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GOLD
BREAKS ALL RECORDS!!!
by David N. Vaughn
Gold Letter,
Inc.
January 9, 2008
Wow!
Can you believe what gold is doing? It literally has broken every
established record climbing to where it has never been before. So far it
has climbed as high as 870 before leveling back a bit. Just remember
though. This is not about gold. This is actually about deteriorating
world economic and political events.
“Finally,
after 28 years, gold hit a record of $858 an ounce, besting its previous
high of $850 way back in January 1980.” “Jim Rogers has made a
historical study of commodities and found that the typical cycle lasts
15-20 years. That means we could be in for another decade of higher
commodity and gold prices.” “The Midas Metal should be an important
part of anyone's portfolio, anywhere from 5 per cent-15 per cent. Just
remember, gold is a good long-term inflation hedge, but in the short
run, the yellow metal can be volatile.” Rediff.com
Any
of you familiar with these child proof prescription bottles? Picked up a
prescription at the drug store and for the life of me I could not get
that cap off. Had to resort to a pair of channel locks. Those channel
locks did the trick. Gold continues to surprise everyone. The old ball
and chain securing its price to the floor has long been removed.
I have been
harassed by some readers because of my thinking that a conflict between
the US and Iran is in the works and inevitable. And you don’t think
so? I see posturing between both sides going on. The below article
displays Iran’s recent posturing against the US and their threat to
blow up three warships. Now you tell me that a conflict is not brewing
in the works. Read on below.
“Iran
boats threaten to blow up U.S. ships” “Iranian speedboats harassed
three U.S. Navy ships in the Strait of Hormuz over the weekend, a
"reckless" provocation that comes as President Bush leaves
Tuesday to visit the Middle East, the Pentagon said.” “Five small
boats, believed to be part of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards,
threatened to blow up the USS Ingraham, Port Royal and Hopper in
international waters Sunday at about 8 a.m. local time, according to the
Navy.” "The Iranian actions were reckless and dangerous,"
Pentagon spokesman Bryan Whitman said” Last month, Bush called for
continued international sanctions against Iran.” “U.S. commanders
have also maintained that Iran has supplied sophisticated weapons to
insurgents in Iraq used to kill American troops. Iran has denied doing
so. Sunday's incident escalated after high-speed boats approached the
Navy's vessels from the north, said Vice Adm. Kevin Cosgriff, commander
of the 5th Fleet. The boats split into two formations, zoomed around the
ships and radioed a threat that U.S. ships would explode. Crew on two of
the boats dropped two boxes in the path of the Ingraham.” “The
Strait of Hormuz is the only seaway linking the Persian Gulf to open
ocean and is a key international route for oil tankers. More oil travels
through this "chokepoint" than in any other strait in the
world, according to the U.S. Energy Information Agency.” USATODAY.COM
We
mentioned at the beginning of this article that, yes, gold is breaking
all records.
Gold
futures surged to an all-time high above $875 an ounce Tuesday…”
“When adjusted for inflation, gold remains well below its all-time
high. An ounce of gold at $875 in 1980 would be worth $2,115 to $2,200
today.” “An ounce of gold for February delivery climbed as high as
$879.40 an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange, easily breaking
its previous record of $875 set in 1980.” USATODAY.COM
And
the new records just continue and continue.
“Gold,
platinum and oil prices set new records Thursday as commodity markets
extended their sprint start in the second session of the new year. Oil
set a record of $100.09 a barrel in intraday trade, breaking through the
$100 level that was briefly reached in the previous session in a single
trade.” “We believe that $100 oil is sustainable,” said Giovanni
Serio of Goldman Sachs.” “The price rally has been fundamentally
driven. Inventories have been declining quite dramatically and are now
very close to critically low levels. Strong support continues from
escalating industry costs which are putting upward pressure on
long-dated oil prices.” “It is very encouraging to see such a
positive start to the gold market in 2008,” said James Burton, chief
executive of the World Gold Council.” “It is evident that gold’s
unique investment attributes as an effective safe haven and dollar hedge
have resonated with investors during this time of financial
uncertainty.” FT.COM
Where
to from here? With oil breaking 100 per barrel and the dollar still
weakening it is impossible to guess gold’s future direction.
Consolidation may be in order or it may climb further under the existing
momentum.
“The
first trading week of 2008 has been rocky for stocks, but for the
precious metals market, things have started out simply golden. Spot gold
has had record highs in its sights and has broken into territory not
explored since 1980.” Forbes.com
This
is really a historic occasion. Odd, that we see such limited press
coverage of this record breaking event. I remember well when gold was
under 300 an ounce years ago and there was a major article in a major
publication every week taking time out to ridicule gold and its low
price at the time. But as it climbs to new levels now it is quietly and
stealthily ignored by the media.
"Gold
is among only a handful of financial assets that is not matched by a
liability. It can help to provide insurance against extreme movements in
the value of traditional asset classes that can happen during unsettled
times…” “Last year gold rose by more than 30 pct, partly because
the metal re-established itself as a safe haven asset amid concerns the
US sub-prime crisis might result in a recession.” Interactive Investor
Where
to from here? We’ll just have to wait and see.
"With little
improvement in the health of the U.S. economy, interest rates still
forecast to move lower, record oil prices creating inflationary pressure
and little improvement in the geopolitical climate, gold should remain
in a strong mood and look to challenge $900 an ounce during the first
quarter…” Marketwatch.com
I
have been accused many times before of being a cheerleader for gold. But
not really. I have simply gazed at external events and their ultimate
direction and estimated that gold and other commodities would rise in
price. So what will we see in this new year? A lot of volatility and
that you can take to the bank. There’s not much to say about the gold
price really. We are in a multi year bull cycle and it is still in a
climbing mode. As it will be for quite some time yet.
“Merrill
Lynch forecasts gold between $700-$900/ounce in 2008” marketwatch.com
Where
is the gold price today? Study the chart below and determine if this is
one game you should be in on.
It’s
not too late to invest in gold related equities to take advantage of
their wealth preserving attributes. We are living in the last days of
cheap resources and commodities. Recognizing these facts Gold Letter,
Inc. reviews undervalued gold and other resource stocks under valued and
poised to rise in this time of increased demand for resources. Gold will
only continue to escalate in value.

© 2008 David N. Vaughn
Editorial Archive
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