Bill Fleckenstein's Blog

Author & Columnist

Bill Fleckenstein is president of Fleckenstein Capital, a money management firm based in Seattle. He writes a daily Market Rap column for his website, Fleckensteincapital.com, as well as the popular column Contrarian Chronicles for MSN Money.

Bill Fleckenstein began writing a daily column on the Internet in 1996. Initially, the Market Rap was a daily recap of market events, with an added "Yes, but..." emphasis. "I quickly learned that the contrarian viewpoint was often misrepresented and under-reported. Since then, my daily column has always called it like I see it. I've tried to write the column in a way that even the novice investor can understand. I believe it's better to teach someone how to fish, rather than just give them an occasional fish."

Maybe We Should Have Daily FOMC Meetings

Overnight equity markets were unremarkable, while debt markets around the world continue to rally while they follow our Treasuries higher, as whatever weakness was inspired by the fear of Fed tapering comes back out of the market.

QE-Induced Anesthetic, OPM, and Computers = No Discounting

Some of you may be scratching your heads and wondering, if Syria was the proximate cause for today's decline, why didn't it matter until now? I think that brings up a point I have made many times, though not recently, that markets these days seem to discount next to nothing anymore.

Free-Money Musical Chairs

Overnight markets were quiet and modestly higher. Equities in the early going here were perky, led by the Nasdaq, which gained 0.75% as speculation begets more speculation, in the same way rising prices beget a continuation of rising prices.

The “Benign” Print-Fest Races On

Overnight markets were higher, led by Japan, which gained 3.5%. The Reserve Bank of Australia joined the worldwide easy money party last night, as it dropped rates by 25 basis points.

Seductive Head Fakes by Mr. Market

Overnight markets were a nonevent and the early going saw the indices flopping around unchanged, though they spent most of the time slightly lower in totally dull trading, especially considering the epic run that has taken place thus far.

The Fear of Being Left Behind

Worldwide equity markets were higher last night as the global rally, which began in mid-November and has been grinding higher in various fits and spurts, continues. It seems to me that some of this rally has been a consequence of so-called professional investors who must outperform their various benchmarks.

The Worst Politicians Money Can Buy

Congress and the administration are a total embarrassment, as this entire exercise has been about posturing rather than dealing with any of our issues. Even worse, we are going to see this same sorry movie again as we approach the debt ceiling, since it is extremely unlikely that anything of consequence will be done until that deadline is fast upon us.

How to Turn a Garage Into a Woodshed

Overnight markets were nonevents; even the downgrade of France's debt by Moody's had no real impact, though French bonds did decline in value just a bit. As for the market here, it traded mostly unchanged in a small range before closing flattish.

A Game of CAT and Mouse

Stocks here gained about 0.5% in the first couple of hours despite a preannouncement from Caterpillar, which has been impacted by cutbacks in spending, most specifically in the base metals, as a consequence of economic weakness in China and the world over.

Mario Continues His Game of Chicken

Today's market action is a tale of Before-and-After-Mario-Draghi, a.k.a. "B.D." and "P.D." After the ECB basically said it wouldn't do anything new, Draghi in his press conference uttered a lot of brave words, not the least of which was the phrase, "it is pointless to bet against the euro."

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