustain.” Click
Gold’s
position within the financial community is continuing to grow and to
improve every day. But those with long memories see only yesterday. But
the key to making real and serious money is to be able to recognize
change and adapt and adjust accordingly. The status of gold has improved
beyond imagination but not for those who remain steeped in nostalgia for
the past. Wake up folks. This is a new world today and the rules are
changing. It will be your loss if you cannot readjust your financial
portfolio to reflect these new changes. More than just inflation is
carrying the gold price ever higher. And don’t forget that all central
banks every where are adding more gold to their established reserves.
“The
Bank of Russia's gold and foreign currency reserves amounted to $321.7bn
as of March 16, up $4.4bn, or 1.4 percent, from the previous showing.
This was the biggest weekly gain since February 9, or in over a month. Hence,
the reserves have been rising for three weeks straight, with the
increase amounting to $10.6bn, or more than 3 percent, over
this period. The noticeable growth in Russia's reserves may be
attributed to the Central Bank's stepped up foreign currency purchases
on the domestic market. Still, Russia has only been able to slightly
narrow the huge gap separating it from China and Japan, the world's
leaders in terms of gold and foreign exchange reserves.” Click
And
don’t forget hot uranium. Uranium excites me because the world is
becoming uncomfortable with coal and oil based power plants. Only
nuclear power will provide a cleaner environment for our children. And
when you consider that the oil supply is indeed finite what else is
there to replace it except nuclear energy. Yes, you must also have some
quality uranium stocks in your personal portfolio.
“Uranium
bulls are snorting and stamping the ground as world prices rise towards
the $US100 a pound level.” “While several leading investment banks,
most notably Goldman Sachs JB Were, are reported to have upgraded their
price projections for this year and 2008 to more than $US90 a pound, forecasts
that could prove conservative.”
"With secondary uranium supply forecast to fall and global reactor
requirements to increase, the current tight supply demand balance in the
uranium market is expected to persist throughout 2007.” "In
2008, the spot uranium price is forecast to increase by a further 10 per
cent to average US$103 per pound (in 2007 dollars).” Click
And
more uranium news?
“The
spot price is tipped to break the $US100 a pound barrier within weeks,
which is ten times what it was four years ago.” “…the global
uranium shortage is forcing utilities companies to pay higher prices.
"They can see that with this trend towards alternative energy away
from coal fired power stations towards nuclear that the
demand for uranium is only going to increase," he said.
"There's going to be more and more reactors around the world and
basically they can't afford not to be securing their supplies." Click
Uranium
is only getting hotter as an investment play and now consolidation is
entering the fray. Always a greater opportunity for making money when
you successfully choose those stocks soon to come under consolidation.
“Justin
Reid’s recent thesis, 2007 – Uranium Equities, is appropriately
sub-titled, “The Sector Moves Towards Production &
Consolidation.” His dual theme for uranium mining stocks in 2007 is
consolidation and U.S. uranium miners offering a security of supply.
Reid wrote in his February 14th report, “We
expect that the acquisition parade has just begun and will become a
common theme in 2007.” “The juniors are showing strength
across the board as well as across continents.” “Thanks to the
steady upward uranium price climb, now being heralded as likely to be
one of a top-performing commodity in 2007 – and with some analysts calling for US$100 uranium per pound, the
sector has attracted several hundred players and wanna-be players.” Click
And
let’s not forget the growing mess that is the “sub-prime loan”
catastrophe. That problem will not be going away anytime soon.
Hi
David,
“What
I find most amazing is that we’re so head-in-the-sand about things
that, say, a year or two ago would have been cause for major panic”
“Nobody sounds an alarm.”
George
I. L.
Folks,
Do you think “Big Ben” is going to be able to save us this go round?
Any more of that Greenspan magic left?
David,
“I almost feel sorry for old Benny B. and our other fiscal leaders.
The situation they find themselves in is akin to the classic nightmare
motif of a person driving in a car with the devil (deflationary
collapse) behind him and a cliff edge (hyperinflationary oblivion)
before him. It's a double-bind situation. And
the only real way to escape a double-bind is to stop and think about
what got you into that situation in the first place! In this
instance, as you've already guessed, the FED came to find themselves in
this situation by abandoning the gold standard. Therein lays the
solution, and the only means of waking up from this nightmare.”
John J.
Mr.
Ford the economist shares his financial commentary below.
Dave,
“I
could send you the plethora of comments I've passed on to others
relating to the idiocy of sub-prime mortgages and what they portend to
the US economy.” “…the federal government will not be able to bail
anyone out. The reason is simple, derivatives have been invented and
used shamelessly to create ever increasing spirals of credit that have
wrapped themselves around virtually every financial institution in the
US of any real size.” “…I
really doubt the ability of any economist to predict the outcome (and
I'm an economist). The second most amazing aspect to all of
this is the continued belief that somehow or other the US economy will
survive this relatively unscathed. How
can the equivalent of + one year's housing starts being put into
foreclosure not affect the economy? How can the interbank
lines survive?”
Ford
C.
Remember
brother Alf? Alf is an excellent market analyst and his commentary is
always worth listening to. Many folks don’t know this but Alf played
in his own TV show back in the 1980s. Or I may be mistaken. That might
have been another Alf. The one that is coming to my mind had too much
hair. Anyway, let’s see what Alf has to share with us. Alf Field is
providing us with an “Elliott Wave Gold Update” that in my opinion
needs to be heeded.
Alf
Field – “Both gold and silver seem poised for dramatic upside price
explosions if the latest Elliott Wave count set out below is correct.”
“…there is another possibility that has very bullish connotations
and which looks as if it has a high probability of being the correct
interpretation. This interpretation calls for an immediate strong 3rd
wave upward move in both silver and gold. Under this interpretation gold
should knife through the resistance in the $680-$700 area without a
problem and rise to levels in excess of previous forecasts for the peak
of wave 3 of $760. A target of a minimum of $800 is now possible for the
peak of wave 3.”
“What
has created this bullish scenario is the…”
The
technical data and interpretations get fairly complicated but my goal is
to touch base on the main points of Alf Field’s analysis.
Alf
Field – “…the upward forces that are about to burst forth in gold
are stronger than those at work in silver.” “…there are extremely
strong forces at work in the gold market that should soon propel the
yellow metal upwards in a very strong 3rd wave type move.” ajfield@attglobal.net
Gold
Letter emails brief reviews of undervalued gold, silver, uranium and
other resource stocks that are under valued and poised to rise.
Our
top 10 best performing stocks are up over 2,000% and our top 50 best
performing stocks are up over 500% - 60 minute real time delay when the
markets are open. The top 50 represent around 50% of all Gold Letter's
recommendations since inception. Gold Letter is the only newsletter that
tracks and publishes this kind of exact data on their recommended
stocks. You won’t find this precise record keeping provided with any
other newsletters.
And
before we go let’s listen to analyst Mr. Wiegand to get a good picture
of where the gold price seems destined to head in the remainder of 2007.
Roger
Wiegand – “…we just saw a private report using proprietary
information that a certain gold index should rally 40% for 2007. I have
never seen that ratio before and its proven success rate is so powerful I
cannot conclude anything else but that a +40% 2007 rally must be a
reality.” “Gold ETF has shown us a continuation rectangle
from June, 2006 to its break-out point on February 1, 2007. Those
patterns, the longer they stretch sideways in time, can produce
explosive moves either long or short once price finds new direction.”
“Watch carefully for breakouts in the precious metals and their
stocks. Often, they do not move at exactly the same time but do trend
together most of the time. This week’s rally in copper was terrific
and is also a signal the
metals are ready to move up once again. Copper’s new and
powerful rally could be round one of the next ten round rally in gold
and silver.” Click
And
what remains our mantra at Gold letter, Inc.?
“There
are always rich men, even in the poorest countries. It is the nature of
some men to make money.” Colleen McCullough
And
the next question we ask if it is perhaps within YOUR nature to make
money. Those who are making money in this market send me an email and
share with the rest of us your story.
David
Vaughn

©
2007 David N. Vaughn
Editorial Archive
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David N. Vaughn
Gold
Letter Inc.
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