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IN
A HURRY?
by David N. Vaughn
Gold Letter,
Inc.
December 5 m,, 2007
The
well known and respected Gartman Letter remains “steadfastly
bullish” on gold. The seasons are bearing down on us. Thanksgiving is
now over a week behind us. Christmas is just around the corner and then
we have a whole new year to follow these events in repetition. Gold
appears to have very strong resistance around 790, but I doubt it will
remain in that range for very long. The next major resistance for gold
appears to be around 815. And when 815 – 825 is crossed we will
probably observe gold making new highs. Always remember its 2 steps
forward then 1 step back. I can live with those statistics.
Is
the economy really hurting at the moment? We could be over dramatizing
things. Let’s see how Sears is doing.
“Sears
reports 99% drop in Q3 profit; shares tumble” “Sears Holdings (SHLD)
reported a 99% drop in third-quarter profit Thursday on weak sales at
its Sears and Kmart department stores and continuing investment losses
under hedge-fund manager Chairman Edward Lampert.” “Profit fell well
short of Wall Street expectations…” USA Today, 11-29-2007
Let’s
read again that last part.
“Profit
fell well short of Wall Street expectations…” USA Today, 11-29-2007
Wall
Street expectations were not met. Gee, they were only down 99%. But the
economy’s doing real well over all isn’t it?
“Sears
also warned it expects difficult economic conditions to persist in the
near-term, with sales and gross margin likely continuing to be pressured
through the rest of the year.” USA Today, 11-29-2007
Any
other indications the economy may be going through some difficulties?
“U.S.
says home prices are falling, first time in 13 years” “U.S. home
prices marked a quarterly decline for the first time in 13 years in the
third quarter, according to government data released Thursday that
provide fresh evidence of the housing market slump.” “Sharpest drop
in housing prices in index's history” “…our newest data show price
weakening in a very significant portion of the country," agency
director James Lockhart said in a statement. Prices declined in more
than 20 states, he said.”
USA Today, 11-29-2007
Wow!
I wonder if it is not for these reasons that gold is hangin’ around
800 dollars an ounce? Na. These statistics cannot be correct as everyone
knows our economy is invulnerable to significant cracks. These folk that
are pessimistic about our economy and who say these things are hanging
around the eggnog table too long.
I
asked at the beginning of the article if you are “In A Hurry?” If
you can have patience with gold mining stocks they will make you money.
Got to have patience though. This gold bull market at times is moving at
a snail’s pace and that is alright by me. We are in a very long term
trend and hard commodities will only go higher and higher…including
the commodity gold.
The
economy some how continues to muddle along and where does gold play in
this? Many people following this market since gold cracked 300 have
looked at this gold rise as a short lived rally. Everyone knows a rally
doesn’t last long and is just a quick momentary spike. But that is not
what is happening today. Gold continues to more effectively cast off the
chains of manipulation and acting like a normal market player.
Observing
gold climb 25 dollars in one day and the next falling 25 is really
normal action in a real functioning bull market. There are a number of
nervous Willies out there who are going to panic if gold does not follow
a straight and undeterred path to the moon with no corrections. But that
ain't going to happen. More so than ever before we are going to witness
extreme powerful volatility. Well, if things are not going to move
quickly and like greased lightening what will we do? We will do what is
considered the most difficult characteristic of speculation and/or
investing. We wait.
Did I
say that loud enough? We wait. In our gold newsletter many of the best
performers have taken two and more years to reach their present highs.
But it is our hope to see something we purchase fly to the moon in the
first 30 days. Rarely is that type of performance going to happen. You
might find it best to hold your position for six months and longer. You
are correct this is not acceptable to most people. They want to see
action immediately.
Watching
the clock can be exciting. Just watch that minute hand whiz around the
clock face to make another loop. Watching the dial on our electric
utility meter can be really exciting as this is where the real action
is. And we are reminded of this action every month when we pay our
electrical utility bill. But seriously, people what I am preaching here
is the necessity of buying quality gold mining shares and letting them
do their thing.
Subscribe
to a good newsletter so you can know what is happening in the market
with certainty. Don’t spend your time sitting in a dark closet
listening to the hands of a clock slowly ticking and ticking. You’ll
go crazy if you are itching to make a trade every single day. Have
patience in the decisions you have made and continue to educate
yourself.
Coffee
maker died this last week. Had to make a run to Wal-Mart’s. Remember
when a coffee “maker” was a coffee pot and we would sit around
watching the coffee percolate on the stove? The modern generation
probably doesn’t even know what a real coffee pot looks like. But we
remember, right? Remember, it had that little glass bubble on top?
Nostalgia does count for a lot. Nostalgia helps us to keep our dreams in
perspective. And gold is more that a present day dream. Gold has become
today’s reality and tomorrow’s hope.
“The
fact is that Canadian mining stocks are still remarkably cheap.”
Financial Post, 11-07
We
are living in the last days of cheap resources and commodities.
Recognizing these facts Gold Letter, Inc. reviews undervalued gold and
other resource stocks under valued and poised to rise in this time of
increased demand for resources. Gold will only continue to escalate in
value. Take a look at our newsletter and witness our performance
overall. GL charts are computer generated and updated every hour while
markets are open.
Send
me an email and your holiday experiences.

©
2007 David N. Vaughn
Editorial Archive
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David N. Vaughn
Gold
Letter Inc.
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