Financial Sense Newshour on the Markets
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Technician Charles Nenner: S&P Closing in on a Top–Expect Stocks Lower Next 12 Months
Also, Ryan Puplava with the Market Wrap-up and Rob Bernard with the Fixed Income Report
Oct 13
Jim is pleased to welcome back noted technician Charles Nenner, founder of Charles Nenner Research Center. Charles sees the S&P index close to another top and expects stocks to be lower over the next 12 months. He believes the bond market is the wrong place to be, and sees the beginning of a 30 year cycle of rising rates starting soon. Charles is long-term bullish on gold, with a target price of $2500 oz. by 2014, but is cautious short-term. In addition, Ryan Puplava gives his Market Wrap-up and lays the groundwork for next week’s significant data announcements. Rob Bernard looks at interest rates and fixed income opportunities.
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The Lifetime Income Series: Young And Wanting To Retire Rich−A Roadmap
Also, “From Gloom to Boom: Avoiding the Investment Bunker-Mentality”
Oct 13
In this week’s Lifetime Income Series edition, Jim focuses on the younger worker with many years to retirement and hoping to retire comfortably. Jim looks at ways that the younger person can plan now and use the advantages of time to build a sizable retirement nest egg. In the second segment, "From Gloom to Boom: Avoiding the investment bunker-mentality," Jim urges investors not to panic, and totally reorient their investments based only on fear and uncertainty.
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Evelyn Browning Garriss: El Niño Has Returned
The El Niño pattern points to warmer and wetter weather in the US this winter
Oct 09
Jim welcomes back Evelyn Browning Garriss, editor of The Browning Newsletter. Evelyn discusses how the El Niño weather pattern has returned; the only question is how strong it will be. She sees warmer and wetter weather for the US this winter, cold weather for Europe and warm and wet in Asia. She notes that the El Niño pattern helped the soybean crop in the Midwest this year, but the corn harvest has been poor. Meat producers have been stressed as grain prices have risen. Look for higher beef prices next year.
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Technician Shelley Moen: Cash and Multiple Expansion Could Fuel the Next Rally
Also, Erik Townsend with this week’s Market Wrap and Rob Bernard with the Fixed Income Report
Oct 06
Jim welcomes Shelley Moen CMT, Senior Market Strategist at Vermilion Technical Research, LLC to the program. Shelley notes that time heals all things and the financial and housing sectors are improving. She also sees cash on the sidelines and multiple expansion fueling the next market rally. Markets love to climb a wall of worry, and she believes the best sectors to overweight currently are financials and healthcare. Shelley believes the bond market is a bubble, but notes that bubbles can last a long time. Also in this segment, Erik Townsend checks in with this week’s market wrap-up and Rob Bernard has the Fixed Income Report.
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John Butler: Gold More Underpriced Today than During The 2008 Financial Crisis
Continuous QE will undermine the dollar’s reserve currency status
Oct 04
Jim welcomes John Butler from London, Amphora’s CIO and author of The Golden Revolution. John notes that central bankers are not taking accountability for their mistakes, which is leading to unintended consequences. He also sees the concentration of wealth continuing to grow in the financial sector, as "too big to fail" institutions grow ever bigger. John also believes we will see banks begin to charge fees on deposits at banks, as banks pass along higher fees on cash charged by the Federal Reserve. As to gold and commodities, John sees hard assets as the most undervalued sector today, with gold more underpriced today than during the financial crisis of 2008. He stresses that investors need to own hard assets, but exercise extreme due diligence when choosing commodity funds or ETF’s.
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Technician Ron Griess: U.S. Not Deleveraging—Debt Is Still Growing
Also, Ryan Puplava with this week’s Market Wrap-up and Rob Bernard with the Fixed Income Report
Sep 29
Jim welcomes back technician Ron Griess, founder of The Chart Store. Ron and Jim discuss some of Ron’s charts that illustrate that US debt is not contracting, but in fact total credit market debt in the US is still growing, reaching a new record high of $55 trillion in the second quarter of 2012. Conversely, household net worth peaked in 2007 and household real estate values are down 25.8% since the peak in Q4 of 2006. Also in this segment, Ryan Puplava has this week’s Market Wrap-up and Rob Bernard looks at the credit markets in the Fixed Income Report.
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Jim Puplava's Big Picture: Don't Fight The Fed
Also on the Big Picture: Beating The Banks (Part 3)
Sep 29
In this segment of the Big Picture, Jim begins with “Don’t Fight the Fed”, and discusses the recent decision by the Fed to move to “open-ended” Quantitative Easing, spending $40 billion a month buying mortgage-backed securities, indefinitely. He will discuss the investor implications of this decision, and how fighting the Fed’s actions is usually not a good strategy. In “Beating The Banks (part 3)” Jim looks at how to deploy your money more efficiently, and to not let the banks take advantage of you with interest rate spreads while your money earns next to nothing.
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Brian Pretti: When Do We Pass the Point of No Return?
Front-running the Fed works both ways
Sep 27
Jim is pleased to welcome back Brian Pretti CFA, Managing Editor at ContraryInvestor.com. Brian believes that the markets are now driven by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, and P/E multiple expansion is driving stock prices higher. Brian notes that the Federal Reserve is going for asset inflation, which should make investors in CD’s very nervous. He asserts that we are heading down an economic road with no return, and when the bond vigilantes finally revolt, they’ll be trading in paper for real assets.
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Technician Ralph Acampora: Bull Market Climbing The Proverbial “Wall Of Worry”
Also, Ryan Puplava with the Market Wrap-up and Rob Bernard with the Fixed Income Report
Sep 22
Jim welcomes back legendary technician Ralph Acampora, Director of Tactical Investments at Altaira Wealth Management. Ralph believes the big cap stocks are in a new bull market, and the markets continue to climb the proverbial "wall of worry." He sees the financial stocks leading the way currently, and bonds in bubble territory. Ralph also notes many individual and institutional investors are on the sideline, which is the wrong place to be. Also in this segment, Ryan Puplava has this week’s Market Wrap-up and Rob Bernard looks at bonds in the Fixed Income Report.
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Jim Puplava’s Big Picture: Beating The Bank (Part 2)
Also, FSN Foreign Correspondent Erik Townsend concludes the Greener Pasture Tour
Sep 22
In this segment of the Big Picture, Jim continues his theme from last week, "Beating the Bank," to further discuss ways to create yield in a zero-interest rate world, as well as think more like bankers and beat them at their own game. Also in this segment, Jim speaks with FSN Foreign Correspondent Erik Townsend in the conclusion of his Greener Pasture Tour, as they discuss some of the best options in relocating overseas, as well as the pros and cons.
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Eric Janszen: The Next Rogue Event May Be In The Bond Market−Courtesy of the Fed
Not much impact from QE3 so far in the markets
Sep 20
Jim is pleased to welcome back Eric Janszen, Founder & President at iTulip Inc. Eric notes that the market impact of the Fed’s recent announcement of QE3 has been underwhelming thus far. He still is an owner of gold, but is reducing his treasury bond holdings and moving toward private equity instead. Eric believes the next big event will be trouble in the bond markets, caused by the Fed’s continuous intervention. He also sees "peak cheap energy" as a limiting factor on economic growth in the future.
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Ned Schmidt: The Fundamentals of Agriculture Stocks Have Never Been This Good
Gold is now considered a legitimate asset class
Sep 18
Jim welcomes Ned Schmidt CFA, publisher of the The Agri-Food Value View and Value View Gold Reports. Ned believes the fundamentals for ag stocks have never been this good and valuations are still cheap despite recent advances. He also discusses two essential ag stocks for every portfolio, and notes that the former global surplus of grains has now been consumed. As to gold, he believes that it is now perceived as a legitimate asset class. Ned sees gold going higher, but no hyperinflation on the horizon. He also notes that if gold companies focus on shareholder returns, gold stocks could be the place to be.
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Technician Tracy Knudsen: Still Cautious On Stocks Until Proven Otherwise
Also, Ryan Puplava with the Market Wrap-up and Rob Bernard with the Fixed Income Report
Sep 15
Jim welcomes technician Tracy Knudsen CMT, Senior Analyst at Lowry Research Corporation, back to the program. Tracy is still somewhat cautious with regard to higher stock prices in the near term. Her indicators have not yet turned fully bullish, so her outlook for stocks at this level is still one of caution. Also in this segment, Ryan Puplava looks back at this eventful week, particularly the Federal Reserve announcement of more QE in his Market Wrap-up report. Rob Bernard reports on this week in the fixed income markets. Last, but certainly not least, Jim answers your Q-Calls in this segment of the program.
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Jim Puplava’s Big Picture: Big Ben, My New Best Friend
Also on the Big Picture: “The Train Has Left the Station; Are You Onboard?” and “Beating The Bank−Returns that beat cash and let you sleep at night”
Sep 15
Jim tackles three Big Picture topics this week. The first, "Big Ben, My New Best Friend" takes a look at the aggressive, open-ended QE announced this week by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke. The Fed is clearly going "all in." In the next topic, "The train has left the station; are you onboard?" Jim discusses the actions by the Fed this year to jawbone the market and keep rates down. Now QE3 is here, and it appears it may be going global. In his third Big Picture topic, "Beating the Bank−Returns that beat cash and let you sleep at night," Jim advises structuring your assets like a bank, in not leaving large amounts of cash in CD’s or money market accounts that pay little or nothing. The banks have never been more profitable. Don’t become a victim of the bank by earning nothing on your money.
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James Dines: The Dollar Will Have To Be Abandoned As World’s Reserve Currency
Gold will challenge its old highs−If it breaks through, watch out
Sep 13
Jim is pleased to welcome back James Dines, editor and publisher of The Dines Letter. Mr. Dines believes there is no way to save the dollar, and it will have to be abandoned as the world’s reserve currency. He recommends to resume buying gold and silver, and notes that gold stocks are now supporting gold’s rise. Mr. Dines sees the rise in oil prices as signaling approaching conflict in the Middle East. He also sees parallels between China’s aggressiveness to its Asian neighbors and Japan’s similar actions in the 1930s.
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Technician Alan Newman: Gold Is Ready To Launch
Also, Ryan Puplava with the Market Wrap-up and Rob Bernard with the Fixed Income Report
Sep 08
Jim is pleased to welcome back technician Alan Newman this week. Alan believes that gold will likely take out its old highs, and his price target for gold is $2,500 oz. As to future Federal Reserve action, Alan sees QE3 coming, to be followed by QE4, QE5 etc. Also in this segment, Ryan Puplava looks back at this week in the markets, and Rob Bernard discusses the interest rate environment in the Fixed Income Report. Jim also will answer some of your Q-Calls this segment.
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Dr. Marc Faber: My Greatest Concern−The US Could Confiscate Gold, Again
Faber: We are no longer living in a free-market environment
Sep 06
Jim is pleased to welcome back Dr. Marc Faber, publisher of the "Gloom, Boom & Doom Report." Marc notes that without current US government deficits, the economy would be in recession. He also expects the Fed to initiate QE3, but believes its main impact will be on investment markets, not the economy. Marc is still bearish on bonds, but admits to have been too early with his bearish call. If he had to choose one investment for the next ten years, it would be gold, with stocks next in line. Marc also makes the case that we are no longer living in a free-market environment, and one has to re-think what is considered a "safe" investment. His greatest concern is the US might confiscate gold again, as FDR did in 1933.
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Axel Merk: Laying The Groundwork For More QE
Presidential election will lead to a lower dollar, whatever the outcome
Sep 04
Jim welcomes back Axel Merk, founder of Merk Investments LLC and author of Sustainable Wealth: Achieve Financial Security in a Volatile World of Debt and Consumption. Axel sees a lower US dollar after the presidential election, no matter the outcome, which will lead to higher gold prices. He sees the Fed laying the groundwork for more Quantitative Easing. The only question is the timing. Axel also believes there is no such thing as a safe asset any longer in our volatile world.
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Michael Kantrowitz of Wolfe Trahan: All Roads Point to Higher Stock Prices This Fall
“Risk On” trade is back in force
Aug 22
Jim welcomes back Michael Kantrowitz CFA, Director, Portfolio Strategy & Quantitative Research at Wolfe Trahan & Co. in New York. Michael notes that his research points to higher stock prices this fall and a turnaround in the leading economic indicators (LEI’s). He believes the "Risk On" trade is returning and the new sector leaders will be Industrials, Energy and Materials.
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Technician Tom McClellan: Stocks Should Rally Next Two Months and Top in November
Also, Jim’s Big Picture: “Fast and Furious,” Ryan Puplava with the Market Wrap-up and Jim with the Fixed Income Report
Aug 18
Jim is pleased to welcome famed technician Tom McClellan to the program this week. Tom sees the stock market bottoming in late August, then rallying strongly until November, when he expects it to top, no matter who wins the presidency. Tom also sees rising interest rates and a major bear market in bonds in the near future. In this week’s first Big Picture segment, "Fast and Furious," Jim discusses the chances of an explosive rally in the stock market this fall. Ryan Puplava also has this week’s Market Wrap-up, and Jim steps in for Rob with this week’s Fixed Income Report.
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