Financial Sense Blog

The Math of Economic Crisis: No Easy Escape from Ongoing Inflation

May 30, 2023 – The US economy and trajectory of US debt are currently on a precarious path. While there are options available, each brings its unique set of challenges and potential pitfalls. The US may have dodged a bullet in the recent...

Market Update: LEIs, Recession Models, and Sell Signals

May 24, 2023 – Leading economic indicators (LEIs) are still pointing to a likely recession in the US. You wouldn't know it by the behavior of the stock market, however, given the massive bull run in tech stocks so far this year. Unfortunately...

A Decade of Scarcity: Understanding "Peak Everything"

May 23, 2023 – The shock waves of scarcity have swept across the world, from empty shelves in supermarkets to dwindling natural resources, creating a stark reality that we've begun to call the era of "Peak Everything." The decade's wake-up call...

Bracing for the Super Age

May 1, 2023 – In a recent podcast, author Bradley Schurman discussed his book, Super Age: Decoding Our Demographic Destiny , and the consequences of the upcoming Super Age, where the world's population reaches 10 billion and one out of five Americans...

Largest Commercial Bank Run in Half Century Underway Right Now

Apr 25, 2023 – Anyone arguing that we are not heading into a recession may be deluding themselves. The biggest deposit flight we have seen in 50 years from commercial banks shows no sign of stopping. Why is this important? Well, commercial banks...

Bilal Hafeez on Macro Headwinds, Market Opportunities

Apr 25, 2023 – Bilal Hafeez, CEO of Macro Hive, says the US stock market’s resilience in the face of ongoing economic weakness shows that investors are still not worried about an imminent recession, which could take place later this year...

A Titanic Mistake: Why a Fed Pause Will Not Avert Recession

Apr 12, 2023 – The tightening of lending standards by banks, even before the collapse of SVB, is making it difficult for consumers and businesses to borrow, resulting in a decline in loans outstanding. The NFIB Small Business lobby surveys small businesses each month and...

Aggressive Bank Tightening Underway, Increasing 2023-2024 Recession Risks

Apr 5, 2023 – Mike Singleton, senior analyst at Invictus Research, warns that the US leading economic indicators have been declining since 2022 and that banks are now in an aggressive tightening posture, pointing towards a recession over...

Further Banking and Economic Troubles to Drive Next Major Bull Market in Gold and Silver, Says Jeff Christian

Mar 30, 2023 – This year has now kicked off with a series of bank failures in the US. Two of them (Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank) are the 2 nd and 3 rd largest in US history and Silicon Valley Bank was the largest since the 2008 financial crisis...

Is the Tide Still Going Out? Analyzing the Impact of Silicon Valley Bank Collapse on Credit Markets

Mar 28, 2023 – To understand the fallout from the Silicon Valley Bank collapse (the 2 nd largest bank failure in US history) and other recent banking troubles, we must examine the impact on various debt markets, including investment grade debt...

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