Jeffrey Saut's Blog

Chief Investment Strategist

Jeffrey Saut joined Raymond James in September 1999 as one of the managing directors of research working with the senior managing director Bob Anastasi. He also serves as the firm's Chief Investment Strategist. Previously, Mr. Saut was managing director of research at Roney & Co., which was acquired by Raymond James & Associates. Prior to that, he was managing director of equity capital markets for Sterne, Agee & Leach, Inc. His responsibilities there included equity research, investment banking, institutional sales, and syndicate. After graduating from St. Andrews in 1971, Mr. Saut began his career on a trading desk in New York City and became the trade desk manager in 1972. In 1973, he joined E.F. Hutton, where he began following equities and writing research. He subsequently worked as a securities analyst for Wheat First Securities, and then Branch Cabell, where he ran the equity research group as director of research and acted as portfolio manager for the firm's affiliate, Exeter Capital Management. In addition, as director of research he built the research and institutional sales departments for the regional brokerage firm Ferris, Baker, Watts, Inc. and subsequently Sterne, Agee & Leach, Inc. Mr. Saut is well known for his insightful and colorful commentary regarding the stock market and makes regular appearances on Wall Street Week, CNBC, Bloomberg TV, USA Networks, Fox TV, NPR, and many local radio and TV networks. He is also often quoted in The Wall Street Journal, New York Times, Barron's, Washington Post, Business Week, U.S. News and World Report, Fortune, SmartMoney, as well as on many websites like MSNBC and TheStreet.com.

The Ambergris Factor

By Jeffrey Saut – Ladies and gentlemen, investing is a lot like whaling. Investors are constantly searching for that whale of a stock with the “right stuff” . . . aka the “ambergris factor.” Indeed, there have been many such “whales” on the Street...

Stock Market Getting Ready for a BIG Move; Risk to the Downside

“Pull” is a term used in shooting sporting clays, which are supposed to represent real birds and sharpen the shooter’s ability to actually hunt live birds. The term is yelled by the shooter to tell the person operating the trap to launch...

Market Looking Toppy; Exercise Patience

I spent last week climbing the mountains of Idaho and Utah, seeing accounts and doing presentations for our financial advisors and their clients. In my absence, the stock market did some climbing of its own as the S&P 500 (SPX/2378.25) came...

Equity Markets at an Inflection Point

The translation and interpretation of the news can play a crucial role on Wall Street. This is especially true when it comes to public perception. Importantly, the financial media plays a dominant role when it comes to...

SAUT: Fade the Fed, Markets Now Dependent on Fiscal Policy

Something similar to this “new queen bee” story is happening now. The “old queen” has been the Federal Reserve and monetary policy. The “new queen” appears to be the White House and fiscal policy. The White House seems...

The Great White Hurricane

“Unseasonably mild and clearing,” was the weather forecast going into the Ides of March back in the year of 1888. And it was true, as temperatures hovered in the 40s and 50s along the East Coast. However, torrential rains began falling,

Saving Retirement

We have often written that when everyone is asking the same question, it is usually the wrong question. However, I have also found the converse to be quite true – if no one is asking a question, it is probably one that you want to...

Buy C-R-A-P

We live in a modern world of acronyms and buzzwords, and the financial industry is certainly no exception. In fact, it may be one of the worst culprits, what with FANG, ZIRP, TINA, BREXIT, QUITALY, BRIC, etc. all entering....

Leon Tuey: Secular Bull Market Has Years Left to Run

One of the funnier shows in the Seinfeld comedy series was “Serenity Now.” The show centered on that phrase (serenity now) as George’s father, Frank Costanza, repeats the phrase numerous times every time he gets upset (see it here: serenity).

Not Afraid

Two of the longest secular bull markets chronicled in our notes began following Republican “revolutions.” The 1953 to 1973 bull market sprung from Eisenhower’s election (1952) and the subsequent infrastructure spending. The 1982 to 2000 secular bull...

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