Also, “Oil Fundamentals – Risk or Opportunity?” and “A Look at Valuations: The Year 2000 and Today”
Oct 18 – In the first Big Picture topic this week, Jim compares the risk of stocks vs. bonds. Volatility has increased in the stock market and this week money was pouring into the bond market after stocks corrected, driving interest rates to the lowest levels since 2013.
Also, “Fed Funds Rate Cycle, Phase 1 - Why Markets Are Correcting” and “A Sneak Peak at Q3 Earnings”
Oct 11 – This week Jim discusses the timeframe for the next financial storm on the horizon. A confluence of factors and events point to the period after the presidential elections of 2016, including rising interest rates, growing government debt, geopolitical turmoil and war, and the rising cost of Obamacare on consumers.
Also, “Hong Kong - Significance for the Financial Markets” and “Time to Panic?”
Oct 4 – The first topic this week is “Trouble in the Oil Patch”. Jim looks at the weakness in oil prices over the last few months. He discusses seasonal factors, and the recent strength in the dollar. He sees the weakness lasting another month or so, but the weather forecast for a very cold winter will likely change that trend as the demand for energy ramps up.
Also, “Paid to Adapt, Not Forecast”
Sep 27 – Jim’s first Big Picture topic is about the Leading Economic Indicators (LEIs) and why they are signaling a soft patch ahead. They indicate weakness in housing, mortgage applications and durable goods. Jim discusses the reasons behind the soft patch and why it will likely be temporary.
Also, “The End Game (Part 2) – It’s Easier to be Wrong than Right”
Jim’s first Big Picture topic this week is about the Federal Reserve bring the tapering program to an end in October. Fed Chair Janet Yellen has stated that a “considerable time” until rate hikes begin is not a calendar event. However, there are more hawkish forces in the Fed, such as...
Also, “The Assault on Monopolies – Disruption & Transformation”
Jim’s first Big Picture topic this week deals with where we are in the market cycle, close to the top, or heading higher? Jim lays out the case that macro forces favor higher stock prices for an extended period. He looks at where we may be in this bull market, and makes historical comparisons to the bull market of the 1990’s.
Also, “Dollar Bull Market Ahead?”
Jim’s first topic this week on the Big Picture is “Ready or Not, Stocks Heading Higher”. While many investors have been waiting all year, or longer, for a significant correction, Jim currently believes the market will be heading higher. He lists a number of favorable factors right now, including...
Interviews With Joel Kurtzman and Jeffrey Saut
In a special Big Picture two-part series, “Advantage America – Transformational Changes Ahead”, Jim revisits interviews with prominent guests that have a surprisingly optimistic outlook for America in the decades ahead, particularly in comparison to other industrialized nations.
Interviews with Dr. Gary Shilling, David Rosenberg and Tom O’Halloran
In a special Big Picture two-part series, Advantage America, Jim revisits interviews with prominent guests that have a surprisingly optimistic outlook for America in the decades ahead, particularly in comparison to other industrialized nations. A number of these interviews are with former...
Peak Oil Update: Delayed but Not Forgotten!
In part-one of a special two-part Big Picture conversation between Jim Puplava and Erik Townsend, they take on the topic of Peak Oil. Is it a disproven idea, or just delayed? What are the new timelines, and is the US really on the cusp of energy independence?
John Loeffler Interviews Jim Puplava on a Broad Range of Economic Topics
In a special late summer edition of “On The Record”, John interviews Jim on a range of economic topics, starting with his views on the Crisis Window of 2014-2016, Peak Oil, and precious metals. Jim also gives his views on the theme of “Advantage America” and the growing manufacturing and energy renaissance in the U.S., as well as the rapid advances in...
Also “A Guaranteed Stock Market Correction” and “The Hunt For Red Hot Yields”
Jim’s first Big Picture topic this week is a reference to the Warren Buffett quotation. He uses this sage market advice to critique the “fear” industry, which is always trying to scare investors, no matter the economic fundamentals or reality. The second topic is “A Guaranteed Stock Market Correction”, which refers to...
Also, “Is the US Facing an Economic Cold War with Russia and China?”
Also, “What the LEI’s Tell Us About the Rest of the Year” and “Respecting the Message of the Markets”
Jim’s first Big Picture topic covers the state of the U.S. real estate market. He finds that real estate reports have been mixed, and as usual it boils down to location, location, location. Jim also notes that the real estate market is interest rate driven, and it cooled off considerably as mortgage rates rose in the second half of 2013.
Also, “Margin of Safety – How the Economy Reacts to Black Swans” and “Fast & Furious – Melt Up / Melt Down”
Jim’s first Big Picture topic this week is “Be Prepared – Rate hikes are coming”. Jim looks at Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s recent statements that hint that rates hikes could come sooner than expected. Jim asks why would the Fed consider rate hikes when the economy is not very robust.
Jim Puplava’s Big Picture: Creative Destruction – How Technology Is Changing the Economy and Our Lives
Also, “Mid-Year Update – Forecast 2014 – A look at the Second Half”
Jim’s first Big Picture topic this week is “Creative Destruction - How technology is changing the economy and our lives”. Jim explains the economic theory of creative destruction, and how the process revolutionizes the economic structure from within, destroying old companies and ideas, and creating new ones.
Also, The Relentless Bid (Part 2) – Central Banks and the Land of the Giants
In Jim’s first topic on the Big Picture he explains how the world operates much differently today, with interest rates at half century lows and global economic growth at anemic levels. Jim goes into detail into how the “New Normal” operates, and how it is related to both inflation and the price and politics of oil.
Also, “OPEC’s New Competition” and “Missing the Boat”
Jim’s first topic on the Big Picture this week is “Peak Oil – Delayed but Not Resolved”. Jim lays out the issue of Peak Oil in depth, and quotes studies that believe it could still arrive by the end of this decade. Jim also looks at the Shale Revolution in the US and discusses how long the shale story may delay the onset of Peak Oil.
Also, “Jim and John in a Bull vs. Bear Debate” and “The Return of the Fed’s Old Nemesis – Oil”
Jim’s first Big Picture topic this week is about the Federal Reserve, and how rising oil prices may threaten the Fed’s ability to control rate hikes and it’s taper policies. Jim discusses how high oil prices threaten economic growth. The next topic is a light-hearted Bull vs Bear “Debate” between Jim and John.
Also, “Geopolitical Risks and the Petro Business Cycle” and “After So Many Predictions, Will We See a Better Second Half?”
In Jim’s first Big Picture topic this week, he looks at the consequences of the Federal Reserve’s zero interest rate policies, and what he expects ahead for the markets and the economy. Jim also references his interview this week with noted Fed-watcher James Grant, and discusses his opinions on the Fed as well.