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Financial Sense Blog

Late-Stage Bull Market Correction

By Cris Sheridan – There’s no such thing as a “holy grail” for stock market indicators but, when it comes to risk management and knowing whether to scale in or out of the market, these two are pretty high on my list for whether we are looking at a major...

Draghi Sticks to Guns, Disappointing the Doves

Marc Chandler – ECB President Mario Draghi rebuffed calls for a reconsideration of policy in light of the disappointing string of economic data. Bunds have sold off and the euro firmed in the initial reaction to Draghi's press conference. He acknowledged...

The Race Between China and the U.S. for AI Dominance

By FS Staff – On this week’s podcast, Dr. Kai-fu Lee, former president of Google China and founding director of Microsoft Asia discussed his recent book, AI Superpowers: China, Silicon Valley, and the New World Order with Cris Sheridan on FS Insider.

Is This the Start of a Major Market Top?

By Cris Sheridan – When it comes to predicting or tracking the formation of a major stock market peak, one technical indicator to keep on your radar is a long-term MACD, which stands for moving average convergence divergence. As of today, we are...

Forbes, Laffer Ask Trump for Zero Tariffs, Zero Subsidies and Zero Barriers

Michael Shedlock –In a letter to Donald Trump, the Committee to Unleash Prosperity seeks zero tariffs. There were several notable letter signees. Steve Forbes, Arthur Laffer, Fred Smith, and Stephen Moor on the Committee to Unleash Prosperity ask...

Why You Need to Keep a Close Eye on China’s Property Markets

By Callum Thomas – At the risk of being labelled a reductionist or accused of oversimplifying, my view is this: With China, the key variable is property prices. In fact, if I only had one indicator to look at for China it would be the movement in property prices...

Gold Price Hits Mid-July Highs as China Stimulus 'Fades Fast' and 'Spreadonomics' Hit Italy

By Adrian Ash – Gold prices jumped to their highest dollar value since mid-July in London trade on Tuesday, hitting $1,236 per ounce as world stock markets fell after China's main index erased most of yesterday's stimulus-fueled rally.

What Is Your State’s Fiscal Health Ranking?

By Independent Institute – Some states have consistently performed poorly, such as Connecticut, Illinois, and New Jersey. They have experienced ongoing structural deficits, a growing reliance on debt to fund spending, underfunded pensions and other...

Have We Hit Peak Earnings Growth?

Patrick O'Hare – According to FactSet, the five-year average for the forward 12-month P/E multiple for the S&P 500 is 16.3. Today, the forward 12-month P/E multiple is 15.9 versus 16.8 at the start of the fourth quarter. On the surface, the S&P 500 appears to be...

Speculative Positioning in Gold Shifts Back to Long

By Peter Boockvar – For those paying attention to gold, the net speculative position as of last Tuesday, according to Friday’s CFTC data, went net long for the first time since August 7th. After nine weeks of shorts that got to the most since 2001, the net...

Fact and Fiction in the Khashoggi Affair

By GPF – The journalist’s killing could call into question the U.S.-Saudi alliance. The United States needs Saudi Arabia for a variety of reasons, foremost of which is to prevent Iran from expanding its power any more than it already has. This will probably...

Stock Market Correction Echoes of 2016 Election

By Kurt Kallaus – Our expected October correction mirroring 2016 allowed for a matching 7.4% drop as in 2016 and, so far, October 2018 didn’t disappoint with an almost identical drop of 7.9%. While higher interest rates and concerns of contagion...

Italy Bond Yields Surge in Confrontation with ECB President Mario Draghi

By Michael Shedlock – Mario Draghi warned, "Undermining E.U. budget rules carries high price for all." Then, Italian bond yields surged. Draghi did not mention Italy by name, but his threat Undermining EU Budget Rules Carries High Price For All was well understood by the bond markets.

8 Traits of the Entrepreneur

By Mises Institute – The role of the entrepreneur is central to Austrian economics. Entrepreneurs are the coordinators of individual human action in the context of subjective knowledge and dispersed information. There are two critical individual roles for economic dynamism.

The Convergence of Blockchain, AI, and Quantum Computing

By FS Staff – Last week, we spoke with Woody Preucil, senior managing director at 13D Global Strategy and Research, to discuss the convergence of Blockchain, AI, and Quantum computing—otherwise known as the "BLAIQ-NET"—and how this will...

Five Things Every Woman Should Know About Social Security

By FS Staff – Regardless of gender, Social Security is a complicated topic. For women who are or were married, there are some important things to consider when drawing benefits. We spoke with Yolanda York, a public affairs specialist with the Social Security Administration...

Global Consumer Confidence and Global Equities

By Callum Thomas – One of my favorite things to do is discover and utilize somewhat obscure, new, misunderstood, or underutilized datasets. Or indeed, to look at an existing and well-understood set of data in a different way. In today's post we look at...

Great Graphic: What Is Happening to Global Equities?

By Marc Chandler – The decline in the global equity market is the most serious since the February and March spill. In this Great Graphic, the white line is the S&P 500. With the current setback, it is up around nine percent over the past 12 months.

Robotics and Cheap Energy Are Making U.S. Manufacturing Great Again

By FS Staff – Many believe the U.S. cannot compete with China on a manufacturing basis. While the U.S. is unlikely to take the same form as it did in its manufacturing heyday circa the 1970s, it is much stronger — and competitive — than most assume.

Don't Mistake the Stock Market for the Economy

Patrick O'Hare – Please, can we get some bad economic news? Is that too much to ask? That's not too much ask, it's just really dumb to ask for it. Nevertheless, we have heard it asserted in the face of the recent sell-off that bad economic news...

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