Jul 24, 2024 – The magnitude of the move into the Russell 2000 was historic. When data is 2 standard deviations from the mean it encompasses 95.0% of all outcomes. According to Bespoke, the Russell 2000 closed 4.4 standard deviations above...
Jul 23, 2024 – The stock market typically rallies after the last Fed rate hike through the onset of a recession. However, once a recession begins, the stock market has seen declines as little as 9% (1980 recession) to as great as 54% (2007-2009)...
Jul 18, 2024 – Richard Turrin, the best-selling author of Cashless, breaks down the recent move by Saudi Arabia to join the Chinese-led mBridge alternative to SWIFT, and how this will very likely lead to other countries diversifying...
Jul 18, 2024 – After the CPI report on July 11, Semiconductor and Mega Cap stocks sold off sharply. The Semiconductor ETF (SMH) fell -3.8% from its intra-day high as Nvidia shed -6.7%. On Friday, these sectors rallied as Momentum players...
Jul 9, 2024 – Services comprise 80% of GDP so changes in the level of growth in services will determine when and how much the economy slows. One month doesn’t make a trend but it can offer a clue. In June, the ISM Services Index...
July 1, 2024 – In the ever-evolving landscape of the stock market, one startling trend has emerged: an extraordinary concentration of investor wealth in just a handful of stocks. Astonishingly, the top five giants of the S&P 500 now account for...
Jul 1, 2024 – The BCA Unemployment Model predicted the recessions in 1980, 1982, 1990, 2001, and in 2008-2009 with a lead time of less than 6 months and has never issued a false positive. In March, the BCA model generated a recession signal...
Jun 25, 2024 – Flamingos can stand on one leg for a long time but the stock market can only manage that feat until there is a reason to sell. An absence of selling pressure and a positive fundamental narrative can stretch the market’s ability to stand on one leg...
Jun 24, 2024 – As global policymakers push forward in their attempts to transition away from fossil fuels, the demand for substitutes in the form of minerals and metals is skyrocketing. The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts...
Jun 6, 2024 – The two primary drivers of the market these days are news related to inflation and developments in artificial intelligence (AI). Inflation is particularly significant because it influences the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions...
