Jill Mislinski's Contributions

Conference Board Leading Economic Index: Continued Increases in May at Slower Pace

By Jill Mislinski – The latest Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for May increased to 109.5 from a revised 109.3 in April. The Coincident Economic Index (CEI) came in at 103.7, up from the previous month.

Small Business Optimism Soars to Second Highest Level on Record

By Jill Mislinski – The latest issue of the NFIB Small Business Economic Trends came out this morning. The headline number for May came in at 107.8, up 3.0 from the previous month. The index is at the 100th percentile...

What Inflation Means to You: Inside the Consumer Price Index

By Jill Mislinski – Let's do some analysis of the Consumer Price Index, the best-known measure of inflation. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) divides all expenditures into eight categories and assigns a relative size to each.

Conference Board Leading Economic Index: Slight Increase in March

By Jill Mislinski – The latest Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for March increased to 109.0 from 108.7 in February. The Coincident Economic Index (CEI) came in at 103.4, up from the previous month.

Job Openings & Labor Turnover: Clues to the Business Cycle

By Jill Mislinksi – The latest JOLTS report (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary), with data through February, is now available. The first chart below shows four of the headline components of the overall series, which...

S&P 500 Snapshot: Down 3.8% From Last Thursday

By Jill Mislinski – This week, the S&P 500 continued to decline with 3 days of losses. The index closed Thursday at its lowest yet of the week and fell 3.77% from this time last week. It is down 1.93% YTD and is 8.0% below its record close.

Philly Fed Manufacturing Index: Continued Expansion in March

By Jill Mislinski – The Philly Fed's Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey is a monthly report for the Third Federal Reserve District, covers eastern Pennsylvania, southern New Jersey, and Delaware. While it focuses exclusively...

Weekly Unemployment Claims: Down 10K, Lowest Since 1969

By Jill Mislinski – Today's seasonally adjusted 210K new claims, down 10K from last week's revised figure, was above the Investing.comforecast of 226K. Here is a close look at the data over the decade (with a callout for the past year), which gives...

Conference Board Leading Economic Index: Another Record High in January

By Jill Mislinski – The latest Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for January increased to 108.1 from 107.0 in December. The Coincident Economic Index (CEI) came in at 103.0, up from the previous month.

Consumer Price Index: January Headline at 2.1%

By Jill Mislinski – The Bureau of Labor Statistics released the January Consumer Price Index data this morning. The year-over-year non-seasonally adjusted Headline CPI came in at 2.07%, down from 2.11% the previous month.

Are We in the Middle of a Secular Bull Market?

By Jill Mislinski – Market historians call these "secular" bull and bear markets from the Latin word saeculum "long period of time" (in contrast to aeternus "eternal" — the type of bull market we fantasize about). If we study the data, we can extract...

Inflation: An X-Ray View of the Components

By Jill Mislinski – Here is a table showing the annualized change in Headline and Core CPI, not seasonally adjusted, for each of the past six months. Also included are the eight components of Headline CPI and...

November Jobs Report: 228K New Jobs, Better Than Forecast

By Jill Mislinski – This morning's employment report for November showed a 228K increase in total nonfarm payrolls, which was better than forecasts. The unemployment rate remained at 4.1%. The Investing.com consensus...

We Are Now in Tech Bubble Territory

By Jill Mislinski – The 2011 article P/E: Future On The Horizon by Advisor Perspectives contributor Ed Easterling provided an overview of Ed's method for determining where the market is headed. His analysis was quite compelling.

Conference Board Leading Economic Index Rebounds in October

By Jill Mislinski – The latest Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for October increased to 130.4 from 128.9 in September. The Coincident Economic Index (CEI) came in at 116.2, up from the previous month.

Debt, Taxes and Politics: An Updated Perspective on Federal Tax History

By Jill Mislinksi – With the Republican tax bill looming, we've updated this article to include the latest figures and estimates for federal debt and taxes. Federal debt is defined as "the gross outstanding debt issued by...

Q3 GDP Advance Estimate: Real GDP at 3.0%

By Jill Mislinski – The Advance Estimate for Q3 GDP, to one decimal, came in at 3.0% (2.99% to two decimal places), a decrease over 3.1% for the Q2 Third Estimate. Investing.com had a consensus of 2.5%.

Conference Board Leading Index Sees First Decline in Over a Year

By Jill Mislinski – The latest Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for September decreased to 128.6 from 128.8 in August and saw its first decline in over a year, partially due to the impact of the hurricanes.

Consumer Sentiment Surges to Highest Level in 13 Years

By Jill Mislinkski – Consumer sentiment surged in early October, reaching its highest level since the start of 2004. The October gain was broadly shared, occurring among all age and income subgroups and across all partisan viewpoints. The data indicate a robust...

NFIB Small Business Survey: Index Tumbles in September

By Jill Mislinski – The latest issue of the NFIB Small Business Economic Trends came out yesterday morning. The headline number for September came in at 103.0, down 2.3 from the previous month. The index is at the 90th percentile in this series.

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