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Financial Sense Blog

The Cost of the Government Shutdown

Jan 22 – Ryan Sweet spoke with Financial Sense’s Jim Puplava on the impact of the government shutdown on U.S. GDP and how it’s not only affecting thousands of American families but is beginning to trickle into areas of the economy like housing and small business...

Market-Based Stabilizers Kicking In

Jan 16 – Anyone who has taken a cruise knows that the seas, though often calm, can quickly turn treacherous. Those, like myself, who are prone to bouts of seasickness appreciate the inclusion of stabilizers on each side of a ship’s hull...

Trade Deal Sentiment Helps Dollar Fall

Jan 14 – President Trump campaigned in 2016 on making the US dollar weak again to reduce the endless wave of record trade deficits with China. Clearly, he delivered on that pledge throughout 2017 as the dollar Index fell 12 percent and devalued almost 11 percent against the Chinese...

Stocks May Be Stuck in Volatile Trading Range for 2019

Jan 10 – Craig “Bullseye” Johnson of Piper Jaffray (who earned such a moniker for his spot-on calls) recently spoke on Financial Sense Newshour to give an update on his outlook. When we last talked with him in October he predicted that...

Is China Winning the 5G Race?

Jan 9 – You may have heard the term loosely tossed into conversation or floating around the internet, but what exactly is 5G and how is it different from say 4G or 3G? Woody Preucil explained that 5G is a key technology because it has the power to harness...

Macro-Nutrients: China’s Slowdown Deepens and The Road to Neutral – Are We There?

Jan 8 – China’s economic downturn continued last month adding to growing concerns over President Xi Jinping’s current plans to stabilize the economy and the implications of a trade agreement between China and the U.S. amid an on-going trade war...

Buckle Up for Earnings Season

Jan 8 – The December NFIB small business optimism index did slip by .4 points to 104.4. That is the fourth straight month of declines that took the index down by a total of 4.4 points and it now sits at the lowest level since October 2017...

A Trio of Uncertainties for 2019

Jan 7 – The markets took a wild ride in 2018 and uncertainty is one of the biggest drivers for volatility. We have another unpredictable year ahead with economic, national and geopolitical uncertainty. As far as U.S. political uncertainties...

Setting Up for a First Quarter Market Low

Jan 7 – With stocks having sold off roughly 20% from their October peak, the market has already priced in some global weakness as well as slower earnings and GDP growth in the US. While uncertainty remains, we continue to forecast...

Feasible Recession in 2019, Says Danielle DiMartino Booth

Dec 28 – In her interview with FS Insider, DiMartino Booth highlighted what a unique period we’re currently in as there isn’t a similar historical cycle, “we’ve never had quantitative easing in past cycles, we’ve never had 22 trillion dollars of...

Market View Update: The End of 2018 and Roots of Optimism for 2019

Dec 27 – 2018 started with a bang! Unfortunately for most investors, 2018 drew to an end with a barbaric yawp as the major indices suffered a stark reversal of fortune that was predicated on growth concerns...

Frackers, Trump, & OPEC

Dec 21 – Frackers rule! The House of Saud may want to stabilize Brent Oil above $60 or $70 a barrel, but OPEC and Russia no longer control prices and haven’t since the 2015 energy recession. Every time OPEC cuts production they essentially transfer that lost output as a gift to...

These Year End Tax Strategies Could Help You Save Money

Dec 20– It's easy to let things slip as we enter the holiday season. Everybody's thinking about office Christmas parties, family get-togethers and warm weather vacations. However, it’s important to consider these year-end tax moves as they could end up saving you money...

Every Cloud Has a Silver Lining: An Intermarket Analysis

Dec 18 – There is no question a dark cloud is looming over U.S. financial markets. That cloud just got a little darker over the past two days as key support levels in all of the crucial equity indices were violated. This sends a loud and clear signal to pay attention...

To Pause, or Not to Pause: That Is the Question

Dec 14 – Next week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting outcome will likely end the market’s consolidation over the last two months. If the Fed turns a deaf ear to the market and does not signal a pause...

The Market's Entering a Transitional Period, Says Ari Wald

Dec 14 – Oppenheimer's Ari Wald says we've now broken a multi-year uptrend in the US stock market that started in February 2016 with greater downside risks to commodities and other areas. Wald now sees us in an important transitional...

Gold Prices Slips vs Rising Dollar as U.S. Retail Sales Grow, China Slowdown 'Concerning'

Dec 14 – Gold prices slipped to 7-session lows against a rising Dollar in London on Friday, dipping below $1235 per ounce as the U.S. reported better-than-expected retail sales growth but China's economic data missed analyst forecasts...

Market’s Weekly Bill of Health

Dec 12 – Volatility is the word of the week in looking at the market’s overall trend and momentum. Headlines across the world are driving market sentiment. Markets spiked on the news that the Huawai Executive was released on bail...

Federal Government Shutdown Theater, 2018 Edition

Dec 11 – Following the funeral of former President George H.W. Bush, politicians in Washington, D.C., returned to Capitol Hill to engage in what has become a different kind of ceremonial performance, one that’s become something of...

We Are All Dependent on Asset Prices Now

Dec 11 – Here is an updated chart of U.S. net worth as a percent of disposable income after the Fed released its third quarter flow of funds statement last week. We are now at 700 percent (699.9 percent to be exact). The late 1990s bubble...

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