Financial Sense Newshour on Commodities
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Technician Richard Dickson: Major Trend Gauges Are All Positive
Also, Ryan Puplava with the Market Wrap-up, Erik Townsend on Commodities, and Rob Bernard on Fixed Income
25 May 2013
Jim welcomes back Richard Dickson, Chief Market Analyst at Lowry Research. Richard notes that the major trend gauges are all positive at present. He sees a similarity in the markets to 1995, when there were no real corrections before the next advance. He believes the “Great Rotation” from bonds to stocks has not yet begun, but the “Fat Lady is warming up to start singing”, as evidenced by recent weakness in utilities. Also in this segment, Ryan Puplava has this week’s Market Wrap-up, Erik Townsend covers Commodities, and Rob Bernard has the Fixed Income Report.
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Russell Napier: Emerging Markets Faltering, Foretelling Deflation Ahead
QE Is Keeping the Patient Alive, But Not Healthy
21 May 2013
Jim welcomes back Russell Napier, Consultant with CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets. Russell makes the case that faltering economic growth in the emerging markets, weaker commodity prices, a falling yen and strengthening dollar are warning signs of a deflationary shock ahead. Russell believes that the rally in developed-world equities will not last much longer as emerging market growth slows. He is bearish on gold shorter term, but bullish longer-term as both structural and cyclical forces turn in gold’s favor. Russell sees the current falling gold price as a sign that the global reflation is failing and we are nearing a deflationary shock.
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Ryan Puplava: Cyclical Rotation - The “Taper Trade” Is On, Defensive Stocks Are Off
Also, Ryan with the Market Wrap-Up, Erik Townsend on Commodities, and Rob Bernard on Fixed Income
18 May 2013
Ryan Puplava does double duty this week, giving his technical analysis on the markets as well as his weekly Market Wrap-up. Technically, Ryan sees a cyclical rotation of stocks into what he refers to as The Taper Trade, and out of more defensive stocks such as health care and utilities. Ryan is bullish on energy and copper as they are tied to more robust economic activity. Ryan also discusses bonds, gold and currencies. In addition, Erik Townsend looks at Commodities and Rob Bernard has the Fixed Income Report.
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Technician Shelley Moen: This Market Rally Has Legs - All Sectors Are Rising
Also, Ryan Puplava with the Market Wrap-Up, Erik Townsend on Commodities and Rob Bernard on Fixed Income
11 May 2013
Jim welcomes back Shelley D Moen CMT, Senior Market Strategist at Vermilion Technical Research, LLC. Shelley tells Jim that this is the best she has felt about the market since the bottom in 2002. She notes the Dow Theory buy signal, and believes this market has room to move higher. Shelley mentions that the Technology, Energy and Industrial sectors are all undervalued and very attractive at current levels. Also in this segment, Ryan Puplava has this week’s Market Wrap-up, Erik Townsend discusses commodities, and Rob Bernard has the Fixed Income Report.
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Technician Stan Weinstein: Still A Bullish Outlook For Stocks
Also, Chris Puplava with a Macro look at the second half, Erik Townsend on Commodities, and Rob Bernard on Fixed Income
4 May 2013
Jim is pleased to welcome back technician Stan Weinstein, editor and publisher of the "Global Trend Alert," a financial advisory service for institutional investors. Stan sees the possibility of a short-term correction, but believes the current rally has more legs, given that the S&P closed above 1600 on Friday. Stan is still clearly bullish in his outlook, and also notes the rapid sector rotations. If we get a correction, he believes it will be a controlled correction. Stan is neutral on bonds, and negative on gold, at least for the next few months. Also in this segment, Chris Puplava gives his macro outlook for the second half of this year, Erik Townsend looks at commodities, and Rob Bernard has the Fixed Income Report.
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Technician Tom McClellan: Gold Cycling Up – Summer Doldrums Ahead for Stocks
Also, Ryan Puplava with the Market Wrap, Erik Townsend on Commodities, and Rob Bernard with the Fixed Income Report
27 Apr 2013
Jim welcomes back noted technician Tom McClellan of The McClellan Market Report. Tom sees some near-term problems in the markets through the summer, but is optimistic long-term on the stock market for the balance of the decade. Tom sees gold cycling up, and notes that junior gold stocks are widely disliked, and thus present a great opportunity. Also, Ryan Puplava has the Market Wrap-up this week, Erik Townsend discusses commodities, and Rob Bernard looks at the fixed income market. (Click here for charts)
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Technician Ralph Acampora: Stock Market In A Corrective Mode; Still A Primary Bull Market
Also, Ryan Puplava with the Market Wrap-up, Erik Townsend on Commodities, and Rob Bernard on Fixed Income
20 Apr 2013
Jim is pleased to welcome back legendary technician Ralph Acampora, Director of Tactical Investments at Altaira Wealth Management. Ralph sees the market in a corrective mode, which could last a month or so. He notes divergences in the Transports and the DAX. He sees the US and Japan as the best places to invest, and believes the secular bull is still in the early stages. However, Ralph sees the bond bull-market in the 9th inning of its long 30 year run. Also in this segment, Ryan Puplava wraps up this week in the markets, Erik Townsend discusses gold and commodities, and Rob Bernard looks at bonds and interest rates in the Fixed Income Report.
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Evelyn Garriss: Spring and Summer Weather: The Invasion of the Tropics
Don’t expect drought conditions and crop/livestock vulnerability to end west of the Mississippi
9 Apr 2013
Jim welcomes back Evelyn Browning Garriss, Editor of The Browning Newsletter. Evelyn discusses changes in weather patterns in the tropics that should add more rainfall in the springtime, but bring more heat waves and potential “flash droughts” in the summer. Evelyn expects drought conditions and vulnerability of crops and livestock to continue this summer on land west of the Mississippi River.
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Ned Schmidt On The Four “Best of Class” Stocks In The Agriculture Sector
Wait for the Seasonally Weak Summer Period to Buy in the Ag Sector
4 Apr 2013
Jim welcomes back Ned Schmidt CFA, Publisher of The Value View Gold & The Agri-Food Value View Reports. Ned discusses the top performing commodities in 2013: oats, cotton, eggs and butter. He notes that the global population keeps growing and everyone needs to eat. Ned also discusses his four “Best of Class” stocks in the agriculture sector. He advises not to buy them now, but wait until the seasonally weak summer period, when prices will likely be lower. Ned also discusses how he got into studying and writing about the agriculture sector. It turns out it was a play on China.
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Don Coxe: American Ingenuity Triumphing Over Government Interference
Bernanke’s Message to Investors: Get Out of Cash
2 Apr 2013
Jim is pleased to welcome back Don Coxe, Chairman at Coxe Advisors LLP. Don sees an emerging shale oil and natural gas boom in the US, which will make it a cheaper place to do business. He sees American ingenuity overcoming government interference. As to commodities, he sees a rally in the dollar impacting commodity prices short term, but he lays out the fundamental case why commodity prices will rise in the longer term. Don doesn’t see the Euro as a viable alternative to the dollar, as Europe’s problems mount. Lastly he notes that Ben Bernanke’s implicit message to investors is “get out of cash”.
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Technician David Nicoski: Transports Confirming Uptrend; No Sign of a Top
Also, Ryan Puplava with the Market Wrap-up, Erik Townsend on Commodities, and Rob Bernard on Fixed Income
30 Mar 2013
Jim welcomes back David Nicoski CMT, Director of Research at Vermilion Technical Research LLC. David sees no sign of a top, with financials, energy and industrials doing very well and the transports confirming the uptrend. He believes that blue chip stocks are still cheap, and US economic growth is right now the best on the planet. Also, Ryan Puplava has this week’s market update, Erik Townsend and Jim discuss commodities, and Rob Bernard has the Fixed Income Report.
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Technician Tracy Knudsen: Short-Term Risks, But Long-Term Strongly Bullish Outlook For Stocks
Also, Ryan Puplava with the Market Wrap-Up, Erik Townsend on Commodities and Rob Bernard on Fixed Income
23 Mar 2013
This week Erik Townsend sits in for Jim and welcomes technician Tracy Knudsen CMT, Senior Vice President & Senior Analyst at Lowry Research Corporation. Tracy notes that despite some short-term risks to the market, she has a strongly bullish long-term outlook for the stock market. In addition, John Loeffler discusses the this week’s market with Ryan Puplava, commodities with Erik Townsend, and fixed income with Rob Bernard.
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Technician Charles Nenner on Bond Funds: Get Out Now While You Can
Also, Ryan Puplava with the Market Wrap-up, Erik Townsend on Commodities, and Rob Bernard on Fixed Income
16 Mar 2013
Jim welcomes back noted technician Charles Nenner this week. Charles sees a new stock market high into late April or early May. He also sees the economy picking up until the end of the year, but risk is also rising as well. Charles sees late April as a high risk period for the markets in terms of a correction. He is also very bearish on bond funds, and urges investors to get out of them as soon as possible. Charles is also out of gold in the short term, as he sees a rally in the US dollar ahead. Also in this segment, Ryan Puplava wraps up this week in the markets, Erik Townsend covers commodities, and Rob Bernard has the Fixed Income Report.
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Scott Rickards of Waterfund LLC: Water Is a Scarce Resource Because It Is Mismanaged
Government Water Subsidies Distort Supply and Demand Issues
8 Mar 2013
Jim welcomes Scott Rickards, founder and CEO of Waterfund LLC. Waterfund is pioneering a pricing benchmark for fresh water for actuarial purposes. The index will reflect the actual cost of producing and delivering water. The index will also allow for a hedge against the cost of water. Scott believes the index will unlock private capital to invest in water scarcity. Scott sees the users of the index as institutional investors, water retailers (such as water companies, miners and beverage firms) and governments and municipalities.
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Technician Richard Dickson: Short-term Correction, But Big Upward Move Coming
Also, Ryan Puplava with the Market Wrap-up, Erik Townsend on Commodities, and Rob Bernard on Fixed Income
2 Mar 2013
Jim welcomes technician Richard Dickson, Chief Market Analyst at Lowry Research. Richard sees a correction in the near-term, but believes that there will be a big upward move beyond the correction. He advises using the correction to add to positions. He also discusses the huge risks ahead for bond fund investors. In addition, Ryan Puplava has the Wrap-up in the markets this week, Erik Townsend covers commodities, and Rob Bernard has the Fixed Income Report.
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Technician Ralph Acampora: Expect A 5-10% Correction- It Will Present Another Buying Opportunity
Also, Ryan Puplava with the Market Wrap-up, Erik Townsend on Commodities, and Rob Bernard on Fixed Income
23 Feb 2013
Jim welcomes back renowned technician Ralph Acampora this week. Ralph is optimistic we’ve begun a long-term secular bull market in stocks, but expects a 5-10% correction in the short-term. He sees the correction as another good buying opportunity. Ralph also sees the sequestration debate in Washington as the next potential crisis, and the next buying opportunity. He sees the bond market as a balloon in search of a pin. Jim and Ralph also pay tribute to the passing of Marty Zwieg. Also in this segment, Ryan Puplava wraps up this week in the markets, Erik Townsend discusses commodities, and Rob Bernard has the Fixed Income Report.
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Technician Tom McClellan: A Correction Is Coming, But It Will Feel Bigger Than That
Also, Ryan Puplava with the Market Wrap-Up, Erik Townsend on Commodities, and Rob Bernard on Fixed Income
16 Feb 2013
Jim is pleased to welcome noted technician Tom McClellan this week. Tom sees a correction coming to the market, but it will likely feel bigger. He expects it to be fast, and should last only a few weeks. Tom sees the markets looking for “event risk” as a reason to correct. He also believes we are heading back into the “risk-off” trade, which should mean a stronger dollar. In addition, Ryan Puplava wraps up this week in the markets, Erik Townsend discusses commodities, and Rob Bernard has the Fixed Income Report.
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Ned Schmidt: Bizarre Weather Patterns Playing Havoc with Ag Sector Harvest
Wall Street is too excited about fertilizer stocks
12 Feb 2013
Jim welcomes back Ned Schmidt CFA, Publisher of The Value View Gold & The Agri-Food Value View Reports. Ned discusses the random weather patterns this year and their effects on the agriculture sector. He notes Brazil and Argentina have record corps, but low soil moisture in the US Midwest could be a problem for planting this year. Ned doesn’t see any major price spikes in the grains this year, but he sees rising prices ahead for oats, hogs and cotton.
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Technician Shelley Moen: Add To Positions On The Next Pull-Back – Bull Market Intact
Also, Ryan Puplava with the Market Wrap-Up, Erik Townsend on Commodities, and Rob Bernard on Fixed Income
2 Feb 2013
Jim welcomes Shelley Moen CMT, Senior Market Strategist at Vermilion Technical Research. Shelley believes that the secular bull market is intact and all systems are go. She advises investors to wait for the next pull-back and then add to positions. Also in this segment, Ryan Puplava has this week’s Market Wrap-Up, Erik Townsend looks at commodities, and Rob Bernard has the Fixed Income Report.
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Technician Craig Johnson: Predicting S&P 1700 This Year, As Money Flows From Bonds to Stocks
Also on the program, Ryan Puplava with the Market Wrap, Erik Townsend on Commodities, and Rob Bernard on Fixed Income
19 Jan 2013
Jim is pleased to welcome back Craig Johnson CMT CFA, Principal and Senior Technical Research Analyst at Piper Jaffray. Craig notes that whenever a crisis eases, markets often head higher. In addition, he feels that as the economy begins to recover, asset allocation begins to shift. Craig sees money flowing out of bonds and bond funds and into stocks this year. He believes that the public has a perception it can’t lose money in bonds, but he says the public is wrong, and the risks are high in the bond market. Also in this segment, Ryan Puplava has this week’s Market Wrap-up, Erik Townsend has the Commodity Report, and Rob Bernard discusses fixed income.
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