Market Observations on the Markets

FS Staff's picture
FS Staff
05/02/2016 - 18:27
Every quarter the Federal Reserve conducts a thorough survey of bank lending standards. The current data, which was just released on Monday, May 2nd for the first quarter of 2016, reveals two things: 1) banks are now in a tightening, not loosening,...
FS Staff's picture
FS Staff
04/26/2016 - 22:22
In Wednesday's podcast, Chris Puplava provides a comprehensive update on PFS Group's economic outlook for the US by explaining the message coming from each of the 15 charts below. Many of these forward-looking indicators are regularly discussed in...
FS Staff's picture
FS Staff
04/22/2016 - 15:12
Financial conditions were favorable for the stock market, confirming their upward trend, until around 2014. Since then, financial conditions have become increasingly less favorable, diverging from the stock market's higher highs, and finally went...
FS Staff's picture
FS Staff
04/21/2016 - 16:27
The 8th Year Presidential Cycle, as it is known, shows a decline in the stock market in the first couple months, a rally into April, and then further declines heading into the rest of the year. So far both the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones...
FS Staff's picture
FS Staff
04/21/2016 - 08:57
Traditionally, economics has defined money purely as a store of value, a neutral medium of exchange. Now, though, some are finding reasons to throw that definition out and start from a different background founded in systems science...
FS Staff's picture
FS Staff
04/20/2016 - 16:31
"Our expectation is that going forward, beyond 2016, you will see economic, financial, and political concerns rising once again and investors will go from purchasing 17-20 million ounces of gold per year back toward 30 or even 40 million ounces and...
Urban Carmel's picture
Urban Carmel
04/20/2016 - 10:47
SPY made a new all-time high on Tuesday despite falling margin debt, the end of QE, negative household fund flows, flat profit growth and a host of other reasons. In other words, exactly as a rationale and objective investor...
Chris Puplava's picture
Chris Puplava
04/18/2016 - 12:10
The most recent consumer sentiment reading came in below expectations and shows a continued decline from its 2015 high. In this piece, we show the long-term behavior of consumer sentiment as a gauge for US recessions, its relationship to P/E...
Chris Puplava's picture
Chris Puplava
04/15/2016 - 09:57
Corporate profitability has been a reliable early warning indicator of a coming recession and bull market top. According to the April 4th quarterly review by Strategas Research Partners, the S&P 500 peaks on average 7 quarters after corporate...
Doug Short's picture
Doug Short
04/14/2016 - 08:31
Official recession calls are the responsibility of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, which is understandably vague about the specific indicators on which they base their decisions. This committee statement is about as close as they get to...

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