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Financial Sense Blog

Fully Automated Oil Fields Are Almost Here

By Oil Price – A couple of days ago Halliburton showcased what it called “a first-of-its-kind” offering dubbed Prodigi—a system automating parts of the hydraulic fracturing process. More specifically, Prodigi uses...

Will the Trade War Derail the Longest Bull Market in History?

By FS Staff – Copper, European banks, and emerging markets all entered into bear market territory last week and the trillion dollar question strategists are asking is whether US markets are likely to get pulled down as well...

Kaplan Looks Toward the Pause

By Tim Duy – It is very much possible that when the Fed hits the neutral rate, the impact of past tightening has yet to filter through much to the overall economy. Continuing blindly forward might then be a critical policy...

Bearish Wagers vs 10-Year T-Note Futures Soar to All-Time High, Yet 10-Yr Yield Sags

By Gary Dorsch – Jesse Livermore was famous for making and losing several multi-million dollar fortunes during his professional career. In his early teens, Livermore went to Boston and started his long career in stock...

Italian Government Bond Sell-Off Limits Room for Populist Spending

By Global Risk Insights – The recent bond market sell-off reinforced concerns that investors have over the populist government’s spending plans. Given the exposure domestic banks have to sovereign debt and the winding down of the ECB...

Extreme Home Prices, Not a Mortgage Bubble

By Kurt Kallaus – Toll Brothers stock, one of the largest home builders, is down a whopping 35% from its peak this year as housing prices keep reaching new astronomical heights. The median home price in Tribeca, Manhattan is over...

Richard Duncan: Full-Blown Trade War Would Crash the Global Economy

By FS Staff – Richard Duncan, writer and publisher at Macro Watch, warned on FS Insider that a full-blown trade war between the US and China would lead to a spike in inflation, interest rates, and, if pushed too far, a cratering of the global economy...

Not Afraid!

By Jeff Saut – We have used the “Not Afraid” story many times over the past 48 years, but we dredged it up again this morning because of the many questions about “being afraid” we got in Boston two weeks ago...

US Markets Likely to Recouple with Global Equities - Correction Ahead

By Chris Puplava – In our Q3 2018 newsletter (And Then There Were None) we highlighted three concerns we felt could ultimately weigh on US markets, causing them to resync with global equities, which have been declining for most of the year...

California Hitting "Affordability Wall," Real Estate Correction Likely, Says Housing Expert Rick Sharga

By FS Staff – Late last month, CNBC reported “Southern California home sales crash, a warning sign to the nation.” The main culprits cited for the crash in one of the largest housing markets in the nation were higher rates, affordability concerns, and a shortage...

Dollar May Not Peak Until 2019, Says Marc Chandler

By FS Staff – Marc Chandler from Brown Brothers Harriman discusses the US dollar's recent breakout, why he expects it to consolidate and then move higher into next year, and his concerns regarding how low the Fed funds rate is upon entering the next recession...

R.I.P. Bretton Woods

By Marc Chandler – On this day in 1971, US President Nixon broke the last formal links between the dollar and gold and ushered in the modern era of floating exchange rates. What was a necessity has become a virtue...

Yuan Continues to Slide; Copper Getting Crushed

By Peter Boockvar – Today is less about Turkey as the lira is up about 3% (after Turkey announced a limitation on banks level of currency swaps they can do which was being used to short the lira) vs the US dollar and...

King Dollar? Russian Ruble, EM Currency Weakness May Not Be Over, Says John Roque

By FS Staff – Stock markets around the globe have come under pressure in recent days with a collapse in the Turkish lira and vulnerabilities in the emerging market space. John Roque at Key Square Capital Management recently told Financial Sense Newshour...

Saudi Arabia and Iran Reignite the Oil Price War

By Oil Price – The rivalry between Saudi Arabia and Iran is becoming increasingly evident in the oil pricing policies of the two large Middle Eastern producers. The two countries are currently reigniting the market share...

Dollar Breakout Threatens Rally

By Matthew Kerkhoff – The story of 2018 has been one of U.S. growth, but not necessarily global growth. While most major economies around the world are still expanding, they have been decelerating or holding steady...

Pension Crisis on the Horizon

By FS Staff – “If you were a state or a municipal worker in a troubled state, you should be made aware of it,” Puplava said. “In the next decade, you're going to see many of these states begin to reduce benefits to retirees. It's already happening right now...

Sanctions, Oil, and the Emerging China-Russia-Iran Axis

By Global Risk Insights – Although China has backpedaled on proposed tariffs on US crude imports, the move is indicative of its need to diversify sources and steps may now be taken to enable China to play the oil card in the future – including imports from Iran despite sanctions and drawing closer to Russia.

Turkey Default Risk Spikes to 2008-2009 Crisis Levels; Possible Contagion, Warns Russell Napier

By FS Staff – All focus is on Turkey right now as their currency goes into freefall and 5-year credit default swaps (insurance against default) have now spiked to levels last seen during the 2008-2009 financial crisis. Russell Napier warned that Turkey...

A Blockchain-Based AI Will Be Impossible to Shutdown, Expert Warns

By FS Staff – According to Lex, we're now in the process of creating AIs called “decentralized autonomous organizations” that, essentially, won’t be able to be turned off, stopped, or shut down by the government. Here’s what he had to say on today’s podcast...

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