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Financial Sense Blog

Every Cloud has a Silver Lining: An Intermarket Analysis

Dec 18 – There is no question a dark cloud is looming over U.S. financial markets. That cloud just got a little darker over the past two days as key support levels in all of the crucial equity indices were violated. This sends a loud and clear signal to pay attention...

To Pause, or Not to Pause: That Is the Question

Dec 14 – Next week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting outcome will likely end the market’s consolidation over the last two months. If the Fed turns a deaf ear to the market and does not signal a pause...

The Market's Entering a Transitional Period, Says Ari Wald

Dec 14 – Oppenheimer's Ari Wald says we've now broken a multi-year uptrend in the US stock market that started in February 2016 with greater downside risks to commodities and other areas. Wald now sees us in an important transitional...

Gold Prices Slips vs Rising Dollar as US Retail Sales Grow, China Slowdown 'Concerning'

Dec 14 – Gold prices slipped to 7-session lows against a rising Dollar in London on Friday, dipping below $1235 per ounce as the US reported better-than-expected retail sales growth but China's economic data missed analyst forecasts...

Market’s Weekly Bill of Health

Dec 12 – Volatility is the word of the week in looking at the market’s overall trend and momentum. Headlines across the world are driving market sentiment. Markets spiked on the news that the Huawai Executive was released on bail...

Federal Government Shutdown Theater, 2018 Edition

Dec 11 – Following the funeral of former President George H.W. Bush, politicians in Washington, D.C., returned to Capitol Hill to engage in what has become a different kind of ceremonial performance, one that’s become something of...

We Are All Dependent on Asset Prices Now

Dec 11 – Here is an updated chart of U.S. net worth as a percent of disposable income after the Fed released its third quarter flow of funds statement last week. We are now at 700 percent (699.9 percent to be exact). The late 1990s bubble...

OPEC Defies Trump

Dec 10 – The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) met on Dec. 6 - 7 in Vienna to discuss the member countries’ output strategy for 2019. Given that November was the worst month for oil prices since October 2008...

China Trade Tea Leaves: Deal or No Deal

Dec 7 – Concerns over the escalating U.S. – China trade war that could cause earnings to downgrade to contagion in 2019 has been a major factor in lower stocks prices. The S&P 500 and Dow stock indices just finished their third test of the...

Liquidity, Volatility, and a Credit Bust

Dec 7 – “What you're starting to see now is the that the fund community is anticipating that these deals are going to get busted because the paper they own is going to get downgraded. What this tells you is that we do have a credit problem coming...

An Alternative to Taking Your Required Minimum Distributions

Dec 5 – Do you still need to take your required minimum distributions (RMDs) for this year but don’t need the income? Are you charitably inclined? You can combine the two and reduce your taxable income, all at the same time...

Let Me Take You on an Inversion Excursion

Dec 4 – The yield curve—specifically, the spread between 3- and 5-year Treasury yields—has inverted. This has bearish implications since it shows that large investors are now shifting their demand from short-term debt to long-term debt in...

Market Technician Projects 2019 Stock Market Peak

Dec 4 – “I think what has ended is the period of time lead by the FAANG stocks, that's over now. That is well and truly over. We're not saying the FAANGs are going to go bust or anything like that but what they’re likely to do is...

Macro-Nutrients: Consumers Show Holiday Cheer, G-20 Aftermath and Emerging Opportunities Abroad

Dec 3 – Consumer spending was up in October, signaling two-thirds of the economy is still showing optimism with their wallets, despite recent weakness abroad and a rough quarter for the stock market. There is soft data suggesting sluggish...

Market’s Weekly Bill of Health: Is the Trend Your Friend?

Nov 29 – In the upcoming days, members of the G20 are meeting in Buenos Aires where many eyes will watch the interaction between U.S. President Donald Trump and China’s President Xi Jinping...

Are You Harnessing the Most Powerful Tool for Retirement?

Nov 29 – By now I’m sure you understand the benefits of a Roth account. You put money in after taxes and it grows tax free over time. It’s universally known that a Roth account is great for those in lower tax brackets or for anyone who’s younger. It can also...

Should You Consider a Roth Conversion?

Nov 28 – Roth conversions are a powerful planning tool for retirement and can be beneficial to many individuals. The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act made this an interesting year to consider a conversion, but it’s important to understand if it’s the right choice...

Is Your Retirement Based on Faulty Assumptions?

Nov 27 – In today’s Lifetime Income podcast, Jim Puplava and Laurence Kotlikoff explain how long-held retirement rules of thumb are failing to meet the needs of individuals in today’s world. According to Kotlikoff, “conventional financial planning is asking the wrong questions...

Supercomputers in the Skies

Nov 27 – Drones are everywhere: they’re shooting film for the the movies we watch, delivering packages and medical supplies, even helping to fight fires. Tabb Firchau of Freefly Systems spoke to FS Insider about the range of things drones are able to do today...

Macro-Nutrients: Brexit, A Neutral Rate & The Trump-China Face Off at G-20

Nov 27 – Over the weekend, the EU and U.K. finally came to an agreement on the draft terms for the U.K.’s exit from the EU. However, risk of no-deal within the U.K. Parliament remains extremely high despite cabinet backing...

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