Tim Wood's Blog

tim [at] cyclesman [dot] com ()

Tim W. Wood, CPA is author of the newsletter Cycles News and Views and his site Cyclesman.com which provides investors with a place where they can obtain truthful, non biased, factual information about the financial markets.

Tim's primary focus is on the stock market, specifically the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the S&P 500, the Gold market, the Dollar and T-Bonds. The information presented in his website, Cyclesman.com, is based on technical analysis and not on the Hope and Hype heard by the so-called mainstream "analysts." Tim's technical studies are based on his knowledge of both Market Cycles and Dow Theory. His knowledge of cycles is based on the methods he learned from Walter Bressert. His knowledge of Dow Theory has come from studies of the original works of Charles H. Dow, William Peter Hamilton, Robert Rhea, E. George Schaefer, and Richard Russell.

Equities, the Big Picture

With the last all time closing high on the Dow Jones Industrial Average having occurred on September 18th, it is an indisputable fact that as of this writing, structurally, the advance out of the 2009 low remains intact.

Déjà Vu, It’s Just a Cycle

I’m again beginning to hear why “this time is different.” I hear hypothesized reasons why Dow theory is an antiquated relic that is no longer relevant. I hear that the manipulative efforts of the Money Masters have made the cycles irrelevant.

The Mob

It seems to be human nature to hear what one wants to hear and most advisors, so-called “analysts”, newsletter writers and commentators seem to feed people the popular line. Why?

Bull Market, Really?

The talking heads and so-call analysts that are advocates of this being a new bull market have simply not done their homework. In my opinion, as is the case with the public, they too are being lead by emotion.

Dow Theory Buy Signal?

As a result of the Industrial’s move above their 2007 high last week, there has been a lot of talk about that advance triggering a so-called Dow theory “buy signal.”

Is Dow Theory Still Valid?

Of late, I have been seeing another round of articles circulating the internet claiming that Dow theory is no longer valid. These articles all generally theorize the same common theme in that they claim the Dow theory is an antiquated relic of the past and that for this reason it does not apply in today’s new high tech age.

The Herd

The vast majority of the public hear what they want to hear and most advisors, so-called “analysts”, newsletter writers and commentators feed people the popular line. Why? Because most people are only capable of linear thinking and they tend to have preconceived notions.

Which Candidate Is Better for the Markets? It Doesn’t Matter

As we have moved toward the election I have continued to hear talk that one candidate would be better for the market than the other. I have also heard that the current administration is responsible for the market advance since 2009.

A Brief Overview of Cycles

Let me begin by saying that cycles and Dow theory are two different disciplines. While they can be used to complement one another, they are very much different and for that reason I am not going to incorporate the Dow theory aspects of my work in this article.

Manipulation and Technical Analysis

As sort of a cycle in and of itself, the question of manipulation seems to periodically surface. When it does, I’m also always asked if the Dow theory or any other technical method is still valid because of all the efforts to manipulate the markets.

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