Key Articles on Commodities
20 Aug 2010
So let’s not talk of double-dips. Let’s face the reality that the real economy’s first dip is still underway, and that's not a bad thing - much better than a double-dip!
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16 Aug 2010
Most people think of gold rising in an inflationary environment but gold can also perform well during a deflationary cycle.
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14 Aug 2010
At what point does a market crash translate to a lengthy bear market and/or an economic recession? This question was taken up by a celebrated historian of the early 20th century, one Otto C. Lightner.
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10 Aug 2010
There are three primary reasons why the US is suffering from structurally high unemployment: a pervasively irresponsible monetary policy, the continued attenuation of our manufacturing base, and an overleveraged consumer who must now reconcile his...
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9 Aug 2010
Global economic conditions are now favorable for gold as a safe-haven investment. The U.S., Western Europe and Japan are close to buckling under the weight of their sovereign debt loads, government budget deficits remain large and persistent and, as...
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9 Aug 2010
Official spokesperson for the wealthy Larry Ellison, CEO of Oracle who “earned” $1.84 billion over the last decade while shareholders received a negative 45% return on their investment, has announced a dramatic cutback in his lifestyle.
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8 Aug 2010
That Keynesian economic dogma has been a complete and utter failure is readily evident as we look around the world. For one, the U.S. economy will reenter recession in first of the new year as Obama Regime’s tax increases crush the potential for...
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5 Aug 2010
Mr. Treece discusses the recent flight of investors to traditionally safe investors, without due consideration for applicable risks. Also discussed are the stock market operating within a trading range and US corporations beginning to shoulder debt.
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4 Aug 2010
The outlay of the United States for the Military/Industrial complex is greater than the rest of the world's combined. Do we really need that big a killing machine?
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4 Aug 2010
The nasty fiscal arithmetic of imperial decline that Harvard professor Niall Ferguson refers to is America’s unsustainable debt. Growing levels of debt according to Ferguson are now about to drive the US, like other great powers before it, over the...
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1 Aug 2010
Can the stock market go up in a slow-growing economy? This is a question not for just this week but likely for the coming decade. The latest GDP numbers show, as many of the variables in my Always a Winner forecasting model have been suggesting,...
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30 Jul 2010
Here is the message from the ruling elite to the masses: Debt got us into this mess and it sure as hell is going to get us out. They have convinced the mainstream media that the reason the economy is sputtering is because the average Joe is not...
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29 Jul 2010
Titanic Battles are Intensifying, Battles only partially visible publically. The Gold Price, Mega-Bank Power, Markets Manipulation, and Investor Profits and Protection are the Foci of these Interrelated Conflicts.
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28 Jul 2010
After hearing the dire warnings of deflation that have become the standard talking points of most economists, American investors may be reaching for a bottle of Prozac. I believe that their anxiety is misplaced. Unfortunately, modern economists don'...
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28 Jul 2010
Double Dip used to pertain to ice cream cones, but now to dreaded return to economic recession. Green Shoots used to refer to gardening projects, then to deceptive economic viewpoints. My favorite is the second half recovery mantra, indicative of...
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28 Jul 2010
Keep your focus on the low-angle symmetrical triangle in place. The target of that triangle is the .55 zone and has a 66% chance of occurring, based on the reliability of the chart pattern per Edwards and Magee. That doesn’t matter if you don’t...
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24 Jul 2010
The mainstream news media depict two different directions for the U.S. economy. Is one side closer to the truth than the others? Or could both sides of the story be correct?
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19 Jul 2010
The real tragedy is that because of the fiscal irresponsibility of politicians and the Boomer generation, future generations of Americans will for the first time in U.S. history have a lower standard of living than their parents. The wealth of the...
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16 Jul 2010
Looking at the 4-Year Cycle chart below we can see that a cycle low is typically identified as an obvious price low accompanied by bottom on the monthly PMO that occurs shortly after the price low. Alas, it doesn't always work that way, and we have...
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15 Jul 2010
Addressing One Factor is and will be absolutely essential to achieving Profit and Protection in the second Decade of the 21st century, and to anticipating the next Mega-Moves.
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15 Jul 2010
Good or bad, everyone likes a forecast. Usually, forecasters like to issue them at the end or the beginning of the year but I thought that now would be a good time to review past forecasts and issue some new or updated ones.
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13 Jul 2010
You have heard that loan growth is one of the critical elements of economic growth. The last recession saw total outstanding loans plummet as banks tightened up their credit standards and credit demand fell. So far, business loans remain weak...
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13 Jul 2010
U.S. stock futures are called higher this morning as investors look forward to a positive earnings season. Late yesterday Alcoa kicked off earnings season by reporting a $136 million profit on stronger-than-anticipated 22% revenue growth. Shares...
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12 Jul 2010
You are never alone with a schizophrenic. The equity markets are trying to make friends of both the bullish and bearish camps, after falling for seven straight sessions, put on a holiday shortened rally week that put the averages right back where...
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9 Jul 2010
According to the IMF, World Bank, and the United Nations’ historical data, GDP growth rates have varied widely for emerging markets over the last fifty years. We will focus on the past twenty years from 1990 to the present so that we may draw...
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8 Jul 2010
Although China is not the biggest economy in the world by GDP, (it is third, after growing a remarkable 8.7 percent last year), its exports are increasingly seen as the needed lifeline for many shaky economies. But as China plots its future as the...
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8 Jul 2010
This week Dock discusses the need of investors to approach markets objectively, and avoid emotional biases. He cites recent market fluctuations as proof of excess anxiety in the market, and asserts that there are many opportunities available to...
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8 Jul 2010
BIG PICTURE – Today, the economic news is scary and investor sentiment is awful. Therefore, if you are a long-term investor, this is the time to be greedy. Remember, when it comes to investing, nervousness is your friend, comfort your enemy.
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8 Jul 2010
A cooling real estate market in China (and the resulting slowing of associated construction activity) may be the primary reason for the weakness being shown on the chart of the Baltic Dry Goods Index. This cooling is likely to have flow-on effects...
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13 Jun 2010
An overview of cyclical probabilities over the summer for stock indexes. Gold, Silver and their underlying stocks.
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